Why Did Suncor (TSX:SU) Stock Lose 23% Last Month?

Suncor (TSX:SU) stock remains a risky bet despite a 23% decline in September 2020.

| More on:

Shares of Canada’s energy giant Suncor (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU) fell 23% in September to close trading at $16.26. When Saudi Arabia announced it will lower the price at which it sells oil for October delivery, crude prices tumbled, which in turn impacted energy companies.

Further, the broader market sell-off, coupled with fears of a second wave of the dreaded coronavirus hurt Suncor and energy peers in the last month. Suncor stock is currently trading 64% below its 52-week high and is down 70% in the last two years.

Suncor

Suncor was a major player in pioneering the commercial development of Canada’s Athabasca oil sands, one of the world’s largest petroleum resource basins.

The company has now grown to become an integrated energy company with a portfolio of high-quality assets. Its operations include oil sands development and upgrading, conventional and offshore oil and gas production, petroleum refining, and product marketing.

Suncor is also focused on growing its renewable energy portfolio.

Warren Buffett increased shares in Suncor stock

While energy companies have been hit hard in 2020, Warren Buffett has gone bottom fishing and increased his stake in Suncor Energy. According to Berkshire Hathaway’s 13F filings for the June quarter, the company owns 19.2 million Suncor shares, up from 14.5 million shares compared to the March quarter.

The energy sector has been nothing short of a train wreck in 2020. However, let’s take a look at why the Oracle of Omaha remains bullish on Canada’s energy infrastructure giant.

Suncor remains well poised to hedge against a weak pricing environment as the company can leverage its downstream refining operations. Alternatively, it can also take advantage of rising oil prices by increasing drilling activities.

Suncor can generate robust profit margins on refined products it produces from the Canadian Tar Sands. Further, the Canadian West Coast ports allow Suncor to access high demand markets in Asia, which is one of the fastest-growing regions right now.

Tepid Q2 results

In the second quarter of 2020, Suncor reported an operating loss of $1.49 billion or $0.98 per share. In the prior-year quarter, the company’s operating profit stood at $1.25 billion or $0.80 per share.

Suncor said, “In the second quarter of 2020, crude oil and refined product realizations decreased significantly, with crude oil and crack spread benchmarks declining by more than 50% compared to the prior-year quarter due to the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and OPEC+ supply issues.”

The decline in consumer demand for refined products resulted in lower demand for crude oil as well as lower upstream production volumes.

What next for Suncor and investors?

Suncor has earlier forecast capital expenditures of $5.7 billion for 2020, which has now been reduced to $3.8 billion. It expects to decrease operating expenditures by $1 billion in 2020. Earlier this year, Suncor already reduced quarterly dividends by 55% to $0.21 per share. Despite the dividend cut, Suncor has a forward dividend yield of 5.1%.

We can see Suncor is looking to improve liquidity and lower costs to tide over these uncertain times. However, there is a good chance for the company to suspend dividend payments entirely if oil recovery is delayed.

The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Berkshire Hathaway (B shares) and recommends the following options: long January 2021 $200 calls on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares) and short January 2021 $200 puts on Berkshire Hathaway (B shares). Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Energy Stocks

donkey
Energy Stocks

The Only Canadian Stock I Refuse to Sell

Enbridge is the only Canadian stock I will buy now and hold – or even refuse to sell a single…

Read more »

Man meditating in lotus position outdoor on patio
Energy Stocks

Enbridge Stock: Buy Now or Wait for More Downside?

Enbridge is down in recent months. Has the pullback gone too far?

Read more »

A worker overlooks an oil refinery plant.
Energy Stocks

If I Could Only Buy 2 Dividend Stocks in 2026, These Would Be My Picks

These TSX stocks are likely well-positioned to maintain their payouts and increase their dividend year after year.

Read more »

The sun sets behind a power source
Energy Stocks

Canadian Utility Stocks Poised to Win Big in 2026

Add these two TSX Canadian utility stocks to your self-directed investment portfolio as you gear up for another year of…

Read more »

Pumps await a car for fueling at a gas and diesel station.
Energy Stocks

Canadian Oil and Gas Stocks to Watch for in 2026

Canadian oil and gas stocks with integrated business models are strong buys in 2026 amid changing dynamics.

Read more »

leader pulls ahead of the pack during bike race
Energy Stocks

Outlook for Cenovus Stock in 2026

Can Cenovus stock continue its momentum throughout 2026?

Read more »

oil pump jack under night sky
Energy Stocks

A Canadian Energy Stock Poised for Big Growth in 2026

Down 29% from al-time highs, Tourmaline Oil is a TSX energy stock that offers shareholders upside potential over the next…

Read more »

Investor wonders if it's safe to buy stocks now
Energy Stocks

Canadian Natural Resources: Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026?

Buy, Sell, or Hold? Ignore the speculative headlines. With a 5.2% yield and 3% production growth, Canadian Natural Resources stock…

Read more »