Why Bombardier (TSX:BBD.B) Stock Gained 76% Last Month

Here’s why Bombardier’s (TSX:BBD.A) recent rally is unsustainable.

| More on:
Aircraft wing plane

Image source: Getty Images

November was one of the best months for equity investors in 2020. The news of vaccine developments buoyed investors and drove markets higher. Stocks in beaten-down sectors such as energy, airline, and retail surged higher.

One of the top-performing stocks on the TSX was Bombardier (TSX:BBD.B), which gained 76% last month.

Bombardier is a pure-play business aircraft company

Over the last few years, Bombardier has exited multiple business segments due to falling sales and high debt levels. The company also missed delivery dates and burned through cash at a massive rate.

It then sold off its lucrative rail transportation business as well as its commercial air business and is now solely focused on the private jet business. The company’s massive offloading and business exits are part of its strategy to become a pure-play private jet company.

Its latest line of Global Express jets has been well received with a full order book. The flagship Global 7500 jet broke multiple records a few months back. It flew 8,152 nautical miles at a sustained speed of Mach 0.85. It was the longest flight by a business jet and achieved the highest speed over this distance.

However, just as Bombardier was focusing on reducing debt and maintaining a healthy balance sheet, the COVID-19 pandemic struck. The demand for conventional and business air travel left the company in a precarious position.

Q3 sales were down 5% year over year

In Q3, Bombardier’s sales fell 5% year over year to $3.5 billion and business aircraft sales stood at $1.2 billion, up 10% year over year.

The company said, “Business aircraft revenues in the quarter were up 10% year over year, driven by a record 8 Global 7500 aircraft deliveries, which more than offset lower service revenues as international border restrictions, reduced business activity, and travel continues to pressure business jet utilization.”

Its total adjusted EBITDA stood at $176 million, while EBIT was $51 million. Bombardier claimed its Q3 results reflect an unfavourable aircraft revenue mix as well as the impact of low-margin projects and the lingering impact of the pandemic.

It ended Q3 with $3 billion in liquidity including $1.9 billion of cash. The company expects to improve its liquidity with positive cash generation in Q4 due to the release of working capital from its Aviation and Transportation business.

Bombardier will generate around $4 billion from the sale of its Transportation business to Alstom and these proceeds will be used to reduce debt.

The Foolish takeaway

It seems that recent results came as a pleasant surprise for investors. However, Bombardier has burnt significant investor wealth. Its market cap has slumped by 90% since July 2018, and there are several factors you need to consider before making an investment in this beaten-down stock.

There is a good chance that business travel has changed for good, as the acceleration towards a remote working culture gains pace. Bombardier’s recovery is tied to the pandemic and the capital-intensive nature of its business makes the stock a high-risk bet right now.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Coronavirus

tech and analysis
Stocks for Beginners

If You Invested $1,000 in WELL Health in 2019, Here is What It’s Worth Now

WELL stock (TSX:WELL) has fallen pretty dramatically from all-time highs, but what if you bought just before the rise? Should…

Read more »

Hand arranging wood block stacking as step stair with arrow up.
Coronavirus

2 Pandemic Stocks That Are Still Rising, and 1 Offering a Major Deal

There are some pandemic stocks that crashed and burned, while others have made a massive comeback. And this one stock…

Read more »

Dad and son having fun outdoor. Healthy living concept
Dividend Stocks

1 Growth Stock Down 15.8% to Buy Right Now

A growth stock is well-positioned to resume its upward momentum in 2024 following its strong financial results and business momentum.

Read more »

Double exposure of a businessman and stairs - Business Success Concept
Stocks for Beginners

3 Things About Couche-Tard Stock Every Smart Investor Knows

Couche-tard stock (TSX:ATD) may be up 30% this year, but look at the leadership and history of the stock to…

Read more »

Plane on runway, aircraft
Coronavirus

Can Air Canada Double in 5 Years? Here’s What it Would Take

Air Canada (TSX:AC) stock has gone nowhere since 2020. Can this change?

Read more »

Senior housing
Stocks for Beginners

Home Improvement Stocks Are Set to Fall (When They Do, Buy These Like Crazy!)

Home improvement stocks are due to drop further in the coming months. But with solid underpinnings for the sector, it…

Read more »

An airplane on a runway
Coronavirus

Forget Boeing: Buy This Magnificent Airline Stock Instead

Boeing (NYSE:BA) stock is looking risky right now, but Air Canada (TSX:AC) stock? Much less so.

Read more »

Man considering whether to sell or buy
Stocks for Beginners

Goeasy Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

When it comes to smart buys, goeasy stock (TSX:GSY) is up there as one of the smartest money can buy.…

Read more »