If I Could Only Buy 1 TSX Stock, This Would Be it

If I were to sell my entire portfolio and only buy one stock for the rest of my life, which one would I choose?

| More on:
analyze data

Image source: Getty Images

Finding one mega-winner can significantly change your life. For example, putting $1,000 into Netflix stock at its IPO would be worth more than $470,000 today. If that isn’t convincing enough, a $10,000 investment at Constellation Software’s IPO would be worth nearly $1,000,000 today. Imagine what those positions would be worth if you were to buy shares even just once a year since those companies became public. In this article, I will discuss my highest-conviction growth stock.

If I could only buy one stock…

The industry that I see as having the most upside is e-commerce. I truly believe that we have only scratched the surface in terms of its adoption. In Canada, online sales accounted for just over 11% of all retail sales in April 2020. This was the highest level ever recorded, yet other regions such as the United Kingdom were seeing three times as much penetration. Areas like Africa are seeing an even lower penetration rate than we have in Canada, which illustrates the opportunity within e-commerce.

Because of this, I believe e-commerce-enabling companies should be a focus within all portfolios over the next decade. As a leader among all e-commerce-enabling companies, Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) would be my top choice among the TSX-listed companies.

Early investors have already seen incredible returns. Since going public in May 2015, Shopify stock has gained more than 4,700%. That means that its annual average return over that time is about 100%, as of this writing. In other words, on average, your position would have doubled every year since its IPO. A mere $10,000 investment on its IPO date would be worth more than $480,000 today.

The future is bright for Shopify

In addition to the low penetration rates mentioned earlier, there are many factors that make Shopify such an attractive company. First is its management team. Research has shown that founder-led companies typically outperform companies that are led by non-founders. This is even more true when the founding members own a large ownership stake in the company. Shopify satisfies both criteria. As long as Tobi Lütke is running the show, I will remain very bullish on this company.

Second, Shopify’s business model is exceptional. The company provides an attractive platform to businesses of any size. From the first-time entrepreneur to a large enterprise, all businesses will find products and services that benefit their operations. Customers are also incentivized to purchase more of Shopify’s offerings as they find success over the years.

Third, Shopify’s business is very heavily reliant on subscriptions. This makes the company much more attractive than those that rely on large, one-time purchases. In fact, Shopify’s monthly recurring revenue has been reported to have increased every quarter since Q2 2014. At that time, the company reported a monthly recurring revenue of $5.10 million. In Q3 2020, that figure had jumped to $74.4 million. The recurring revenue totals that are possible with even higher e-commerce penetration rates is unfathomable.

Foolish takeaway

If I could only buy one TSX stock for the rest of my life, it would be Shopify. Even though the stock has already returned an incredible amount to early investors, I believe we are still much closer to the start of the e-commerce story than its end. I intend to keep adding to my position over time, and like-minded investors would be wise to consider the same.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Jed Lloren owns shares of Shopify. David Gardner owns shares of Netflix. Tom Gardner owns shares of Netflix and Shopify. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Constellation Software, Netflix, Shopify, and Shopify.

More on Tech Stocks

sad concerned deep in thought
Tech Stocks

Tech Stocks Crumble: Is it Time to Buy?

Shopify is coming down from its pandemic highs as its business falters, but BlackBerry's business is just gaining steam.

Read more »

young woman celebrating a victory while working with mobile phone in the office
Tech Stocks

This 1 High-Growth Stock Just Got Irresistible

Despite a challenging macro environment, Lightspeed continues to post strong growth, which could help this high-growth stock stage a sharp…

Read more »

exchange-traded funds
Tech Stocks

Buy the Dip: 3 ETFs That Have Taken a Beating in 2022

Three prominent TSX ETFs trades at bargain prices in 2022 because of their significant exposure to the slumping technology sector.

Read more »

Businessman holding tablet and showing a growing virtual hologram of statistics, graph and chart with arrow up on dark background. Stock market. Business growth, planning and strategy concept
Tech Stocks

Lightspeed Stock Gains 10% Post Q4 Results

Lightspeed stock gained on the back of stellar results in Q4 of fiscal 2022. Should LSPD stock be part of…

Read more »

Man data analyze
Tech Stocks

Tech Selloff: 3 Growth Stocks Available at Pre-COVID-19 Prices

Tech stocks such as Shopify and Zoom are trading at a much lower multiple due to the ongoing selloff in…

Read more »

TSX Today
Tech Stocks

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Friday, May 20

The ongoing strength in the commodity market could help TSX Composite to continue outperforming its U.S. peers in the near…

Read more »

Question marks in a pile
Tech Stocks

Should You Finally Buy BlackBerry (TSX:BB)?

Is it time to finally buy BlackBerry?

Read more »

grow dividends
Tech Stocks

3 Top TSX Growth Stocks to Buy for Less Than $10

These high-growth TSX stocks are trading less than $10 and have strong potential to beat the broader markets in the…

Read more »