Warren Buffett isn’t a big fan of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
“Cryptocurrencies basically have no value,” he once told CNBC. “You can’t do anything with it except sell it to somebody else. But then that person’s got the problem.”
Buffett capped the interview with dramatic flair.
“I don’t own any cryptocurrency,” he concluded. “I never will.”
There’s only one problem: Buffett has reversed course before, and he will again with Bitcoin.
Sometimes people are wrong
For decades, Buffett promised that he would never invest in airlines.
“The airline business has been extraordinary. It has eaten up capital over the past century like almost no other business because people seem to keep coming back to it and putting fresh money in,” he explained. “You’ve got huge fixed costs, you’ve got strong labor unions and you’ve got commodity pricing. That is not a great recipe for success.”
Yet in 2014, he became a top shareholder in four different airlines.
That’s not the only time he’s reversed course. After avoiding tech stocks for decades, Buffett is now a huge investor in the space. He owns multi-trillion-dollar behemoths like Amazon and Apple. In fact, Apple now accounts for nearly 50% of his entire public equity portfolio!
“Yeah, I’ve been a fan, and I’ve been an idiot for not buying,” he once told reporters after picking up Amazon shares for the first time.
Buffett will come around to Bitcoin
Countless experts have reversed course when it comes to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin.
Financial historian Niall Ferguson says he was “wrong to think there was no use for a form of currency based on blockchain technology.” Former Business Insider editor Joe Weisenthal thought Bitcoin was a currency for clowns. “Now, I no longer think that,” he said.
Buffett’s close friend, JP Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon, has also flipped opinions on Bitcoin. He once said he would fire any traders that “were dumb enough to buy it.” Today, his firm thinks Bitcoin prices could rise all the way to US$146,000!
Buffett is a fantastic investor — perhaps the best in modern history. Yet no one would argue that he’s an early adopter. Most notably, he has struggled to come around to investments that don’t produce direct cash flow profit, like gold.
He once summed up his thoughts, saying gold “gets dug out of the ground in Africa … Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility. Anyone watching from Mars would be scratching their head.”
Yet last year, Buffett poured $500 million into one of the largest gold miners on the planet. He’s come out strongly against certain asset classes in the past, only to invest serious money years or even decades later.
There’s no doubt that Bitcoin is one of the most volatile investments you can buy today. It’s not for everyone.
But should you be scared that Buffett doesn’t approve? The answer is no. Don’t be surprised if he jumps in down the line.
This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.
John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. David Gardner owns shares of Amazon and Apple. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Amazon and Apple and recommends the following options: long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon and short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon. Fool contributor Ryan Vanzo has no position in any stocks mentioned.