The Motley Fool

Why Suncor Energy Stock Could Be 1 of the Top TSX Stocks in 2021

Image source: Getty Images

As far as Canadian energy stocks go, Suncor Energy (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU) is one of the mot well-recognized names for a reason. Indeed, Suncor’s performance of late has been impressive. The stock has nearly doubled from its Q4 lows last year and has a tonne of momentum today.

One might wonder where all this momentum is coming from. After all, energy has generally been an underperforming sector for years.

Well, there are multiple factors at play here. In this article, I’ll discuss two of the key drivers of Suncor’s outperformance I think investors should keep an eye on.

So, let’s get to it.

Growth to value rotation strong

Suncor stock has been a value pick for quite some time. Indeed, value stocks have greatly underperformed their growth counterparts in this era of low interest rates.

With bond yields and inflation expectations rising, a rotation toward value stocks is underway. This rotation has been supported by strength in commodities, as concerns about the strength of the U.S. dollar and inflation drive commodities prices higher.

This rotation is one I view as robust right now. Indeed, I think investors are likely to continue to rotate into stocks like Suncor that remain well below their all-time highs. With so many stocks breaking record highs on a daily basis, investors are more likely to pursue opportunities like Suncor with better valuations and excellent underlying fundamentals.

This brings me to my next point.

Should you invest in Suncor right now?

Click here to learn more!

Fundamentals driving capital appreciation in Suncor stock

Yes, there’s reason to be bullish for energy-related investments today. Indeed, I believe the broader rotation into value stocks is the tide that is likely to lift all boats right now.

However, not every energy company is the same. When investors analyze a specific stock, taking a look under the hood is important. Understanding the economics of the business and how a given stock’s business model looks is just as important as the secular catalysts one expects will boost the entire basket of stocks in said sector.

In Suncor’s case, the company’s highly efficient operating model is enticing to investors. Through years of investment in technological innovation, the company has reduced its cost basis significantly. Currently, the company’s breakeven cost per barrel is US$35 WTI. Given where oil prices are today, investors can see there’s a relatively wide margin of safety with this stock today. Such a margin of safety did not exist in recent years, as evidenced by Suncor’s underperformance.

That said, I also believe this margin of safety isn’t fully priced into Suncor stock right now. Indeed, Suncor looks like a company with plenty of room to run right now. For long-term investors, that’s a great thing.

Like Suncor Energy? You need to read this!

Should you invest $1,000 in Suncor Energy right now?

Before you consider Suncor Energy, you may want to hear this.

Motley Fool Canadian Chief Investment Advisor, Iain Butler, and his Stock Advisor Canada team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy right now... and Suncor Energy wasn't one of them.

The online investing service they've run since 2013, Motley Fool Stock Advisor Canada, has beaten the stock market by over 3X. And right now, they think there are 10 stocks that are better buys.

Learn More Today!

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

Two New Stock Picks Every Month!

Not to alarm you, but you’re about to miss an important event.

Iain Butler and the Stock Advisor Canada team only publish their new “buy alerts” twice a month, and only to an exclusively small group.

This is your chance to get in early on what could prove to be very special investment advice.

Enter your email address below to get started now, and join the other thousands of Canadians who have already signed up for their chance to get the market-beating advice from Stock Advisor Canada.