Cineplex (TSX:CGX) Stock Price Could Be Poised for a Big Rally

Here are some key factors that could trigger a sharp rally in Cineplex (TSX:CGX) stock in the coming months.

| More on:
online shopping

Image source: Getty Images

Cineplex (TSX:CGX) has been one of the worst affected Canadian companies by the COVID-19. The global pandemic and related shutdowns caused big troubles for the company as it reported an adjusted net loss of $629 million last year. While its net losses are expected to significantly reduce this year, it still might take several quarters for Cineplex to return to sustainable profitability.

Before we look at some key factors from its latest earnings event, let’s quickly review its recent stock price movement.

Cineplex stock price movement

Cineplex stock has staged a sharp recovery in 2021 after witnessing a massive 72.6% value erosion in 2020. As of August 16, the stock is trading with about 48% year-to-date gains against a 17.5% rise in the TSX Composite Index. CGX stock price has dived by 8% in the third quarter thus far after posting strong gains in the previous three quarters in a row.

Also, the stock is still trading at $13.74 per share, which is significantly lower than its pre-pandemic levels. At the end of 2019, it was trading above $33 per share.

Latest earnings report

Cineplex announced its second-quarter results last week on August 12. The company reported revenue of $64.9 million for the quarter compared to about $22 million in the same quarter a year ago. Its revenue was also better than analysts’ expectations of $60.6 million. Cineplex reopened its entertainment venues and theatres in many provinces during the June quarter as the restrictions continued to ease. The reopening also gave a significant boost to its sales on a sequential basis.

Since the pandemic began, Cineplex’s management has increased its focus on cost reduction efforts. These efforts helped the company restrict its average monthly net cash burn rate to $24 million in the second quarter compared to $27 million in the first quarter. These could be some of the reasons why its stock rose by 8.2% last week.

The recovery could accelerate

While its recent quarterly financial figures might not be remarkable, they clearly reflected that Cineplex is on a gradual path to financial recovery. We must remember that many of its theatres and entertainment venues remained closed during the second quarter. However, the situation improved further in the third quarter. As a result, Cineplex opened all its theatres and entertainment venues from coast to coast on July 17 for the first time in months.

Commenting about these developments, Cineplex President and CEO Ellis Jacob said, “As vaccination numbers rise and restrictions loosen across the country, we expect that by the fall, we will be close to full capacity in time for the onslaught of blockbuster films scheduled for the back half of the year.”

It’s time to buy Cineplex stock

I’ve been skeptical about the expected recovery in Cineplex stock for months. However, its recent revenue growth trend and rising capacity with easing pandemic-related restrictions could help it financially recover sooner than expected. That’s why I believe that Cineplex stock could be poised for a sharp rally which could take it above $20 per share in the coming months.

The Motley Fool recommends CINEPLEX INC. Fool contributor Jitendra Parashar has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Stocks for Beginners

A woman shops in a grocery store while pushing a stroller with a child
Stocks for Beginners

The 1 Single Stock That I’d Hold Forever in a TFSA

Here’s why this Canadian stock’s reliable business model makes it a compelling choice to hold for decades in a TFSA.

Read more »

a person looks out a window into a cityscape
Dividend Stocks

TFSA: 2 Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever

Want tax-free income and growth in your TFSA? These two dividend payers could compound quietly for decades, even through choppy…

Read more »

Quality Control Inspectors at Waste Management Facility
Stocks for Beginners

1 Smart Buy-and-Hold Canadian Stock

Here's why Waste Connections could be a smart addition to any buy-and-hold portfolio.

Read more »

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Dividend Stocks

A Canadian Dividend Knight to Hold Through Anything

This Canadian “dividend knight” could help steady your portfolio. Meet the TSX stalwart built to keep paying when markets panic.

Read more »

Stocks for Beginners

The Sole 2 Canadian Stocks to Hold Forever

Two Canadian stocks you can buy once and hold for life, Royal Bank and Constellation Software, blend stability, recurring revenue,…

Read more »

Sliced pumpkin pie
Stocks for Beginners

3 Dead-Easy Canadian Stocks to Buy With $1,000 Right Now 

Maximize your investments through stocks. Discover strategies to turn idle funds into returns with smart stock choices.

Read more »

some REITs give investors exposure to commercial real estate
Dividend Stocks

2 Blue-Chip Dividend Stocks Offering 6% Yields

Two TSX blue chips with 6% yields let you lock in bigger income today while you wait for long-term growth.

Read more »

alcohol
Stocks for Beginners

TFSA Wealth Plan: Turn 1 Canadian Stock Into Riches

Turn your TFSA into a long-term wealth engine by automating contributions and letting a quality ETF like XQLT compound tax-free…

Read more »