Cineplex (TSX:CGX) Stock Price Could Be Poised for a Big Rally

Here are some key factors that could trigger a sharp rally in Cineplex (TSX:CGX) stock in the coming months.

| More on:
online shopping

Image source: Getty Images

Cineplex (TSX:CGX) has been one of the worst affected Canadian companies by the COVID-19. The global pandemic and related shutdowns caused big troubles for the company as it reported an adjusted net loss of $629 million last year. While its net losses are expected to significantly reduce this year, it still might take several quarters for Cineplex to return to sustainable profitability.

Before we look at some key factors from its latest earnings event, let’s quickly review its recent stock price movement.

Cineplex stock price movement

Cineplex stock has staged a sharp recovery in 2021 after witnessing a massive 72.6% value erosion in 2020. As of August 16, the stock is trading with about 48% year-to-date gains against a 17.5% rise in the TSX Composite Index. CGX stock price has dived by 8% in the third quarter thus far after posting strong gains in the previous three quarters in a row.

Also, the stock is still trading at $13.74 per share, which is significantly lower than its pre-pandemic levels. At the end of 2019, it was trading above $33 per share.

Latest earnings report

Cineplex announced its second-quarter results last week on August 12. The company reported revenue of $64.9 million for the quarter compared to about $22 million in the same quarter a year ago. Its revenue was also better than analysts’ expectations of $60.6 million. Cineplex reopened its entertainment venues and theatres in many provinces during the June quarter as the restrictions continued to ease. The reopening also gave a significant boost to its sales on a sequential basis.

Since the pandemic began, Cineplex’s management has increased its focus on cost reduction efforts. These efforts helped the company restrict its average monthly net cash burn rate to $24 million in the second quarter compared to $27 million in the first quarter. These could be some of the reasons why its stock rose by 8.2% last week.

The recovery could accelerate

While its recent quarterly financial figures might not be remarkable, they clearly reflected that Cineplex is on a gradual path to financial recovery. We must remember that many of its theatres and entertainment venues remained closed during the second quarter. However, the situation improved further in the third quarter. As a result, Cineplex opened all its theatres and entertainment venues from coast to coast on July 17 for the first time in months.

Commenting about these developments, Cineplex President and CEO Ellis Jacob said, “As vaccination numbers rise and restrictions loosen across the country, we expect that by the fall, we will be close to full capacity in time for the onslaught of blockbuster films scheduled for the back half of the year.”

It’s time to buy Cineplex stock

I’ve been skeptical about the expected recovery in Cineplex stock for months. However, its recent revenue growth trend and rising capacity with easing pandemic-related restrictions could help it financially recover sooner than expected. That’s why I believe that Cineplex stock could be poised for a sharp rally which could take it above $20 per share in the coming months.

The Motley Fool recommends CINEPLEX INC. Fool contributor Jitendra Parashar has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Stocks for Beginners

Real estate investment concept
Dividend Stocks

Down 23%, This Dividend Stock is a Major Long-Time Buy

goeasy’s big drop has pushed its valuation and yield into “paid-to-wait” territory, but only if credit holds up.

Read more »

Concept of multiple streams of income
Energy Stocks

An Incredible Canadian Dividend Stock Up 19% to Buy and Hold Forever

Suncor’s surge looks earned, powered by real cash flow, strong operations, and aggressive buybacks that support long-term dividends.

Read more »

Hand Protecting Senior Couple
Dividend Stocks

Married Canadians: How to Make $10,000 in Tax-Free Passive Income

You can target nearly $10,000 a year in tax-free TFSA income, but BCE shows why dividend safety matters.

Read more »

Piggy bank with word TFSA for tax-free savings accounts.
Stocks for Beginners

What’s the Average TFSA Balance at Age 54

At 54, the average TFSA balance is a helpful reality check, and Scotiabank could be a steady way to compound…

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Stocks for Beginners

Maximum TFSA Impact: 3 TSX Stocks to Help Multiply Your Wealth

Don't let cash depreciate in your TFSA. Explore how to effectively use your TFSA for tax-free investment growth.

Read more »

Yellow caution tape attached to traffic cone
Stocks for Beginners

The CRA Is Watching: TFSA Investors Should Avoid These Red Flags 

Unlock the potential of your TFSA contribution room. Discover why millennials should invest wisely to maximize tax-free growth.

Read more »

Young Boy with Jet Pack Dreams of Flying
Stocks for Beginners

3 TSX Stocks Soaring Higher With No Signs of Slowing

Analyze the performance of notable stocks in recent years and how they responded to economic challenges and opportunities.

Read more »

Group of people network together with connected devices
Energy Stocks

A 4.5% Dividend Stock That’s a Standout Buy in 2026

TC Energy stands out for 2026 because it pairs a meaningful dividend with contracted-style cash flows and a clearer, simplified…

Read more »