2 TSX Stocks I’d Buy Over Air Canada for Year-End Gains

CAE (TSX:CAE)(NYSE:CAE) and Restaurant Brands International (TSX:QSR)(NYSE:QSR) could outperform Air Canada stock in the second half of 2021.

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Air Canada stock isn’t the only game in town for venturesome investors looking to risk a bit more for a lot more reward. Sure, the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic may now be in the rear-view mirror. And sure, the federal government is more than likely to provide additional financial support should Air Canada take a turn for the worst if ever a future lockdown were to happen again. But with the threat of variants, a potentially permanent destruction in demand for business travel, and a low global vaccine rate, Air Canada stock could remain turbulent for another year or even two.

Moreover, Air Canada stock isn’t exactly the cheapest reopening play out there given the high risks involved. Undoubtedly, international travel faces far more uncertainty than domestic airlines. So, don’t think that Air Canada stock will flirt with its all-time highs as quickly as its more domestically focused peers in the States.

Air Canada stock is a great recovery play, but it’s not the best one

For prudent investors who are all about maximizing risk-adjusted return potential, there are easier opportunities out there. Some don’t depend on a timely end of this pandemic or herd immunity to COVID-19 and its variants of concern at the global level.

Consider CAE (TSX:CAE)(NYSE:CAE) and Restaurant Brands International (TSX:QSR)(NYSE:QSR): two high-quality reopening plays that could see levels of business return to normal far sooner than the likes of an Air Canada.


CAE is a simulation technology manufacturer that’s been really weighed down by its civil aviation segment amid the pandemic. With a solid, growing defence business, though, CAE is a far more diversified way to play the multi-year recovery in the air travel space. Moreover, CAE has a better balance sheet and is not in need of the kind of relief that Air Canada needed during the worst of last year’s COVID disruptions.

In essence, I view CAE as a more conservative way to play a rebound in air travel. Fresh off a decent, albeit underwhelming, second quarter and a nearly 14% correction in the share price, I think CAE looks very interesting as a recovery play. The stock has gone nowhere since last December but is positioned for a breakout, perhaps in the backend of this year should further COVID waves be averted.

In any case, CAE doesn’t look nearly as vulnerable should worse comes to worst and travel restrictions are back on in full force. Demand for simulators could take a temporary hit, but the stock is unlikely to fold as Air Canada would in such a scenario.

Restaurant Brands International

Restaurant Brands International stock also has not gone anywhere since the rally ran out of steam in June 2020. Shares have been fluctuating wildly in the $80 range, despite evidence of a recovery and a solid modernization strategy which appears to be discounted by analysts on the Street.

The stock recently clocked in a blowout number that saw digital sales pop over at Burger King. There was strength across the board of brands under QSR’s portfolio. Today, the stock is right back to where it was before the big earnings beat that sent shares briefly past the $85 mark. I’d encourage investors to check out the quarter and initiate a position if they find the move, which was driven partially by Delta fears, to be irrational.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Joey Frenette owns shares of Restaurant Brands International Inc. The Motley Fool recommends Restaurant Brands International Inc.

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