Will High Interest Rates Support Dividend Growth in 2022?

Some market analysts believe that despite the looming interest rate hike, corporate profitability and free cash flow generation could support dividend growth in 2022.

| More on:

Canadians shouldn’t worry about where to find or earn extra income amid rising inflation and looming interest rate hikes. Steve Arpin, Beutel Goodman Investment Counsel’s managing director of Canadian equities, notes that the sentiment this year is strong.

Arpin said, “Corporate profitability has improved dramatically in 2021 and should continue to improve in 2022.” His company thinks strong demand for manufactured goods and inventory replenishment should exist following the pandemic-driven supply chain challenges. Arpin further adds this environment should support dividend growth.

According to Beutel, corporate profitability and free cash flow generation are the key drivers of sustained dividend growth. Because of the earnings recovery in 2021 and anticipated positive backdrop in 2022, it expects dividend growth to be at least 5%, the TSX’s the historical average.

In terms of individual stocks, the Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY) and Pembina Pipeline (TSX:PPL)(NYSE:PBA) should be on the priority lists of dividend investors. The bank stock is stronger than ever, while the energy stock’s dividend policy and frequency are well-loved by many.

money cash dividends

Image source: Getty Images

TSX’s largest company

All Big Six banks announced a dividend bonanza in the most recent earnings season. RBC, the largest in the sector, raised its dividends by 11% and plans to buy back $5.68 billion worth of shares. The $209.4 billion lender is back as TSX’s largest company after Shopify’s market cap dropped to $140 million.  

Canadian banks are in a strong position to grow earnings and dividends, says Arpin. RBC, in particular, has a strong capital level and broadly favourable business outlook. It’s not a long shot that another dividend raise could happen by mid-year. At $146.87 per share (+10.32% year-to-date), the dividend yield is 3.6%.

Banks can’t commit to another dividend hike because of the federal government’s plan to increase taxes on financially regulated companies. Leith Wheeler’s head of equities, Bill Dye, said banks and life insurance companies are being a bit conservative in terms of their dividend payout ratios until they know the details of the tax bill.

Les Stelmach, Franklin Templeton’s SVP and portfolio manager, has the same view. He said, “Banks retain excess capital, and at the very least we believe the group will resume their annual pattern of increases from this point.” Meanwhile, details of the tax bill will come out in the spring 2022 budget.

Monthly income stock

Pembina Pipeline is a favourite of yield-thirsty income investors. Besides the lucrative dividend (6.11%), the payout is monthly, not quarterly. You can earn $150.20 every month by owning $29,500 worth of shares. The energy stock currently trades at $41.09 per share (+7.67%, year-to-date).

This $22.61 billion oil major continues to grow through acquisitions and expansion to new markets. Furthermore, management keeps enhancing product offerings and offers new opportunities to existing assets. The lack of dividend cut in the face of strong headwinds in 2020 is proof of the solid, overall asset quality of Pembina.

Expect the transportation and midstream service provider to generate material excess cash flow this year. Pembina hopes to jointly develop a system to transport and sequester carbon with industry peer TC Energy.

Rock-steady dividends

RBC and Pembina Pipeline should deliver rock-steady dividends. Both companies won’t see declining or collapsing profitability anytime soon.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION.

More on Dividend Stocks

up arrow on wooden blocks
Dividend Stocks

3 Must-Own Blue-Chip Dividend Stocks for Canadians

Blue-chip dividend stocks like the 5.3%-yielding Enbridge stock make resilient additions to your portfolio for strong long-term returns.

Read more »

pig shows concept of sustainable investing
Dividend Stocks

TFSA: 3 Canadian Stocks That Are Perfection With a $7,000 TFSA Investment

These three stocks offer a balanced TFSA portfolio with reliable income and long-term growth potential.

Read more »

hand stacking money coins
Dividend Stocks

Passive Income: How Much Do You Need to Invest to Make $1,000 Per Month?

Want to generate passive income? Learn how three top Canadian dividend stocks can help you generate $1,000 per month.

Read more »

boy in bowtie and glasses gives positive thumbs up
Dividend Stocks

Build Enduring Wealth With These Canadian Blue-Chip Stocks

Looking for low-risk, defensive stocks that still have upside? These three Canadian blue-chip stocks are some of the best in…

Read more »

woman looks at iPhone
Dividend Stocks

Should You Buy BCE Stock for Its 5%-Yielding Dividend?

BCE stock offers an appealing yield of 5% and is focusing on reducing debt, adding high-quality customers, and diversifying its…

Read more »

Financial analyst reviews numbers and charts on a screen
Dividend Stocks

The 1 Canadian Dividend Stock I’d Hold Through Any Storm

Fortis (TSX:FTS) is a fantastic low-beta dividend payer with rock-solid growth prospects over the next few years.

Read more »

The virtual button with the letters AI in a circle hovering above a keyboard, about to be clicked by a cursor.
Dividend Stocks

1 No-Brainer Dividend Stock to Buy on the Dip

Down over 50% from all-time highs, this TSX dividend stock offers significant upside potential to shareholders.

Read more »

Colored pins on calendar showing a month
Dividend Stocks

A Year Later: This Monthly Dividend Stock Still Pays Like Clockwork

Granite REIT quietly delivered exactly what monthly-income investors want: higher occupancy, rising rents, and growing cash flow.

Read more »