Is it Time to Take Profits in Energy Stocks?

Energy stocks like Imperial Oil Ltd. (TSX:IMO)(NYSE:IMO) have surged due to high oil prices. However, supply may be set for a big jump.

The price of WTI crude shot above $100 this morning. Energy prices are climbing in response to the worsening Russia-Ukraine conflict. Russian launched its invasion on February 24, 2022. Since then, the crisis has intensified, with NATO allies placing historic sanctions on the Russian state. The S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index was up 2.3% in mid-morning trading on March 1. Are energy stocks destined to reach new heights in 2022?

Here’s why oil prices may be close to the top

Russia-Ukraine tensions are powering oil prices right now. NATO allies are providing aid in many forms, including weaponry. However, negotiations are reportedly underway between the Russian and Ukrainian leadership. A surprise peace deal appears remote, but investors cannot rule it out.

Meanwhile, negotiations between the United States and Iran have reportedly progressed very well in recent weeks. February reports suggest that the two sides are very close to a deal. Indeed, the Russia-Ukraine conflict has heightened urgency. If a deal is struck, Iran’s vast oil reserves will be unleashed on the broader market. This could lead to a retreat in oil prices due to the jump in supply.

Suffice it to say, investors should be paying close attention to these unfolding events. Citigroup recently projected that the coming supply surge would overcome the upward pressure that has been generated by the Russia-Ukraine war. It projected that the price of WTI crude could fall back to $60. How will energy stocks respond?

How do these top energy stocks look today?

Canadian Natural Resources (TSX: CNQ)(NYSE: CNQ) is set to unveil its final batch of 2021 results early this month. Its shares have climbed 30% so far in 2022. Meanwhile, its shares have increased 96% in the year-over-year period.

In the third quarter of 2021, this company delivered revenue of $7.7 billion — up from $4.5 billion in the previous year. Meanwhile, diluted earnings per share jumped to $1.86 over $0.35 in Q3 2020. Shares of this energy stock possess a favourable price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14. It offers a quarterly dividend of $0.588 per share, which represents a 3.3% yield.

Imperial Oil (TSX: IMO)(NYSE:IMO) is another top oil and gas company. Shares of this energy stock have climbed 20% in the year-to-date period. The stock has increased 102% compared to the same time in 2021.

The company unveiled its fourth-quarter and full-year 2021 earnings on February 2. Net income surged to $813 million or $1.18 per diluted share compared to a net loss of $1.15 billion or $1.56 per diluted share in the previous year. It achieved its highest production over a quarter-century in 2021.

This energy stock currently possesses an attractive P/E ratio of 16. It also offers a quarterly dividend of $0.34 per share, which represents a 2.4% yield.

Bottom line

Energy stocks have thrived since the beginning of 2021. Investors need to be ready for the coming supply increase. Markets are in turmoil due to the ongoing geopolitical crisis. Now may be the perfect time to take profits and sit on extra cash.

Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends CDN NATURAL RES.

More on Energy Stocks

Canada day banner background design of flag
Energy Stocks

76% of Albertans Chose Canada: This Alberta Gas Stock Just Hit a 3-Year High

Tourmaline's costs, market access, and planned dividend increase provide a more durable investment case than referendum relief.

Read more »

a person watches stock market trades
Energy Stocks

Enbridge Stock: 3 Things to Look for in Its Q3 Results

While geopolitical uncertainties and commodity price volatility remain potential risks, Enbridge’s Q3 outlook remains strong.

Read more »

telehealth stocks
Energy Stocks

$15,000 in a TFSA: 2 Stocks I’d Buy for Meaningful Monthly Cash Flow

Canadians can generate meaningful cash flows by buying monthly dividend stocks to hold in their TFSA.

Read more »

oil pumps at sunset
Energy Stocks

A Monthly Paying TSX Stock With a 5.6% Dividend Yield

Peyto Exploration & Development stock’s low-cost profile supports its 5.6% monthly dividend through periods of commodity price volatility. Time to…

Read more »

how to save money
Energy Stocks

Gasoline Is Up 27.8% in a Year: This Oilsands Giant Is Cashing In

Suncor's integrated operations generate substantial cash, although a strong oil quarter shouldn't become a permanent assumption.

Read more »

A steel grain silo storage tank with solar panel in a yellow canola field in bloom in Alberta, Canada.
Energy Stocks

Here’s Why I Love Freehold Royalties (and Its Generous 6.1% Dividend Yield)

Here’s why Freehold’s royalty business, generous monthly dividend and room for long-term growth make it one of my favourite Canadian…

Read more »

oil pump jack under night sky
Energy Stocks

A 4% Dividend Stock Paying Monthly Cash

Whitecap pays about $65 monthly on a $20,000 budget, with recent cash after capital spending comfortably covering the dividend.

Read more »

financial chart graphs and oil pumps on a field
Dividend Stocks

This TSX Royalty Stock Pays Its Monthly Dividend Today: The Payout Math Behind It

Freehold pays eligible shareholders today, with a $10,000 investment offering about $52 monthly at the current dividend.

Read more »