Where Will Manulife Financial Be in 5 Years?

Here’s why Manulife (TSX:MFC) remains a top defensive total return play long-term investors would be remiss to ignore.

| More on:
dividends can compound over time

Source: Getty Images

As far as all-around top Canadian stock ideas are concerned, Manulife (TSX:MFC) continues to be one of the table-pounding stocks I’m not going to stop pounding the table on, until something changes.

This leading Canadian insurer is also one of the better-performing stocks of late, with its stock chart above showing just what a long-term investment in this stock would have generated over the past five years.

That said, on a go-forward basis, I think there’s still good reason to believe more upside could be ahead over the coming five years. Here’s why.

A valuation that makes sense

I’d argue that in this environment, valuations matter more than they have in a long time. We’re transitioning (it seems) from a growth-focused market to one where investors are seeking growth, but at reasonable valuations. In this regard, I do think Manulife stands out thanks to its robust balance sheet and long-term growth prospects.

The company’s current multiple of around 16 times earnings supplements the “GARP” argument supporting a company that continues to see robust bottom line growth. With earnings growing at a rate of around 5% per year and its contractual service margin (CSM) increasing 200 basis points to 32%, there’s a lot to like about the top and bottom line upside of this name.

Adding to this positive fundamental narrative is a robust dividend yield of 3.9% and a solid long-term track record of dividend increases over time. So long as the company can continue to see strong growth in its core insurance business, and amplify this growth via its growing wealth management segment, there’s a lot of upside potential ahead investors can look forward to.

Strong capital management and positive shareholder return profile

Another key factor driving investor interest in Manulife (and what should propel this stock higher over the long term) is the company’s strong commitment to returning capital to shareholders. This past year, the insurance giant returned more than $6 billion in dividends and share buybacks to investors, which is a decent sum when considering this company is valued at around $55 billion.

That sort of capital return should keep investors coming back for more. Personally, this is a name I think the analysts (who have a consensus buy rating on the stock) are right about.

Those with a long-term investing time horizon can certainly do a lot worse than putting some capital to work in this name. I’m expecting slow and steady returns over the long term with Manulife, and that’s good enough for me.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Investing

woman checks off all the boxes
Dividend Stocks

5 Reasons to Buy and Hold This Canadian Stock Forever

Brookfield Corp (TSX:BN) is a Canadian stock that merits a long holding period.

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Investing

Tax-Free Gains: Top TFSA Stocks to Own in 2026

Learn the best strategies for your TFSA in 2026. Check out these three quality Canadian stocks for big potential tax-free…

Read more »

hand stacking money coins
Dividend Stocks

The 7.3% Dividend Stock You Can Depend On

Despite risks, this key Canadian dividend stock could continue to deliver sky-high yields for a very long time -- a…

Read more »

Canadian Dollars bills
Metals and Mining Stocks

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy Immediately With Just $1,000

Here are two top Canadian stocks that are poised to deliver market-beating returns to shareholders over the next few years.

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Tuesday, December 9

With the index still hovering close to record highs, TSX stocks may remain range-bound today ahead of key U.S. labor…

Read more »

senior relaxes in hammock with e-book
Dividend Stocks

Top Picks: 3 Canadian Dividend Stocks for Stress-Free Passive Income

For investors looking to pick up reasonable dividend income, but also want to sleep well at night, here are three…

Read more »

Real estate investment concept with person pointing on growth graph and coin stacking to get profit from property
Dividend Stocks

A 7.4% Dividend Yield to Hold for Decades? Yes Please!

Think all high yields are risky? MCAN Financial’s regulated, interest-first model could be a dividend built to last.

Read more »

Stacked gold bars
Metals and Mining Stocks

Locking in Gains by Selling Gold Stocks? Here’s Where to Invest Next

After gold's 137% surge in 2025, shift profits to copper, uranium, and oil dividend plays for AI and energy growth…

Read more »