Up More Than 75% This Year, Can Maple Leaf Foods Keep Rising?

Given its solid financials, improving profitability, attractive valuation, and consistent dividend growth, Maple Lead Food would be an excellent buy at these levels.

| More on:

Maple Leaf Foods (TSX: MFI) produces food products under various brands. It operates primarily in Canada, the United States, and Asia. It has segregated its businesses into three operating units, namely Prepared Foods, Poultry, and Pork, which contribute 55%, 20%, and 25%, respectively, to its top line.  

Supported by its solid quarterly performances and improving operating efficiencies, the company’s stock price has increased by over 77% year-to-date. Meanwhile, let’s examine its recently reported second-quarter performance and growth prospects to determine buying opportunities in the stock.

up arrow on wooden blocks

Source: Getty Images

MFI’s second-quarter performance

In the second quarter, MFI reported revenue of $1.36 billion, representing a 7.5% increase from the previous year’s quarter amid favourable pricing, improved mix, and volume growth. Meanwhile, the three operating units — Prepared Foods, Poultry, and Pork — reported revenue growth of 7.5%, 8.5%, and 10.7%, respectively. The improvement in channel mix, foodservice volume growth, and price increases drove the Poultry unit’s revenue. Increased processing of hogs and higher average weight of hogs boosted its revenue from the Pork segment.

Furthermore, its gross profits increased by 79.6%, while gross margins expanded by 690 basis points to 17.3%. The increase in the mark-to-market valuation of biological assets, favourable commodity futures contracts, improved pork market conditions, and volume growth in Prepared Foods and Poultry units, along with progress in operating efficiencies, led to the expansion of its gross margins.

Meanwhile, its operating income stood at $57.8 million. However, removing special items, its adjusted operating income stood at $122.8 million or $0.56/share, representing a 211.1% increase from the previous year’s quarter. Also, MFI generated $216 million of free cash flow during the quarter. The company also lowered its net debt by 28.2% to $1.344 billion, with its net debt to adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) falling to 2.1. It’s an improvement from 2.6 at the beginning of this year and 3.4 from the same time last year. Now, let’s look at its growth prospects.

MFI’s growth prospects

MFI expects the consumer environment to remain stable for the rest of this year. Additionally, the company plans to invest in the development of innovative products, as well as marketing and advertising, to boost consumer demand. It is also expanding its geographical reach in the United States and strengthening its supply chain, which could support its financial growth in the coming years.

The Mississauga-based company intends to spin off its pork business into a new entity, Canada Packers, as part of its strategy to unlock greater value for shareholders. Having already received shareholders’ approval, the company is hopeful of closing the deal by the end of this year. Amid these growth initiatives, the company’s management expects its topline to grow in the mid- to single-digit range this year. Its adjusted EBITDA could come between $680 million and $700 million, with the midpoint of the guidance representing a year-over-year increase of 8.8% from the previous year.

Investors’ takeaway

Although MFI has witnessed substantial buying over the last few months, it trades at an attractive valuation, with its NTM (next-12-month) price-to-sales and NTM price-to-earnings multiples at 0.8 and 16.8, respectively. Additionally, the company has raised its dividend at an annualized rate of 11.6% for the last 10 years, with its forward dividend yield at 2.73%. Considering all these factors, I believe MFI would be an excellent buy.

Fool contributor Rajiv Nanjapla has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Investing

TFSA (Tax free savings account) acronym on wooden cubes on the background of stacks of coins
Dividend Stocks

3 of the Best Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold in a TFSA

Given their reliable business models, consistent financials, and healthy growth prospects, these three Canadian stocks are ideal additions to your…

Read more »

woman checks off all the boxes
Dividend Stocks

What Every Investor Should Know Before Buying BCE for its Dividend

BCE (TSX:BCE) stock looks like an untimely trap, but there's a strong case for buying as the firm looks to…

Read more »

senior man and woman stretch their legs on yoga mats outside
Dividend Stocks

2 TSX Dividend Stocks Retirees Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade

These dividend stocks provide the right mix of growth, income, and stability for the long term.

Read more »

Paper Canadian currency of various denominations
Dividend Stocks

3 Stocks to Build a Strong Canadian Income Portfolio

While no dividend is guaranteed, these companies have shown their ability to generate resilient cash flows and return capital.

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Dividend Stocks

2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold for a Decade of Income

With resilient business models, reliable cash flows, high yields, and healthy growth prospects, these two Canadian stocks are ideal for…

Read more »

3 colorful arrows racing straight up on a black background.
Investing

Buy the Dip: 3 Stocks to Buy Today and Hold for the Next 5 Years

These stocks are under pressure, but should be solid dividend picks over the medium term.

Read more »

Person holds banknotes of Canadian dollars
Dividend Stocks

I’d Put My Whole 2026 TFSA Contribution Into this 5.5% Passive-Income Payer

This passive-income payer has raised its dividend every year since 1995. Moreover, it has room to increase its dividend in…

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

$10,000 Invested at 8% for 20 Years Could Become $46,610

$10,000 doesn’t need perfect timing to become meaningful wealth — it mainly needs time and compounding.

Read more »