Vanguard Thinks Canada Will Outperform the U.S: Here’s How to Invest in the TSX

Invest in Canada with the iShares S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index Fund (TSX:XIC).

| More on:
ETF is short for exchange traded fund, a popular investment choice for Canadians

Source: Getty Images

The Vanguard Group is one of the world’s oldest index exchange-traded fund (ETF) providers. While it was long ago eclipsed by the likes of Blackrock in terms of size, Vanguard remains one of the top three players in passive investing.

Vanguard was founded by Jack Bogle, a visionary who brought the concepts of passive investing to the masses and was called “a hero to investors” by Warren Buffett. Thanks to Vanguard’s historical influence, it remains one of the most influential index ETF companies to this day.

So, when Vanguard’s economists speak, investors listen. And this week, one of them put out a rather surprising statement:

That Canadian markets are set to beat the U.S. markets for years to come!

The economist who made the above statement, Joe Davis, noted that Canadian markets had bucked the long-term historical trends this year and outperformed their U.S. counterparts. He further added that he foresaw Canadian markets continuing this trend for another five to seven years! While it’s not unusual for Canadian equities to outperform their U.S. peers for a year here or there, such a long streak of outperformance as Davis is forecasting is a rare thing. If Davis’s forecast comes to pass, then those buying TSX stocks today will look very smart in a few years. In the ensuing paragraphs, I’ll explore how you can easily get exposure to the TSX, without needing any expertise in stock analysis.

TSX index funds

If you want to get a piece of the Canadian markets quickly, easily and with relatively little risk, a low-cost TSX index fund is what you want to hold.

An “index” fund is a fund that tracks the returns of a stock market index, a list of stocks meant to represent all the stocks of a given country, sector, or defining characteristic.

“Low cost” means low management fees and low bid-ask spreads. A management fee is a bit of your money that fund managers take out each year to pay themselves; a bid-ask spread is the difference between what buyers are bidding and sellers are asking. The lower these two costs the higher your return, all else the same.

A good index fund to hold

A pretty good TSX Index fund to hold right now is the iShares S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index Fund (TSX:XIC).

XIC is a highly diversified index fund based on the S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index. The TSX Index consists of 240 stocks, of which XIC holds 211. This number of stocks provides a decent amount of diversification and decent representation of the underlying index. Additionally, the fund charges a low management fee (0.05%) and has low total expenses (0.06%). So, the fund’s managers don’t take their investors to the cleaners. Finally, XIC is a very popular fund, which ensures a sensible bid-ask spread. Overall, you could do much worse than to invest in a fund like CIX.

The bottom line

Investing in index funds is a great way to manage your stock market exposure. Diversified and cheap, they beat many alternative options. Today, one of the world’s biggest index fund managers thinks Canada is set to beat the United States. This would be a good time to get some Canadian ETFs in your portfolio.

Fool contributor Andrew Button has no positions in the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Investing

Investor reading the newspaper
Investing

3 Reasons to Buy Dollarama Stock Like There’s No Tomorrow

Here's why Dollarama is one of the few Canadian stocks that every type of investor can look to buy for…

Read more »

happy woman throws cash
Energy Stocks

Max Out Any TFSA With 2 Canadian Utility Stocks Set for Massive Growth

Looking to max out your TFSA in 2026? Two Canadian utilities offer dependable cash flow today and growth from the…

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Investing

The Best Stocks to Invest $2,000 in a TFSA Right Now

As we inch closer to another year of trading on the stock market, here are two excellent holdings to consider…

Read more »

diversification and asset allocation are crucial investing concepts
Dividend Stocks

These Are Some of the Top Dividend Stocks for Canadians in 2026

These stocks deserve to be on your radar for 2026.

Read more »

3 colorful arrows racing straight up on a black background.
Tech Stocks

The 3 Most Popular Stocks on the TSX Today: Do You Own Them?

The three most popular TSX stocks remain strong buys for Canadian investors who missed owning them in 2025.

Read more »

The sun sets behind a power source
Dividend Stocks

Down 60%, This Dividend Stock is a Buy and Hold Forever

Algonquin’s refocus on regulated utilities and a reset dividend could turn a bruised stock into a steadier income play if…

Read more »

Canada day banner background design of flag
Investing

There’s Carney. There’s Trump. And These TSX Stocks Could Benefit.

Political administrations shift, and that can have varying impacts on key sectors. Here are two top winners from the recent…

Read more »

coins jump into piggy bank
Bank Stocks

Now is the Time to Buy the Big Bank Stocks

It’s always a good time to buy the big bank stocks. Here are two great picks for any investor to…

Read more »