1 No-Brainer ETF to Buy If You Think Stocks Are Overvalued

This ETF targets U.S. value stocks using a rules-based index methodology.

Key Points
  • ZVU focuses on undervalued U.S. stocks, screened using price-to-book, forward earnings, and cash flow metrics.
  • The ETF holds about 140 companies and rebalances semi-annually to maintain its value focus.
  • While it may lag during growth-driven markets, the strategy can appeal to investors concerned about elevated stock valuations.

Personally, I think the U.S. stock market looks expensive right now. One widely cited measure is the Buffett Indicator, which compares the total market capitalization of stocks to the country’s gross domestic product. Historically, anything above 100% suggested rich valuations. Today, that figure sits around 233%.

That said, these warnings apply mostly to the market as a whole. If you are buying market-cap-weighted benchmarks like the S&P 500, or even more concentrated indexes like the Nasdaq 100, you are essentially buying the most expensive and most popular stocks in the market.

But that is not the only way to invest. You can search for cheaper stocks yourself using screeners, or you can let an exchange-traded fund (ETF) do the work for you. Personally, I prefer the latter.

One ETF that fits this approach is the BMO MSCI USA Value Index ETF (TSX: ZVU). Here is why it may appeal to investors who believe U.S. stocks are currently overvalued.

a person watches stock market trades

Source: Getty Images

What is ZVU?

ZVU is a passive ETF that tracks a value-focused U.S. equity index. Instead of owning hundreds of companies across the entire market, the index narrows its selection down to roughly 140 stocks that score well on traditional value metrics.

Specifically, companies are screened based on three characteristics: the price-to-book value, price-to-forward earnings, and enterprise value-to-operating cash flow ratios. These factors aim to identify companies trading at relatively cheaper valuations.

The ETF also places limits on concentration. No single company can exceed 10% of the portfolio, which helps prevent any one stock from dominating returns. The index is rebalanced twice a year to maintain the value focus.

Sector exposure still resembles the broader U.S. market to some extent. Technology remains the largest sector, followed by financials and communication services. However, the types of companies inside the portfolio tend to look different from those dominating growth-heavy indexes.

Instead of flashy artificial intelligence names and high-growth tech firms, you are more likely to find established businesses with steadier earnings and lower valuations. Some investors jokingly call them “boomer stocks,” but they often represent durable, cash-generating companies.

ZVU: Odds and ends

Because ZVU follows a more specialized index than something like the S&P 500, it is slightly more expensive. The ETF currently charges a 0.33% management expense ratio. That is still cheaper than most actively managed funds, but higher than the ultra-low-cost fees associated with simple index ETFs.

Value stocks also tend to pay higher dividends than the broader market. As a result, ZVU offers a distribution yield of about 1.5% on an annualized basis. That yield can fluctuate, but it does provide a modest income stream.

Performance has been respectable, though not spectacular. Over the past five years, the ETF has delivered an annualized return of about 11.3%. That is solid by most standards, but it has trailed the S&P 500 during a period when high-growth technology companies dominated the market.

This is a key point to understand about value investing. When value stocks fall out of favour, strategies like this may underperform broader indexes. But when valuations matter again, the performance gap can reverse quickly. For investors worried about expensive markets, ZVU offers a way to stay invested in U.S. equities while tilting the portfolio toward cheaper companies.

Fool contributor Tony Dong has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Investing

the word REIT is an acronym for real estate investment trust
Dividend Stocks

I’d Put An Entire Year’s TFSA Room Into This 5.5% Dividend Stock for $32 Monthly in Retirement Income

With its stable rental income, high-quality tenant base, and long-term growth potential, CT REIT would be an excellent buy for…

Read more »

happy woman throws cash
Dividend Stocks

5 TSX Dividend Stocks for Steady Cash Flow: What I’d Buy With $5,000

If you are looking for stable and growing income that you can depend on, these TSX dividend stocks are a…

Read more »

a person watches a downward arrow crash through the floor
Dividend Stocks

Got $2,000? 2 Canadian Dividend Stocks I’d Buy Before the Next Market Dip

If you are worried about the next market dip, buy these two dividend stocks with $2,000 to find safety from…

Read more »

young people stare at smartphones
Investing

TFSA Investors: This Dividend Stock Pays a 4.5% Yield for Consistent Cash

Rogers Communications (TSX:RCI.B) stock has a juicy dividend and a dirt-cheap multiple this October.

Read more »

The sun sets behind a power source
Dividend Stocks

Taking CPP at 60 Shrinks Your Cheque 36%: This Dividend Stock Helps Bridge the Gap

Fortis can supplement retirement income, but dividend cash and a permanently reduced CPP pension aren't interchangeable.

Read more »

Data center servers IT workers
Dividend Stocks

The 4.3% Dividend Stock That Can Pay Retirees Cash Every 30 Days

Granite REIT (TSX:GRT.UN) has a 4.3% yield paid monthly.

Read more »

A robotic hand interacting with a visual AI touchscreen display.
Tech Stocks

BlackBerry Stock Jumped 8% On Tuesday: What’s Going on ­– and Is It a Buy?

A growing QNX royalty backlog provides a solid base for future growth and is likely to support BlackBerry’s business.

Read more »

Piggy bank on a flying rocket
Investing

How to Start an Emergency Fund With Just $25 a Week

Learn how to build an emergency fund with just $25 a week using a high-interest savings account.

Read more »