1 Canadian Energy Stock Quietly Positioning for a Big Year

Here’s why Suncor (TSX:SU) looks well-positioned to be a key winner for investor portfolios in 2026 and beyond.

Key Points
  • Suncor is a top Canadian energy stock with an integrated model, improving balance sheet, and strong capital allocation, making it ideal for long-term investors.
  • The company's operational efficiency, record production, and commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks highlight its attractiveness amidst a volatile sector.

Plenty of investors are looking for the kind of blue-chip Canadian energy stock that long-term investors can buy, tuck away, and let do the heavy lifting in their portfolios right now. In a sector that remains volatile, Suncor (TSX: SU) is one particular stock I have in mind.

This Canadian energy stock has a fully integrated model, improving balance sheet, and shareholder-friendly capital allocation, making it a top name to consider today.

Without further ado, let’s dive in.

canadian energy oil

Image source: Getty Images

Structural strength is impressive

Over the past few years, Suncor has quietly transformed itself from a more cyclical producer into a leaner industrial-style operator with improving predictability.

The company has posted record upstream production and record refining throughput, with asset utilization at or above 100%. To me, this signals a more efficient and resilient asset base. Management has also guided toward robust production levels in 2025 and beyond. That’s despite heavy expected maintenance, which tells me they’re confident in both the cost structure and reliability of operations.

That operational strength shows up in the numbers. With that, let’s dive into what Suncor has reported, and why this is a gem long-term investors should consider right now.

A balance sheet to be envied by the sector

Where Suncor really separates itself, in my view, is how it’s using its impressive cash hoard, driven by oil surging to well above US$100 per barrel, on the Brent side.

The company has continued to reduce its net debt down to roughly the company’s stated target, recently hitting the range of $6 billion to $8 billion, the lowest level in more than a decade. That deleveraging has gone hand in hand with rising shareholder returns. Suncor generated roughly $7.4 billion in free funds flow in 2024 and returned about $5.7 billion to investors through dividends and buybacks.

Today, investors get a solid dividend yield in the 2.8% range. And importantly, this yield is backed by a history of dividend growth, including high single- to low double-digit hikes in recent quarters. On top of that, Suncor has authorized roughly $3.3 billion of share repurchases in 2026, buying back stock at what still looks like a reasonable valuation in the low-teens forward price-to-earnings range.

For investors seeking a mix of income, value, and growth, that’s a compelling package.

Why buy Suncor stock right now?

In my view, putting this all together, investors have the opportunity to buy a large-cap, integrated producer with record production and utilization, structurally lower breakevens, a much stronger balance sheet, and an explicit mandate to send “all excess funds” back to shareholders.

Even after a multi-year rally, the stock still trades at a modest earnings multiple for a business generating billions in free cash flow and steadily reducing risk. That’s my kind of buying opportunity, and one I think investors should at least consider right now.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Energy Stocks

Tractor spraying a field of wheat with fertilizer
Energy Stocks

Don’t Want to Wait a Year for a GIC Payout? This 6.3% Dividend Stock Pays You Monthly

Here’s why this Canadian dividend stock is worth considering if you want monthly income and long-term growth without locking your…

Read more »

Senior uses a laptop computer
Energy Stocks

Could You Retire on Less Than $1.7 Million? It’s More Common Than You Think

The $1.7 retirement target based on a survey has become a perception and not an official benchmark.

Read more »

Aerial view of a wind farm
Energy Stocks

The Perfect TFSA Stock: A 3.3% Yield With Monthly Paycheques

Northland Power stock is a clean energy producer that's well-positioned as electricity demand soars and new projects come online.

Read more »

Nuclear power station cooling tower
Energy Stocks

Ottawa Unveils Its Clean-Energy Plan Today:The Uranium Stock at the Heart of It

Ottawa’s nuclear strategy supports the uranium story, but Cameco’s contracts, delivery costs, and valuation determine whether the stock deserves your…

Read more »

middle-aged couple work together on laptop
Energy Stocks

Do Canadians Really Need $1.7 Million to Retire? Here’s How to Check Your Number

The $1.7 million survey-based retirement savings target may not be the actual number most Canadians need to retire comfortably.

Read more »

runner checks her biodata on smartwatch
Energy Stocks

Turning 60 in 2027? Taking CPP Early Shrinks Your Cheque 36%

Taking CPP early means more years of payments but smaller monthly cheques. A simple calculation shows what waiting requires.

Read more »

Hourglass projecting a dollar sign as shadow
Energy Stocks

Investing $1,000 Today vs. Waiting for the “Perfect” Moment

You can invest $1,000 today and put it to work in resilient Canadian stocks rather than wait for the “perfect”…

Read more »

Canadian dollars in a magnifying glass
Energy Stocks

Canada’s Bank Watchdog Just Dropped Its Risk Outlook: This Dividend Stock Shrugs it Off

Emera offers a different source of dividend income from Canadian banks, although its financing costs still deserve close attention.

Read more »