1 Canadian Energy Stock Quietly Positioning for a Big Year

Here’s why Suncor (TSX:SU) looks well-positioned to be a key winner for investor portfolios in 2026 and beyond.

Key Points
  • Suncor is a top Canadian energy stock with an integrated model, improving balance sheet, and strong capital allocation, making it ideal for long-term investors.
  • The company's operational efficiency, record production, and commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks highlight its attractiveness amidst a volatile sector.

Plenty of investors are looking for the kind of blue-chip Canadian energy stock that long-term investors can buy, tuck away, and let do the heavy lifting in their portfolios right now. In a sector that remains volatile, Suncor (TSX: SU) is one particular stock I have in mind.

This Canadian energy stock has a fully integrated model, improving balance sheet, and shareholder-friendly capital allocation, making it a top name to consider today.

Without further ado, let’s dive in.

canadian energy oil

Image source: Getty Images

Structural strength is impressive

Over the past few years, Suncor has quietly transformed itself from a more cyclical producer into a leaner industrial-style operator with improving predictability.

The company has posted record upstream production and record refining throughput, with asset utilization at or above 100%. To me, this signals a more efficient and resilient asset base. Management has also guided toward robust production levels in 2025 and beyond. That’s despite heavy expected maintenance, which tells me they’re confident in both the cost structure and reliability of operations.

That operational strength shows up in the numbers. With that, let’s dive into what Suncor has reported, and why this is a gem long-term investors should consider right now.

A balance sheet to be envied by the sector

Where Suncor really separates itself, in my view, is how it’s using its impressive cash hoard, driven by oil surging to well above US$100 per barrel, on the Brent side.

The company has continued to reduce its net debt down to roughly the company’s stated target, recently hitting the range of $6 billion to $8 billion, the lowest level in more than a decade. That deleveraging has gone hand in hand with rising shareholder returns. Suncor generated roughly $7.4 billion in free funds flow in 2024 and returned about $5.7 billion to investors through dividends and buybacks.

Today, investors get a solid dividend yield in the 2.8% range. And importantly, this yield is backed by a history of dividend growth, including high single- to low double-digit hikes in recent quarters. On top of that, Suncor has authorized roughly $3.3 billion of share repurchases in 2026, buying back stock at what still looks like a reasonable valuation in the low-teens forward price-to-earnings range.

For investors seeking a mix of income, value, and growth, that’s a compelling package.

Why buy Suncor stock right now?

In my view, putting this all together, investors have the opportunity to buy a large-cap, integrated producer with record production and utilization, structurally lower breakevens, a much stronger balance sheet, and an explicit mandate to send “all excess funds” back to shareholders.

Even after a multi-year rally, the stock still trades at a modest earnings multiple for a business generating billions in free cash flow and steadily reducing risk. That’s my kind of buying opportunity, and one I think investors should at least consider right now.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Energy Stocks

golden sunset in crude oil refinery with pipeline system
Energy Stocks

TC Energy Stock Is Down 14%—Should You Buy the Dip?

Down 14%, TC Energy stock still offers a 4.2% yield following 25 years of dividend raises. With AI and LNG…

Read more »

Trans Alaska Pipeline with Autumn Colors
Energy Stocks

The High-Yield Stock That Isn’t a Trap

Although this stock yields nearly 6%, its payout ratio is just 63%, showing why it's one of the best high-yield…

Read more »

The TFSA is a powerful savings vehicle for Canadians who are saving for retirement.
Energy Stocks

Is Too Much Cash Holding Back Your TFSA?

Cash feels safe, but keeping too much of it in a long-term TFSA can quietly erode your future buying power.

Read more »

data center server racks glow with light
Energy Stocks

This Canadian Stock Has Data Centre Upside I Didn’t Expect

Calgary's Enerflex (TSX:EFX) is tapping into the AI boom with off-grid data centre power generation and a cheap valuation. Here's…

Read more »

Muscles Drawn On Black board
Energy Stocks

Canada’s Defence Boom Could Be Just Getting Started: 3 TSX Stocks I’d Buy Now

Canada’s defence buildout isn’t just about buying gear, it’s about funding Canadian capabilities in satellites, training, and manufacturing.

Read more »

investor schemes to buy stocks before market notices them
Energy Stocks

I Love Buying Enbridge Stock on Sale, and It’s on Sale Now

Enbridge stock is looking forward to strong drilling and infrastructure investment, which will drive its cash flows and dividends.

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Energy Stocks

This Unexpected Stock Is My TFSA’s Dirty Little Secret

A high-yield energy stock paying monthly dividends is a reliable income engine for a TFSA portfolio.

Read more »

sources of renewable energy
Energy Stocks

Brookfield Renewable Stock Is Down 19% in 4 Months: Buy the Dip?

Brookfield Renewable Partners stock continues to drive cash flows and dividends as energy demand continues to rise.

Read more »