1 Canadian Energy Stock Quietly Positioning for a Big Year

Here’s why Suncor (TSX:SU) looks well-positioned to be a key winner for investor portfolios in 2026 and beyond.

| More on:
Key Points
  • Suncor is a top Canadian energy stock with an integrated model, improving balance sheet, and strong capital allocation, making it ideal for long-term investors.
  • The company's operational efficiency, record production, and commitment to shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks highlight its attractiveness amidst a volatile sector.

Plenty of investors are looking for the kind of blue-chip Canadian energy stock that long-term investors can buy, tuck away, and let do the heavy lifting in their portfolios right now. In a sector that remains volatile, Suncor (TSX:SU) is one particular stock I have in mind.

This Canadian energy stock has a fully integrated model, improving balance sheet, and shareholder-friendly capital allocation, making it a top name to consider today.

Without further ado, let’s dive in.

canadian energy oil

Image source: Getty Images

Structural strength is impressive

Over the past few years, Suncor has quietly transformed itself from a more cyclical producer into a leaner industrial-style operator with improving predictability.

The company has posted record upstream production and record refining throughput, with asset utilization at or above 100%. To me, this signals a more efficient and resilient asset base. Management has also guided toward robust production levels in 2025 and beyond. That’s despite heavy expected maintenance, which tells me they’re confident in both the cost structure and reliability of operations.

That operational strength shows up in the numbers. With that, let’s dive into what Suncor has reported, and why this is a gem long-term investors should consider right now.

A balance sheet to be envied by the sector

Where Suncor really separates itself, in my view, is how it’s using its impressive cash hoard, driven by oil surging to well above US$100 per barrel, on the Brent side.

The company has continued to reduce its net debt down to roughly the company’s stated target, recently hitting the range of $6 billion to $8 billion, the lowest level in more than a decade. That deleveraging has gone hand in hand with rising shareholder returns. Suncor generated roughly $7.4 billion in free funds flow in 2024 and returned about $5.7 billion to investors through dividends and buybacks.

Today, investors get a solid dividend yield in the 2.8% range. And importantly, this yield is backed by a history of dividend growth, including high single- to low double-digit hikes in recent quarters. On top of that, Suncor has authorized roughly $3.3 billion of share repurchases in 2026, buying back stock at what still looks like a reasonable valuation in the low-teens forward price-to-earnings range.

For investors seeking a mix of income, value, and growth, that’s a compelling package.

Why buy Suncor stock right now?

In my view, putting this all together, investors have the opportunity to buy a large-cap, integrated producer with record production and utilization, structurally lower breakevens, a much stronger balance sheet, and an explicit mandate to send “all excess funds” back to shareholders.

Even after a multi-year rally, the stock still trades at a modest earnings multiple for a business generating billions in free cash flow and steadily reducing risk. That’s my kind of buying opportunity, and one I think investors should at least consider right now.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Energy Stocks

Canada national flag waving in wind on clear day
Energy Stocks

Canadians: Here’s How Much You’ll Likely Need in Your TFSA to Retire

Enbridge (TSX:ENB) stock could be a huge winner for long-term retirees.

Read more »

oil pumps at sunset
Energy Stocks

Here’s Where Enbridge Stock Could Be Headed in the Next 3 Years

Enbridge is a blue-chip TSX dividend stock that offers you a yield of more than 5% in June 2026.

Read more »

oil pump jack under night sky
Energy Stocks

1 Canadian Dividend Stock Off 10% to Buy and Hold Forever

While this top Canadian dividend stock pulls back from its highs and offers a yield above 6.5% again, it's easily…

Read more »

chart reflected in eyeglass lenses
Energy Stocks

2 Canadian Dividends Stocks Worth Snapping Up on Any Dips

These stocks should be solid picks on the next market correction.

Read more »

woman considering the future
Energy Stocks

Have $21,000 in TFSA Room? Here’s a Dividend Stock Worth Considering

Suncor Energy (TSX:SU) looks like a great bet for TFSA investors looking for value and dividends.

Read more »

Piggy bank with word TFSA for tax-free savings accounts.
Energy Stocks

The Ideal TFSA Stock: A 5% Yield Paying Constant Cash

This Canadian stock offers a 5% yield and has a solid history of consistent cash payments for decades, making it…

Read more »

Trans Alaska Pipeline with Autumn Colors
Energy Stocks

The One Canadian Stock I’d Keep in My TFSA Indefinitely

Here's why this reliable and consistent Canadian stock is the perfect long-term investment to own in your TFSA forever.

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Energy Stocks

Maximum TFSA Impact: 2 TSX Stocks to Help Multiply Your Wealth

Blackberry stock is one of the 2 TSX stocks to buy for long-term wealth creation in your TFSA.

Read more »