2 Canadian Stocks Primed to Surge in 2026

Two unlikely TSX themes could set up outsized winners in 2026. And no, they’re actually not AI.

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Key Points
  • Whitecap offers scale, cash flow, and a strong dividend, but it will swing with oil and gas prices.
  • MDA Space has fast revenue growth and a big backlog, but the stock price already assumes a lot goes right.
  • Together they balance income plus commodity leverage with high-growth exposure to satellites and security spending.

The next big TSX winners may come from two places that almost never share a sentence: oil wells and orbit.

Strange combo? Absolutely. Yet markets don’t exactly reward tidy little categories. They reward companies sitting in front of strong demand, improving results, and investors who still have reasons to catch up.

Income and growth financial chart

Source: Getty Images

Where to look

That is the setup for 2026. Energy remains volatile, defence spending keeps climbing, and governments are treating security differently than they did a few years ago. Investors need businesses with clear momentum.

The International Energy Agency expects global oil supply to fall sharply in 2026 before rebounding in 2027, while geopolitical disruptions continue to shape the outlook. That creates a messy oil market, which is annoying for drivers but potentially useful for disciplined producers.

Canada is also leaning harder into sovereign space capability. The Canadian Space Agency said next-generation satellite investments support national security, resilience, and Canada’s defence industrial capacity. Space is no longer just a science project with better lighting. It is infrastructure.

Investors looking for Canadian stocks with room to run may want to watch Whitecap Resources (TSX: WCP) and MDA Space (TSX: MDA).

WCP

Whitecap is the energy play. The company produces oil and natural gas across Western Canada, and it recently gained much larger scale after its combination with Veren. In a volatile commodity market, larger producers can often manage capital, debt, and drilling plans with more flexibility.

The latest results make the bull case easier to understand. WCP stock reported record first-quarter 2026 production of 391,416 barrels of oil equivalent per day (boe/d) and free funds flow of $349 million. Management also raised full-year production guidance while keeping its capital budget unchanged.

Higher production guidance without a higher capital budget points to better execution. Very refreshing. Usually, when companies ask for more, they also bring a very long receipt. WCP stock also returned $221 million to shareholders through dividends in the quarter and reduced net debt to $3.2 billion. It currently trades with a dividend yield of around 5%, which gives investors income while they wait for oil and gas momentum to show up in the share price. Still, this is not a sleep-through-anything stock. It belongs with investors who can handle energy-cycle drama without checking crude prices during breakfast.

MDA

MDA Space is the growth play. The company builds space technology across satellite systems, robotics, geo-intelligence, and space infrastructure. That gives it exposure to commercial satellite demand, defence spending, Earth observation, and communications. Basically, if the economy keeps putting more valuable equipment above our heads, MDA stock has a decent seat at the table.

Its first-quarter results showed real momentum. MDA stock reported revenue of $464.1 million, up 32.2% year over year, with a backlog of $3.7 billion at quarter-end. Management also pointed to a $40 billion pipeline across commercial and government opportunities. Backlog is the number to watch. It gives investors visibility into future revenue, which matters for a company growing quickly in a capital-heavy industry. Revenue can move around quarter to quarter, but a large backlog gives the story more backbone.

The opportunity grew more interesting after Canada advanced next-generation satellite work tied to Earth observation and sovereign capability. MDA stock was one of the companies awarded a concept-study contract for ground systems, and Ottawa said the funding complements prior satellite infrastructure investments. Now, it’s not cheap trading at about 70 times trailing earnings, so investors already expect growth. If contracts slow, margins weaken, or defence spending takes longer to convert into revenue, the stock could pull back. Space stocks can fly, but can also re-enter the atmosphere rudely.

Bottom line

Still, both companies have clear reasons to move higher. WCP stock offers cash flow, dividends, and energy leverage. MDA stock offers growth, backlog, and exposure to national security spending. For investors willing to accept different types of risk, these two Canadian stocks could stay firmly on the radar through 2026.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends MDA Space. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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