Is it Time to Buy the Penn West Turnaround?

With a new CEO in place and changes promised, Penn West looks to be a prime turnaround candidate.

The Motley Fool

This past June, Penn West Energy (TSX:PWT, NYSE:PWE) announced a slew of changes including naming a new CEO, David Roberts from Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO), as well as vowing to cut costs, slashing its dividend and deciding it was time to start exploring strategic alternatives. With the stock down nearly 58% over the past five years, it become obvious that the previous strategy simply wasn’t working. While the company is very early in its turnaround process, let’s take a quick look to see how things are going.

Slashing costs

So far the company has made good on its plan to strengthen its financial flexibility, as it has made some painful cuts. First on the chopping block was its dividend which was slashed from $0.27 per share all the way down to $0.14 per share. That still equates to a 4.65% yield meaning investors are still paid very well to wait as the company repositions. That wasn’t the only deep cut the company made as it also announced that it has cut 10% of its staff in the past quarter. Finally, Penn West had been contemplating an additional $300 million in capex spending to be added to its $900 million capital budget this year. However, it has since decided not to increase its investment this year. Clearly, the company is making good on its promise to cut costs.

Improving margins

The impact of those cuts were felt almost immediately as the company’s funds flow was actually 2% higher last quarter even as production dropped 14% year-over-year to 140,083 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d). In addition to the cost reductions, its margins were impacted as the company was able to get more for its oil as the spread between U.S. and Canadian oil prices tightened.

What investors also need to be reminded of is that the production drop in the quarter was due to asset sales last year which totaled $1.35 billion and represented about 13,000 BOE/d of production. While these were liquids weighted assets, the assets were not core to Penn West’s future growth plans. Given that the company is exploring strategic options, it’s probably not the last time the company’s production will be affected by assets sales.

Producing results?

Despite a plan to spend $900 million this year, the company only expects to end the year with production of 135,000 to 145,000 BOE/d. That means production could be flat or even lower than last quarter, which isn’t the direction investors want to see. This outlook could change dramatically if the company advances any plans to unlock the value of its assets as there is the potential for additional asset sales or joint ventures which would affect its production.

If there is one key consideration, it’s that new CEO David Roberts’ former employer Marathon is a company that has seen first-hand the value that can be created from strategically unlocking assets. The spinoff of its refinery arm Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) has nearly doubled in value which added a lot of value to investors’ portfolios. A move by Penn West to unlock the value of its assets could have a similarly rewarding outcome for its investors.

Final Foolish thoughts

That being said, it is tough to really buy into the company’s turnaround plan just yet because it’s still very short on details. Right now Penn West is just another energy company, albeit one with an attractive dividend. So, while investors are paid very well to wait, long suffering investors know that the dividend isn’t the company’s top priority. That’s why I’d be more cautious to buy into the turnaround just yet.

Fuel your portfolio with this instead

While there is clearly value at Penn West, you might want to consider how Canada has been stimulating the global shift to alternative energy. However, the big money isn’t in natural gas and it might not be in Penn West’s oil either. Instead, your portfolio could be best served by uranium – the key ingredient for nuclear power.

That is why the Motley Fool has prepared a Special FREE Report that will clue you into the two best uranium companies in Canada. It’s called “Fuel Your Portfolio With This Energetic Commodity,” and you can receive a copy at no charge!

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Matt Dilallo does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned at this time.  The Motley Fool does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned at this time.

More on Investing

open vault at bank
Bank Stocks

Canadian Bank Stocks Appear Unstoppable: Here’s the One I’d Buy Right Here

TD Bank (TSX:TD) and other Big Six banks blew reported good results for their latest quarters.

Read more »

four people hold happy emoji masks
Dividend Stocks

Why I’m Watching These Dividend All-Stars Very Closely

These two Canadian dividend all-stars could be among the best picks in the market right now, flying under the radar.

Read more »

man looks surprised at investment growth
Dividend Stocks

8% Dividend Yield? I’m Buying This Stellar Stock in Bulk

Do you want high monthly income backed by essentials? Slate Grocery REIT’s U.S. grocery-anchored centres offer stability, cash flow, and…

Read more »

Partially complete jigsaw puzzle with scattered missing pieces
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks to Double Up on Right Now

With their consistent dividend payouts, strong underlying businesses, and solid growth outlooks, these two dividend stocks stand out as attractive…

Read more »

Canadian dollars in a magnifying glass
Dividend Stocks

Monthly Income: Top Dividend Stocks to Buy in December

These two top Canadian dividend stocks could add steady monthly income to your portfolio while offering room to grow.

Read more »

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

Should You Buy Suncor or Canadian Natural Resources Now?

Suncor and Canadian Natural Resources are up in recent months. Are more gains on the way for one of these…

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

1 Canadian Stock to Dominate Your Portfolio in 2026

Down almost 40% from all-time highs, goeasy is a Canadian stock that offers significant upside potential to shareholders.

Read more »

Piggy bank on a flying rocket
Investing

The Best Stocks to Invest $3,000 in a TFSA Right Now

These Canadian stocks have solid fundamentals and strong future growth potential, making them best stocks for a TFSA.

Read more »