Is it Time to Buy the Penn West Turnaround?

With a new CEO in place and changes promised, Penn West looks to be a prime turnaround candidate.

The Motley Fool

This past June, Penn West Energy (TSX:PWT, NYSE:PWE) announced a slew of changes including naming a new CEO, David Roberts from Marathon Oil (NYSE:MRO), as well as vowing to cut costs, slashing its dividend and deciding it was time to start exploring strategic alternatives. With the stock down nearly 58% over the past five years, it become obvious that the previous strategy simply wasn’t working. While the company is very early in its turnaround process, let’s take a quick look to see how things are going.

Slashing costs

So far the company has made good on its plan to strengthen its financial flexibility, as it has made some painful cuts. First on the chopping block was its dividend which was slashed from $0.27 per share all the way down to $0.14 per share. That still equates to a 4.65% yield meaning investors are still paid very well to wait as the company repositions. That wasn’t the only deep cut the company made as it also announced that it has cut 10% of its staff in the past quarter. Finally, Penn West had been contemplating an additional $300 million in capex spending to be added to its $900 million capital budget this year. However, it has since decided not to increase its investment this year. Clearly, the company is making good on its promise to cut costs.

Improving margins

The impact of those cuts were felt almost immediately as the company’s funds flow was actually 2% higher last quarter even as production dropped 14% year-over-year to 140,083 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d). In addition to the cost reductions, its margins were impacted as the company was able to get more for its oil as the spread between U.S. and Canadian oil prices tightened.

What investors also need to be reminded of is that the production drop in the quarter was due to asset sales last year which totaled $1.35 billion and represented about 13,000 BOE/d of production. While these were liquids weighted assets, the assets were not core to Penn West’s future growth plans. Given that the company is exploring strategic options, it’s probably not the last time the company’s production will be affected by assets sales.

Producing results?

Despite a plan to spend $900 million this year, the company only expects to end the year with production of 135,000 to 145,000 BOE/d. That means production could be flat or even lower than last quarter, which isn’t the direction investors want to see. This outlook could change dramatically if the company advances any plans to unlock the value of its assets as there is the potential for additional asset sales or joint ventures which would affect its production.

If there is one key consideration, it’s that new CEO David Roberts’ former employer Marathon is a company that has seen first-hand the value that can be created from strategically unlocking assets. The spinoff of its refinery arm Marathon Petroleum (NYSE: MPC) has nearly doubled in value which added a lot of value to investors’ portfolios. A move by Penn West to unlock the value of its assets could have a similarly rewarding outcome for its investors.

Final Foolish thoughts

That being said, it is tough to really buy into the company’s turnaround plan just yet because it’s still very short on details. Right now Penn West is just another energy company, albeit one with an attractive dividend. So, while investors are paid very well to wait, long suffering investors know that the dividend isn’t the company’s top priority. That’s why I’d be more cautious to buy into the turnaround just yet.

Fuel your portfolio with this instead

While there is clearly value at Penn West, you might want to consider how Canada has been stimulating the global shift to alternative energy. However, the big money isn’t in natural gas and it might not be in Penn West’s oil either. Instead, your portfolio could be best served by uranium – the key ingredient for nuclear power.

That is why the Motley Fool has prepared a Special FREE Report that will clue you into the two best uranium companies in Canada. It’s called “Fuel Your Portfolio With This Energetic Commodity,” and you can receive a copy at no charge!

The Motley Fool’s purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool Canada’s free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead.

Follow us on Twitter and Facebook for the latest in Foolish investing.

Fool contributor Matt Dilallo does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned at this time.  The Motley Fool does not own shares in any of the companies mentioned at this time.

More on Investing

Woman checking her computer and holding coffee cup
Dividend Stocks

What Is Going On With BCE’s Dividend?

After a 56% dividend cut in 2025, BCE’s 5.8% yield faces fresh pressure -- yet its AI data-centre pivot may…

Read more »

The TFSA is a powerful savings vehicle for Canadians who are saving for retirement.
Dividend Stocks

How the Average TFSA Changes Across Canada

Boost your TFSA balance by aiming to max contributions and investing wisely for long-term growth.

Read more »

Piggy bank with word TFSA for tax-free savings accounts.
Dividend Stocks

The Average TFSA Balance for Canadians at 55

Canadians average $43,519 in their TFSA at 55, but unused room tops $57,000. Here's how dividend stocks like BMO can…

Read more »

Blocks conceptualizing Canada's Tax Free Savings Account
Dividend Stocks

Today’s Perfect TFSA Stock: 5% Monthly Income

This top REIT continues to pay reliable monthly distributions to investors while being fundamentally solid. Here’s what to know.

Read more »

senior relaxes in hammock with e-book
Dividend Stocks

2 Canadian Dividend Stocks Perfect for Retirees

Enbridge (TSX:ENB) stands out as a magnificent retiree-friendly dividend payer.

Read more »

man looks worried about something on his phone
Stocks for Beginners

3 Canadian Stocks Built for Investors Worried About Uncertain Times

These three Canadian stocks offer different kinds of defence while rates stay high and the economy stays uncertain.

Read more »

Man holds Canadian dollars in differing amounts
Dividend Stocks

5 TSX Dividend Stocks With Solid Yields Built for Steady Cash Flow in Any Market

Given their reliable business models, stable cash flows, and solid growth prospects, these five dividend stocks are excellent buys for…

Read more »

Canadian Dollars bills
Dividend Stocks

A Simple Way to Turn $25,000 in TFSA Savings Into Consistent Cash Flow

Turn $25,000 in TFSA savings into consistent cash flow with three Canadian dividend stocks offering income and long-term growth.

Read more »