3 Stocks to Watch This Week: Suncor Energy, BCE, Fortis

Poor results, even when expected, may still get punished in an unforgiving market.

| More on:
The Motley Fool
You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn more

The 2013 fourth quarter results season will move into full swing this week. Among the stocks that we highlighted last week, Canadian Pacific Railway Ltd (TSX:CP) (NYSE:CP) delivered strong profit growth (as expected) but the stock price nevertheless increased by 7.5% over the week, probably as reward for the operational progress made over the past year.

Potash Corp (TSX:POT) had as expected, a poor fourth quarter, but surprised the market by substantially lowering its profit forecast for 2014. After an initial sharp drop, the share price recovered to end the week only slightly lower on increasing evidence that potash contract prices are stabilising.

AGF Management Ltd (TSX:AGF.B) announced worse results than expected with profits 37% below the previous year as a result of a 14% decline in the assets under management. Despite the strong balance sheet, the dividend will come under pressure if the profitability of the company does not improve soon.The market did not take kindly to the results and the share price ended the week 9% down.

Stocks to watch closely in the week ahead

Suncor Energy (TSX:SU)(NYSE:SU) will announce results on Monday. As one of the top listed companies on the Canadian market and now also part of the Warren Buffett portfolio, it will get considerable attention. The consensus earnings per share expectation for the final quarter is $0.76 compared to $0.65 a year ago.

The market will focus on the achievement of production forecasts (545,000 to 590,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day), free cash flow generation and adjustments to the 2014 corporate guidance. The company has a portfolio of quality assets where production will continue to increase over the next 5-10 years, but it has to be done in a profitable manner to lift the below-benchmark return on capital.

BCE Inc. (TSX:BCE)(NYSE:BCE) will announce results on Thursday. Adjusted earnings per share of $0.69 for the fourth quarter is expected compared to $0.65 a year ago. Early pointers to the success of the $3.3 billion Astral acquisition in July 2013 will be scrutinised as well as the operational performance of the growing divisions, wireless mobile, high-speed internet and satellite television services and the struggling fixed line telephone.

The company has a good record of free cash flow generation, of which 65%-75% is paid to investors in the form of dividends. Dividends have grown consistently by 7.7% per year over the past 10 years and the current yield on the stock is 5%. Net debt levels have increased after the Astral acquisition but should be manageable barring a sudden deterioration in the business performance or a sharp increase in interest rates.

We hope for limited excitement when the utility Fortis Inc. (TSX:FTS) announces results on Thursday. Adjusted earnings per share for the fourth quarter of $0.47 is expected compared to $0.45 a year ago.

The company has been on an acquisition path recently having closed the CH Energy Group transaction for US$1.5 billion in 2012 and recently announced a US$4.3 billion offer for the Arizona-based UNS Energy that is expected to close by the end of 2014. The offer price was at a 31% premium to the market price of UNS and looks expensive. We hope that the company does not overpay for acquisitions, which may impact its ability to sustain the 41-year record of growing dividend payments.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Deon Vernooy holds a position in BCE Inc.

More on Investing

Profit dial turned up to maximum
Tech Stocks

$1,000 Invested in Constellation Software Stock Would Be Worth This Much Today

Constellation Software (TSX:CSU) is trading above $2,000 today. Why this stock is so expensive, and is it worth buying?

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

Passive Income: 3 Top Canadian Stocks to Buy for Monthly Dividends

Companies such as Pembina Pipeline and Killam Apartment REIT pay investors monthly dividends, making them top bets for income-seeking investors.

Read more »

Shopping card with boxes labelled REITs, ETFs, Bonds, Stocks
Stocks for Beginners

TFSA Investors: Top TSX Stocks to Buy With $6,000

Here are two safe, dividend-paying TSX stocks for your long-term portfolio.

Read more »

Gold medal

3 Growth Stocks That Could Be Huge Winners in the Next Decade and Beyond

Are you looking for growth stocks that could be huge winners in the next decade? Here are three top picks!

Read more »

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.

Retirees: How to Make Over $95/Week in Passive Income TAX FREE!

Canadian retirees who are hungry for passive income should look to snag stocks like Sienna Senior Living Inc. (TSX:SIA) in…

Read more »

Man holding magnifying glass over a document

Where to Invest $500 in the TSX Right Now

Given the massive correction, long-term investors can start buying stocks like Shopify and goeasy to outpace the broader markets by…

Read more »

Aircraft wing plane

Air Canada Stock Is a Fantastic Deal Right Now

Air Canada (TSX:AC) is a great stock to own, as market fear turns into hope amid falling recession fears.

Read more »

Pixelated acronym REIT made from cubes, mosaic pattern

Beginner Investors: Get Passive Income by Investing in REITs!

You can get passive income by investing in REITs like Northwest Healthcare Properties REIT (TSX:NWH.UN).

Read more »