Loblaw Companies Limited Crushed Q4 Earnings Expectations: Is Now the Time to Buy?

Loblaw Companies Limited (TSX:L) released better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings on February 26, but its stock has fallen nearly 1% in the days since. Should you be a long-term buyer?

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Loblaw Companies Limited (TSX:L), the largest retailer of food in Canada, announced better-than-expected fourth-quarter earnings before the market opened on February 26, but its stock has responded by making a slight move to the downside. Let’s take a closer look at the quarterly results to determine if we should consider using this weakness as a long-term buying opportunity.

The better-than-expected results

Here’s a summary of Loblaw’s fourth-quarter earnings results compared to what analysts had anticipated and its results in the same period a year ago.

Metric Reported Expected Year-Ago
Earnings Per Share $0.96 $0.89 $0.57
Revenue $11.41 billion $10.45 billion $7.64 billion

Source: Financial Times

Loblaw’s earnings per share increased 68.4% and its revenue increased 49.4% compared to the fourth quarter of fiscal 2013. The company’s vast earnings per share growth can be attributed to its adjusted net income soaring 146% to $396 million. Its near 50% increase in revenue can be largely attributed to its acquisition of Shoppers Drug Mart, which contributed $3.05 billion of revenue, or 26.8% of the company’s total revenue for the quarter, but excluding this acquisition, revenues still increased a very strong 9.4% to $8.36 billion.

Here’s a quick breakdown of eight other notable statistics and updates from the report compared to the year-ago period:

  1. Comparable same-store grocery sales increased 2.4%
  2. Same-store sales increased 3.8% at Shoppers Drug Mart
  3. Same-store pharmacy sales increased 4.2% at Shoppers Drug Mart
  4. Front-of-the-store same-store sales increased 3.6% at Shoppers Drug Mart
  5. Adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) increased 94.3% to $950 million
  6. Adjusted operating income increased 132.4% to $681 million
  7. Free cash flow increased 30.7% to $439 million
  8. Ended the quarter with $999 million in cash and cash equivalents, an increase of 1.9% from the beginning of the quarter

Loblaw also announced that it would be maintaining its quarterly dividend of $0.245. The next payment will come on April 1 to shareholders of record at the close of business on March 15.

Should you invest in Loblaw today?

Loblaw is the largest food retailer in Canada, and increased traffic at its stores and its acquisition of Shoppers Drug Mart led it to a better-than-expected fourth-quarter performance, but its stock has responded by falling nearly 1% in the trading sessions since.

I think the post-earnings weakness in Loblaw’s stock represents a great long-term buying opportunity, because it trades at attractive valuations, because it has ample cash on its balance sheet to pursue acquisitions, and because its dividend will provide additional returns to investors.

First, Loblaw’s stock trades at just 19.8 times fiscal 2014’s adjusted earnings per share of $3.22 and only 18.1 times fiscal 2015’s estimated earnings per share of $3.52, both of which are inexpensive compared to its long-term growth rate.

Second, the company ended the quarter with $999 million in cash and cash equivalents, and I think this leaves it well positioned to pursue further acquisitions to stimulate growth going forward.

Third, Loblaw pays an annual dividend of $0.98 per share, giving its stock a 1.5% yield at current levels, and this will provide additional returns to investors, especially if they are reinvested.

With all of this information in mind, I think Foolish investors should strongly consider making Loblaw a core position today.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Investing

Warning sign with the text "Trade war" in front of container ship
Dividend Stocks

The Canadian Companies Thriving During Trade Tensions

These Canadian companies are proving that trade tensions don’t always slow down strong businesses.

Read more »

woman considering the future
Stocks for Beginners

3 Canadian Stocks That Look Like Smart Long-Term Buys Today

Three TSX dividend names offer staying power in very different ways: media tech, gold production, and real-asset development.

Read more »

hand stacks coins
Energy Stocks

3 Ultra-High-Yield Energy Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold for 2026

These high-yield Canadian energy stocks could help investors generate strong passive income in 2026 and beyond.

Read more »

A child pretends to blast off into space.
Tech Stocks

1 Stock I Plan to Load Up on in 2026

This TSX stock is likely to benefit from sustained spending on space-based surveillance, intelligence, and communications systems.

Read more »

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

This 8% Dividend Stock Pays You Every Single Month

This TSX dividend stock offers an impressive 8% yield and sends cash to investors every single month.

Read more »

An investor uses a tablet
Dividend Stocks

The Ideal TFSA Stock for May: Paying 5.4% Each Month

This Canadian monthly dividend stock could be a strong addition to your TFSA right now.

Read more »

Canada Day fireworks over two Adirondack chairs on the wooden dock in Ontario, Canada
Investing

2 Canadian Dividend Stars That Are Still a Good Price

Restaurant Brands International (TSX:QSR) and another dividend star that looks like a good buy here.

Read more »

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Stocks for Beginners

The Top 3 Canadian ETFs I’m Considering for 2026

Here are some of the top Canadian ETFs for 2026, and why they stand out for dividends, stability, and sector…

Read more »