Should You Buy Toronto-Dominion Bank or Royal Bank of Canada Right Now?

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD) and Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY) are both top picks, but one is a safer bet right now.

| More on:

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD) and Royal Bank of Canada (TSX:RY)(NYSE:RY) are normally the first names investors turn to when looking for Canadian bank exposure.

For the past six years Canadian banks have been a smart bet, but the oil rout continues to send shockwaves through the Canadian economy, and fears of a recession are mounting. The worst-case scenario calls for a dramatic rise in unemployment and a meltdown in the housing market.

That doesn’t sound like an inviting environment for bank investors, and the shares of the Big Five have been under pressure in recent weeks.

Let’s take a look at Toronto-Dominion Bank and Royal Bank of Canada to see if you should consider adding them to your portfolio after the recent pullback.

Toronto-Dominion Bank

TD operates a very strong Canadian retail operation. It delivered year-over-year Q2 2015 adjusted net income growth of 6%, a solid number given the difficult environment facing the banks.

As the Canadian economy heads into a rough patch, TD’s U.S. operations should help balance out the revenue stream. Over the past decade the company has invested $17 billion to build its U.S. presence and now has more than 1,300 branches running from Maine right down to Florida. Last year CEO Bharat Masrani said TD now has the scale it needs to compete in the U.S. market.

The timing looks pretty good as the U.S. economy continues to improve and TD is getting a nice earnings boost from the stronger American dollar.

The company is undergoing a comprehensive review of its operations and recently announced a $228 million restructuring charge. Most of the costs will be tied to changes in the U.S. group as the company transitions from a growth strategy to one focused on improving efficiency and profitability. Investors should see the benefits start to show up at the end of this year.

TD pays a dividend of $2.04 per share that yields about 3.9%. The company recently increased the payout by 9%.

Just $3.8 billion, or 1% of the company’s loans, is connected to the oil and gas sector.

Royal Bank

In Q2 2015 Royal delivered record adjusted net income of $2.4 billion, a 9% jump over the same period a year ago.

The company gets about 51% of its earnings from personal and commercial banking activities. Capital markets bring in 24%, wealth management contributes 11%, and the company’s insurance group recently kicked in 8% of profits. Investor and treasury services make up the rest.

The company is betting big on U.S. wealth management with a US$5.4 billion deal to acquire California-based City National Corp. The purchase provides Royal with a good platform to expand its asset-management operations south of the border.

Royal also increased its dividend this year and now pays $3.08 per share that yields about 4%.

About 1.5% of Royal’s total loan book is exposed to the oil and gas sector, and Alberta represents about 15% of its mortgage portfolio.

Should You Buy TD or Royal?

Both banks are currently trading at an attractive 11 times forward earnings. TD relies less on capital markets, which can be quite volatile, so it might be the more conservative pick. Nonetheless, investors with a long-term outlook should be comfortable holding either stock at this point.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Andrew Walker has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Bank Stocks

Question marks in a pile
Bank Stocks

Should You Buy Canadian Western Bank for its 4.8% Dividend Yield?

Down 35% from all-time highs, Canadian Western Bank offers a tasty dividend yield of 4.8%. Is the TSX bank stock…

Read more »

analyze data
Bank Stocks

The Average Canadian Stock Investor Owns This 1 Stock: Do You?

This Canadian stock has about 49% ownership by the public, and with growth and dividends to consider, it's a top…

Read more »

falling red arrow and lifting
Stocks for Beginners

1 Dividend Stock Down 18% to Buy Right Now

CIBC (TSX:CM) is a strong dividend stock investors should certainly consider not just for passive income, but future growth as…

Read more »

edit Business accounting concept, Business man using calculator with computer laptop, budget and loan paper in office.
Tech Stocks

Forget TD Stock: 2 Tech Stocks to Buy Instead

TD remains a solid income stock but two outperforming tech stocks are better buys for their strong growth and upside…

Read more »

Question marks in a pile
Bank Stocks

Where Will Royal Bank of Canada Stock Be in 5 Years?

Royal Bank's continued focus on a strong capital position plus its acquisition of HSBC will likely ensure prosperous times ahead.

Read more »

Payday ringed on a calendar
Bank Stocks

How to Build a Bulletproof Monthly Passive-Income Portfolio With Just $10,000 and TD Stock

TD (TSX:TD) stock has been a poor performer over the last few years, but could be a big passive-income winner…

Read more »

Man considering whether to sell or buy
Bank Stocks

Is RBC Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Shares of Royal Bank of Canada have delivered game-changing returns to shareholders in the last two decades. Is RBC stock…

Read more »

Dice engraved with the words buy and sell
Bank Stocks

Is Scotiabank (BNS) Stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Let's dive into whether the Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX:BNS) remains a solid buy or if it's more of a…

Read more »