Enerplus Corp.: Can the Earnings-Induced Rally Continue?

Enerplus Corp. (TSX:ERF)(NYSE:ERF) released third-quarter earnings on November 6, and its stock has reacted by rising over 6%. Could the rally continue?

| More on:
The Motley Fool

Enerplus Corp. (TSX:ERF)(NYSE:ERF), one of the leading producers of crude oil and natural gas in North America, announced third-quarter earnings results on the morning of November 6, and its stock has responded by rising over 6% in the trading sessions since. Let’s take a closer look at the results to determine if we should buy in to or avoid this rally.

The results that have sent its shares higher

Here’s a summary of Enerplus’s third-quarter earnings results compared with its results in the same period a year ago.

Metric Q3 2015 Q3 2014
Earnings Per Share ($1.42) $0.33
Oil & Natural Gas Sales, Net of Royalties $228.3 million $378.3 million

Source: Enerplus Corp.

In the first quarter of fiscal 2015, Enerplus reported a net loss of $292.67 million, or $1.42 per share, compared to a net profit of $67.43 million, or $0.33 per share, in the same quarter a year ago, as its revenue, net of royalties, decreased 39.7% year over year to $228.3 million.

The company noted that these steep declines could be attributed to the “weak commodity price environment,” which led to its average selling price of crude oil decreasing 45.4% to $48.22 per barrel, its average selling price of natural gas liquids decreasing 71.1% to $13.51 per barrel, and its average selling price of natural gas decreasing 38.1% to $2.08 per thousand cubic feet.

Here’s a quick breakdown of eight other notable statistics from the report compared with the year-ago period:

  1. Total production increased 6.5% to 110,794 barrels of oil equivalent per day
  2. Production of crude oil increased 11.3% to 44,888 barrels per day
  3. Production of natural gas liquids increased 30.8% to 5,061 barrels per day
  4. Production of natural gas increased 1.7% to 365.07 million cubic feet per day
  5. Total oil and natural gas sales decreased 39.6% to $275.7 million
  6. Funds flow from operations decreased 43.2% to $120.85 million
  7. Cash flow from operating activities decreased 38.4% to $122.6 million
  8. Debt outstanding, net of cash, increased 12.4% to $1.23 billion

Also, as a result of the low commodity price environment and the negative impact it has had on Enerplus’s operations, it announced a 40% reduction to its monthly dividend to $0.03 per share. This reduction will be effective for its December dividend and is expected to save the company approximately $50 million annually.

Should you buy in to or avoid the rally?

It was an awful quarter for Enerplus, and its dividend reduction amplified the negative sentiment, so I do not think the post-earnings pop in its stock is warranted. With this being said, I do not see further upside from here and think the negatives far outweigh the positives when considering buying the stock today, especially because commodity prices remain under pressure, which will likely lead to another very disappointing performance in the fourth quarter.

With all of the information provided above in mind, I think Foolish investors should avoid Enerplus stock today and simply monitor it going forward.

Fool contributor Joseph Solitro has no position in any stocks mentioned.

More on Energy Stocks

financial chart graphs and oil pumps on a field
Energy Stocks

Here’s a TFSA Stock Yielding 6.6% With Reliable Payments

A high-yield, small-cap energy stock is a strong buy candidate for income-focused TFSA investors.

Read more »

Hourglass and stock price chart
Energy Stocks

Is This the Stock That Could Make You a Millionaire?

Achieving $1 million in a TFSA over time is achievable with a high-yield, real-world compounding engine as your anchor stock.

Read more »

The RRSP (Canadian Registered Retirement Savings Plan) is a smart way to save and invest for the future
Energy Stocks

Are You Behind on Your RRSP? Here’s What 50-Year-Olds Have

If your RRSP is behind, increasing contributions and investing to generate solid long-term total-return can help close the gap.

Read more »

jar with coins and plant
Energy Stocks

Why I’m Adding to This Dividend Stock Right Now

Brookfield Asset Management (TSX:BAM) might be an excellent pick for investors seeking reliable dividends for the long run.

Read more »

oil pump jack under night sky
Energy Stocks

This High-Yield Dividend Stock Could Look Very Different in 5 Years

Whitecap’s 4.4% monthly dividend looks solid today, but the real upside is whether the Veren merger keeps improving cash flow…

Read more »

Dam of hydroelectric power plant in Canadian Rockies
Energy Stocks

Up 3.7% After Earnings, Is Algonquin a Good Stock to Buy Now?

Discover how Algonquin's financial performance has evolved and whether it remains a worthwhile investment in today's market.

Read more »

Senior uses a laptop computer
Energy Stocks

While Rates Sit Still, These 2 Dividend Giants Look Good

Whether you’re a beginner or a seasoned investor, these two high-quality TSX dividend stocks can be excellent holdings for your…

Read more »

Dam of hydroelectric power plant in Canadian Rockies
Energy Stocks

Why I’m Holding This 2.5%-Yielding TSX Stock for Decades

Despite a meager dividend yield, this high-quality utility stock might be the perfect long-term pick for any self-directed investment portfolio.

Read more »