How to Determine Dividend Safety

A combination of things can improve the safety of your dividends. Here’s an example with three companies, including Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. (TSX:PEY).

Typically, when a company’s yield exceeds 7%, investors start to question its sustainability. The rationale is that the market commands a higher yield in that stock, which makes it riskier than similar companies that offer lower yields.

That risk could be in the form of slower company growth or that the dividend is outright unsustainable. However, whether or not a company can maintain its yield must be studied on a case-by-case basis and does not have a direct relationship with how big or small its yield is.

Here are several examples from different industries: Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX: TD)(NYSE: TD), NorthWest Health Prop Real Est Inv Trust (TSX:NWH.UN), and Peyto Exploration & Development Corp. (TSX: PEY).

Toronto-Dominion Bank

The Canadian banks are known for their safe dividends. Even during the Financial Crisis, they were still able to maintain their dividends, including Toronto-Dominion Bank.

In fact, the bank’s annual payout is more than five times its payout in fiscal 2000 and more than two times its payout in fiscal 2007, right before the Financial Crisis.

Recently, we saw interest rate hikes, which allow Toronto-Dominion Bank and other banks to be more profitable with a higher net interest margin. Throwing in a payout ratio of under 45% and estimated earnings-per-share growth of at least 9% in the next three to five years, Toronto-Dominion Bank is capable of growing its dividend at a decent pace. At ~$67.50, investors can get an initial yield of ~3.5%.

dividends

Northwest Healthcare Properties

Northwest Healthcare Properties earns rental income from 144 healthcare properties in the major markets of Canada, Brazil, Germany, Australia, and New Zealand. The asset mix is about 55% medical office buildings and other and 45% hospitals.

Northwest Healthcare Properties’s portfolio has a weighted average lease expiry of about 11 years and an occupancy of ~96%. Moreover, the real estate investment trust (REIT) has a payout ratio of ~83%, and it has some inflation-indexed leases. So, the company can maintain its yield. At ~$11.10, investors can get a starting yield of ~7.2%.

Notably, Northwest Healthcare Properties’s biggest tenant is Rede D’Or, which was founded in 1977 and is one of the largest hospital operators in Brazil. Rede D’Or contributes 18.7% of the REIT’s gross rent.

Peyto

Although the company is an oil and gas producer (primarily gas), the management keeps a close eye on its earnings and how much in dividends it pays out. Since converting from a trust to a corporation at the end of 2010, the company has increased its dividend by 83%.

That said, with the volatility of the underlying commodity prices, there’s no telling for sure that the dividends from oil and gas producers are safe. However, Peyto is one of the few producers with a higher chance of maintaining its dividend. At $20.40, Peyto offers a yield of ~6.5%.

Investor takeaway

Dividend companies with volatile earnings and cash flows have a bigger chance of cutting their dividends in bad times. A company whose payout ratio is in line or below its peers’ has a safer dividend. Consistent growth in a company’s earnings or cash flows improves the company’s dividend safety. Management’s commitment to the dividend also helps.

Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of NORTHWEST HEALTHCARE PPTYS REIT UNITS and PEYTO EXPLORATION AND DVLPMNT CORP. NorthWest Healthcare Properties is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

More on Dividend Stocks

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Dividend Stocks

How to Use a TFSA to Generate $200 in Monthly Tax-Free Income

Use a TFSA to build $200 in monthly tax-free income with XEI and ZRE. See how these ETFs work and…

Read more »

Business success of growth metaverse finance and investment profit graph concept or development analysis progress chart on financial market achievement strategy background with increase hand diagram
Dividend Stocks

Smart Ways to Invest Extra Income and Say Goodbye to Financial Stress

Canadians have ways to make their extra income work as hard as they do and say goodbye to financial stress.

Read more »

Two seniors walk in the forest
Dividend Stocks

Sun Life Stock Pays 3.3%: How Much to Invest for $100 a Month in Dividends

Sun Life Financial (TSX:SLF) might be a massive bargain after Thursday's vicious plunge as stock markets sold off hard.

Read more »

TFSA (Tax free savings account) acronym on wooden cubes on the background of stacks of coins
Dividend Stocks

How to Turn Your TFSA Into $1,000 a Month in Tax-Free Income

Build toward $1,000 a month in tax-free income with a TFSA. See how Enbridge, Scotiabank and ZWC could help, and…

Read more »

customer fills up car with gasoline
Dividend Stocks

How Much Emergency Money Do Canadians Actually Need?

A safety fund equivalent to 3 to 6 months of living expenses is generally the baseline buffer that Canadians would…

Read more »

woman holding steering wheel is nervous about the future
Dividend Stocks

Still Up Double Digits This Year: Should You Still Invest in TSX Stocks After Thursday’s Dramatic Drop?

The TSX has gained about 136% over the past decade. So, stay invested, dollar‑cost average, and maintain diversification. 

Read more »

Real estate investment concept
Dividend Stocks

Intact Stock: Would I Buy It for Growth, Income, or Both?

Intact’s modest yield makes profitable long-term growth the main attraction, with catastrophe losses putting the next purchase to a test.

Read more »

hiker with backpack in the mountains
Dividend Stocks

2 Top Canadian Dividend Stocks for $1,850 in Annual Passive Income

With reliable cash flows, high dividend yields, and strong growth prospects, these two Canadian stocks suit income-seeking investors.

Read more »