This Overlooked and Attractively Valued Oil Stock Is a Strong Buy

We put Tourmaline Oil Corp. (TSX:TOU) through a home-made stock screening tool to see whether or not it’s a buy today.

| More on:

There are a lot of stock screening tools out there on websites and app stores across the Internet. If you want to be your own portfolio manager, you can screen stocks yourself by taking your pick of them.

Another way to get similar results is to do the math yourself. The basics of my simple stock screening tool are detailed below, and I’ve used it today to investigate the buy-or-sell signal of Tourmaline Oil (TSX:TOU).

What’s today’s valuation of Tourmaline Oil?

The screening tool that has been built here uses three factors, each split into three subsections. A 33 point weighting is given per factor, in order to get a total percentage score.

Each subsection is scored out of 11 – partly so they’ll add up easily, but mostly so we can quote Spinal Tap. For a value weighting, I used the P/E and P/B ratios, as well as the dividend yield.

An overlooked Canadian energy stock, Tourmaline Oil has a P/E ratio today of 19.3 times earnings. This beats the industry, but trails the market by a very small margin. Its P/B of 0.8 times book looks good, while a dividend yield of 1.91% is higher than the average rate of the bottom 25% of Canadian dividend payers, but below the top 25% (in other words, it’s in the 50% of Canadian stocks that pay an acceptable dividend). Add it all up, and this stock gets 25/33 on value.

Is Tourmaline Oil a good quality stock?

I used return on equity (ROE) as an indicator of quality as this shows a company’s capacity to reinvest in itself to stimulate growth, as well as to make acquisitions and expand, or give back earnings to shareholders through dividends or sometimes buybacks. Earnings per share (EPS) and expected growth in earnings also make good quality indicators.

Tourmaline Oil has the following data available: a low ROE of 4%, decent EPS of $1.09, and a solid 22.4% expected annual growth in earnings; this gives a respectable score of 23/33.

Does Tourmaline Oil have momentum?

Price momentum over time can be calculated across any period, but for the purposes of the current calculations I’ve gone with five days. For price volatility I used the five-year beta, since it shows variability relative to the market, which is weighted by default with a value of one. Finally, I scored valuation by comparing the share’s going price to its future cash flow value.

Tourmaline Oil gained 3.63% in the last five days (at the time of writing), while its beta of 1.45 shows middling volatility; its share price, meanwhile, is overvalued by almost 25% of its future cash flow value. All in all, this gives a score of 22/33.

The bottom line

While it’s not an exact science, with a fair amount of eye-balling required when giving weightings to certain factors (go ahead and replace this with exact equations for a more precise appraisal), there are enough variables included in my stock screening tool to give a quick reading of whether a stock is a buy or not.

Through it, Tourmaline Oil gets an overall score of 70%, which is a moderately strong buy signal that lines up nicely with today’s analysts’ buy signal of 4.25 out of 5.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Victoria Hetherington has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Dividend Stocks

ways to boost income
Dividend Stocks

1 Excellent TSX Dividend Stock, Down 25%, to Buy and Hold for the Long Term

Down 25% from all-time highs, Tourmaline Oil is a TSX dividend stock that offers you a tasty yield of 5%…

Read more »

Start line on the highway
Dividend Stocks

1 Incredibly Cheap Canadian Dividend-Growth Stock to Buy Now and Hold for Decades

CN Rail (TSX:CNR) stock is incredibly cheap, but should investors join insiders by buying the dip?

Read more »

bulb idea thinking
Dividend Stocks

Down 13%, This Magnificent Dividend Stock Is a Screaming Buy

Sometimes, a moderately discounted, safe dividend stock is better than heavily discounted stock, offering an unsustainably high yield.

Read more »

Canadian Dollars bills
Dividend Stocks

Invest $15,000 in This Dividend Stock, Create $5,710.08 in Passive Income

This dividend stock is the perfect option if you're an investor looking for growth, as well as passive income through…

Read more »

A Canada Pension Plan Statement of Contributions with a 100 dollar banknote and dollar coins.
Dividend Stocks

3 Compelling Reasons to Delay Taking CPP Benefits Until Age 70

You don't need to take CPP early if you are receiving large dividend payments from Fortis Inc (TSX:FTS) stock.

Read more »

A worker overlooks an oil refinery plant.
Dividend Stocks

Better Dividend Stock: TC Energy vs. Enbridge

TC Energy and Enbridge have enjoyed big rallies in 2024. Is one stock still cheap?

Read more »

Concept of multiple streams of income
Dividend Stocks

Got $10,000? Buy This Dividend Stock for $4,992.40 in Total Passive Income

Want almost $5,000 in annual passive income? Then you need a company bound for even more growth, with a dividend…

Read more »

Investor reading the newspaper
Dividend Stocks

Emerging Investment Trends to Watch for in 2025

Canadians must watch out for and be guided by emerging investment trends to ensure financial success in 2025.

Read more »