The Motley Fool

Why Your Portfolio May Grow Better With This Nutrient

The merger of Potash Corp. and Agrium early this year created Nutrien (TSX:NTR)(NYSE:NTR), a formidable world leader in providing crop nutrients, inputs, and services.

Nutrien is the global leader in crop inputs (i.e., seeds, fertilizers, and crop protection and services); it is more than double the market cap of its next competitor.

About half a year into the integration, Nutrien achieved run-rate synergies of US$246 million. Management estimates Nutrien can achieve annual synergies of US$500 million by the end of next year.

barley field farm

The diversified portfolio

The combined company has a diversified portfolio with adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) mix of roughly 35% retail, 33% potash, 25% nitrogen, and 7% phosphate and sulfate.

Nutrien is the world’s largest direct-to-grower provider of products, services and solutions with annual sales of about US$12 billion. It has about 1,600 retail locations in seven countries and serves about 500,000 retail grower customers. This retail business is essentially a stabilizer — it helps to reduce the impact of volatile commodity prices of potash, nitrogen, and phosphate.

Nutrien is the largest potash producer, third-largest nitrogen producer, and second-largest North American phosphate producer selling about 12 million tonnes, 10 million tonnes, and 3.5 million tonnes of products, respectively, per year.


Nutrien forecasts earnings growth across all its business units with combined adjusted EBITDA growth of about 30-35% this year. There are a number of factors that will boost growth.

First, synergies of the integration will lead to lower costs, which will improve margins and boost the bottom line. Second, any improvement in commodity prices will boost sales and earnings.

Third, management anticipates stable EBITDA growth of US$50-140 million per year for its retail business. The launch of an integrated digital platform this year for growers should increase sales.

Fourth, Nutrien estimates to get net proceeds of about US$5 billion from selling some of its non-core assets by the end of this year. The proceeds can then be reinvested elsewhere in higher-growth opportunities.

Fifth, Nutrien has a normal course issuer bid that extends to February 2019 to buy back shares, which can boost profitability on a per-share basis.


Nutrien estimates to generate about US$3 of free cash flow per share this year. However, based on the average nutrient price in the past eight years, it would generate about US$8 of free cash flow per share.

The company pays out an annualized dividend per share of US$1.60 right now. So, the payout ratio is about 53% of free cash flow. This means that the dividend has good coverage and has strong growth potential.

At $69.14 per share as of writing, Nutrien offers a safe yield of about 3%.

Investor takeaway

Nutrien offers a decent dividend yield of roughly 3% with growth prospects (potentially double-digit growth) from a number of factors.

Our #1 Stock to Buy in 2018 (and Beyond!)

When you buy heavily cyclical stocks at low prices… and then hold the shares until the cycle reaches its peak… you can make a very healthy profit.

Every investor knows that. But many struggle to identify the best opportunities.

Except The Motley Fool may have a plan to solve that problem! Our in-house analyst team has poured thousands of hours into their proprietary research – and this is the result.

Our top advisor Iain Butler has just identified his #1 stock to buy in 2018 (and beyond).

The last time this stock went from the low point of its cycle to the peak… shares shot from $12 to $40 inside of 4 years. That’s an 300%-plus return. And if you missed out on that ride, today might just be your second chance.

Click here to claim Iain’s new report, absolutely FREE!

Fool contributor Kay Ng has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Nutrien is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

I consent to receiving information from The Motley Fool via email, direct mail, and occasional special offer phone calls. I understand I can unsubscribe from these updates at any time. Please read the Privacy Statement and Terms of Service for more information.