Aphria Stock (TSX:APH): Is the Worst Over for This Top Marijuana Stock?

The worst may be over Aphria Inc.(TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA), top marijuana stock, but its future upside is still limited. Find out why?

Aphria Inc. (TSX:APHA)(NYSE:APHA) has been through a lot in the past six months. This top marijuana producer has faced a powerful attack from a short-seller, and it successfully battled a hostile takeover bid with Green Growth Brands Inc.

The biggest threat came from an allegation by Quintessential Capital Management and Hindenburg Research in December. The short sellers blamed  Aphria for overpaying for “largely worthless” assets in Jamaica, Colombia and Argentina when it acquired LATAM Holdings Inc. in September for $298 million.

The allegation was so serious that it shook investor confidence in this Canadian marijuana producers at a time when large global players have started to look at the company for potential partnership.

But after more than two months, it seems Aphria is overcoming these challenges and putting behind that crisis of confidence. Since its December low, Aphria stock has gained 180%, suggesting the market is having second thoughts about the large cannabis producer after punishing it badly.

So, which of those factors are playing a role in improving investor confidence? In my view, the credit goes to the company’s board, which made accountable quickly those company’s directors who were involved in Aphria’s questionable deals.

According to a special committee report to investigate the allegations, Aphria paid an “acceptable” amount for Latin American assets, but also found that some directors had conflicting interests in the deal that weren’t fully disclosed to the board.

After that report,  John Cervini, a co-founder of Aphria and Vice President of Infrastructure and Technology, was let go as a director effective March 1, but will remain in a “non-executive operational capacity.” Chief Executive Officer Vic Neufeld and co-founder Cole Cacciavillani, who announced their plan to transition out of executive roles, will also step down as directors and retire effective March 1.

These were big moves to handle Aphria’s credibility issue upfront, and it seems they are helping put the company back on track. The other threat, which Aphria successfully warded off, was a very low ball hostile takeover bid by the Columbus, Ohio-based Green Growth as it tried to exploit Aphria weakness and its low share price.

What is next for Aphria?

Despite these crises, Aphria is well positioned to become one of the largest players in the medical market. The company acquired Nuuvera for around $670 million last year to strengthen its international presence.

That move was negative at first, as it diluted the existing shareholders; the number of outstanding Aphria shares climbed about 28%. But in the long run, this deal makes Aphria a leading player in the growing German and Israeli markets.

Aphria’s strong presence in the medical cannabis market and its investments in medical marijuana companies Liberty Health Sciences and Hiku Brands Co. are some of the assets that could still attract a large global brand to acquire the company and buy a substantial stake.

But after company’s latest crisis, it may well take some time for such a deal to materialize. The best way forward for Aphria is to prove investors that its business is in strong hands. It’s a legitimate candidate to take advantage of growing demand for cannabis globally.

Fool contributor Haris Anwar has no position in stocks mentioned in this article.

More on Investing

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

Top Canadian Stocks to Buy Right Now With $2,000

A $2,000 capital can buy top Canadian stocks right now and create a resilient machine.

Read more »

diversification and asset allocation are crucial investing concepts
Dividend Stocks

This Simple TFSA Plan Could Pay You Monthly in 2026

Transform your financial future by understanding how to achieve monthly passive income through strategic TFSA investments.

Read more »

Canadian dollars are printed
Dividend Stocks

Build a Cash-Gushing Passive-Income Portfolio With $14,000

The payouts of these TSX stocks function much like a regular paycheque, providing passive income to reinvest or to help…

Read more »

Piggy bank with word TFSA for tax-free savings accounts.
Investing

How to Make $50 Per Month Tax-Free From Your TFSA

Killam Apartment REIT (TSX:KMP.UN) pays dividends monthly.

Read more »

Investor wonders if it's safe to buy stocks now
Investing

3 Major Red Flags the CRA Is Watching for Every TFSA Holder

Here are some things you should not do in a TFSA to stay on the CRA's good side.

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks That Could Help You Sleep Better in 2026

These three “sleep-better” dividend stocks rely on essential demand, giving you steadier cash flow when markets get noisy.

Read more »

golden sunset in crude oil refinery with pipeline system
Energy Stocks

2 Dividend Energy Stocks to Buy in March

Given their strong fundamentals and disciplined capital allocation strategies, these two energy companies could sustain dividend growth in the years…

Read more »

customer adds cash to tip jar at business
Dividend Stocks

This TSX Stock Pays an 8.7% Dividend and Deposits Cash Monthly

Trading at a 25% discount to NAV, Firm Capital Property Trust (TSX:FCD.UN) currently offers a massive 8.7% monthly yield. Could…

Read more »