Which of These 2 Bank Stocks Should You Trust After Q1 Earnings?

Bank of Montreal (TSX:BMO)(NYSE:BMO) and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM)(NYSE:CM) released their first-quarter earnings this week.

| More on:

Financials were a drag on the S&P/TSX Composite Index on the final trading day of February. Earnings were released as several major banks on February 28, and the challenging economic environment took a toll in the first quarter. In February I’d warned investors that the TSX Index looked overheated.

Today we’ll look at two banks that released first-quarter earnings this week. Which is the better bet moving forward as we enter the month of March? Let’s dive in.

Bank of Montreal (TSX:BMO)(NYSE:BMO)

BMO stock fell 0.31% on February 28. Shares have climbed 15% in 2019 so far. The stock is up 5.3% year over year.

BMO released its first-quarter earnings on February 26. The bank reported adjusted net income of $1.53 billion, up 8% from Q1 2018. BMO received a huge boost from its United States Personal and Commercial Banking segment. In a January article I’d discussed how the sugar rush from U.S. tax reform was set to wear off this year. However, you could not tell from this quarter.

U.S. Personal and Commercial Banking posted adjusted net income of $454 million, up 42% from the previous year. The bank achieved this on the back of strong revenue growth and a full quarter benefit of the U.S. tax reform package, which means that future quarters may bring more tepid gains with U.S. tax reform fully baked in.

BMO’s remaining segments posted marginal gains and losses from the prior year. The bank announced a second-quarter dividend of $1.00 per share, which represents a 3.7% yield.

Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX:CM)(NYSE:CM)

CIBC stock fell 2.7% on February 28. Shares have climbed 9.8% in 2019 so far, and the stock is down 4.7% year over year.

The bank released its first-quarter results on February 28. CIBC saw its profit in the first quarter fall 11% year-over-year to $1.18 billion. This missed consensus estimates for the quarter. Segment performance was all over the place in Q1, with double-digit drops posted in Canadian personal and small business banking and Capital Markets. Commercial Banking and Wealth Management segments posted a 25% increase in profit in the U.S., while earnings were static in Canada.

The disappointing quarter did not prevent CIBC from raising its quarterly dividend by $0.04 to $1.40 per share, which represents an attractive 5% yield as of close on February 28. The Q1 report is the second-straight earnings miss for CIBC after years of solid beats. CIBC will be facing a challenging environment as it attempts to right the ship in the second quarter.

Which is the better buy today?

BMO had the superior quarter and announced a share buyback plan, but the stock is pricey right now. Shares of BMO boasted an RSI of 77 as of close on February 28. This puts the stock well into overbought territory to start the month of March.

The first-quarter report succeeded in pushing CIBC well outside of overbought territory. Shares have been pushed back into neutral territory and the bank boasts the highest dividend yield of the Big Six.

Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Bank Stocks

some REITs give investors exposure to commercial real estate
Stocks for Beginners

1 Unstoppable Canadian Bank Stock to Buy Right Here, Right Now

RBC looks “unstoppable” because its profits are firing across multiple businesses, even after a big rally.

Read more »

pig shows concept of sustainable investing
Bank Stocks

The Best Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold Forever in a TFSA

TD Bank (TSX:TD) is a TFSA-worthy stock that remains cheap despite a historic year of gains.

Read more »

Piggy bank with word TFSA for tax-free savings accounts.
Stocks for Beginners

What’s the Average TFSA Balance at Age 54

At 54, the average TFSA balance is a helpful reality check, and Scotiabank could be a steady way to compound…

Read more »

woman checks off all the boxes
Bank Stocks

This Dividend Stock Is Set to Beat the TSX Again and Again

Strong earnings, reliable dividends, and recent gains are putting this top TSX dividend stock back in the spotlight in 2026.

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Stocks for Beginners

This Dividend Stock is Set to Beat the TSX Again and Again

Dividend investors may be overlooking TD’s boring strength, and that slump could be today’s best entry point.

Read more »

Canadian dollars in a magnifying glass
Bank Stocks

1 Dividend Stock I’ll Be Checking in On Closely in 2026

TD Bank (TSX:TD) stock had a year for the record books, but shares are not yet overpriced.

Read more »

Lights glow in a cityscape at night.
Stocks for Beginners

Is Royal Bank of Canada a Buy for Its 2.9% Dividend Yield?

Royal Bank is the “default” dividend pick, but National Bank may offer more income and upside if you’re willing to…

Read more »

coins jump into piggy bank
Stocks for Beginners

Canadian Bank Stocks: Which Ones Look Worth Buying (and Which Don’t)

Not all Canadian bank stocks are buys today. Here’s how RY, BMO, and CM stack up on safety, upside, and…

Read more »