Yes, You Should Worry About Banking Stocks, but Not TD Bank (TSX:TD)

Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD) is stil one of the safest bets on the TSX. Here’s why it belongs in your dividend portfolio.

| More on:
Bank sign on traditional europe building facade

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn more

There’s a word that banking investors should be thinking about right now, and that word is “delinquency.” According to Equifax Canada, rates of delinquency – in this context, a failure to make good on one’s debt – carried on rising in the first quarter of 2019.

The new report from the business information agency took up the issue of rising debt among consumers, and noted that seniors in particular were skipping out on non-mortgage debt repayments, with a 9.4% year-on-year rise for the 3-month period among that cohort.

Overall, the average increase across all demographics was a worrying 3.5%. Worse still, the amount of debt an average Canadian currently carries went up by 2.6% compared to last year to $71,300 in the first quarter.

Consumers’ dependence on credit is an increasing risk

Equifax Canada’s VP, Bill Johnston, commented, “We continue to see signs of increasing strain for Canadian borrowers. The utilization of credit cards has been trending higher and gaining momentum. With more consumers growing their average debt, we expect to see further increases in delinquencies in the coming months.”

The report is timely, if not particularly encouraging for banking investors. Stockholders have been left jittery after the May-June sell-off that saw increased market uncertainty and an array of missed expectations among some of the biggest domestic lenders. The effect has been increased fear: You may have heard Steve Eisman’s bearish warnings over Canadian banks or Bay Street’s own Nigel D’Souza cautioning about the threat that lenders face from bad loans.

This is not the only source of danger for an already bear-addled banking sector, however. Equifax Canada was also careful to point out that the mortgage market was slowing down due to the additional regulations that came into effect last year. The stifling effect of these regulations on the sector has contributed to a decline of 12% in the value of new mortgages.

Canadians should still invest in banks, though with caution

Offering a 3.9% forward annual dividend yield, Toronto-Dominion Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD) is part of the hard core of defensive income stocks on the TSX. Potential and current shareholders alike should bear in mind that of all the Big Five banks, TD Bank is arguably the least at risk from a market correction. A glimpse of this defensiveness was seen in the speed at which it recovered in the first week of this month.

In a year of reshuffling, TD Bank is also cutting seven of its mutual funds in order to streamline the TD Bank Asset Management offering line-up, effective September this year, and will also buy back 20 million of its own shares over the next 12 months. In addition to having a greater ability to absorb bad loans than most of its peers, the streamlining of assets in combination with a strong appetite for growth make TD Bank a solid choice for a long-range dividend portfolio.

The bottom line

Thanks to its size, range, outlook and management style, TD Bank is the lender least likely to reduce its dividend out of the top six banks in Canada. This fact alone makes it a buy for anyone looking to add recession-ready passive income to a TSX stock portfolio this summer.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Victoria Hetherington has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool is short shares of Equifax.

More on Dividend Stocks

Happy family father of mother and child daughter launch a kite on nature at sunset
Dividend Stocks

Parents: Here’s Every Credit and Benefit You Can Claim From the CRA

Parents have it hard already, so make sure the CRA is doing everything for you by dishing out payments you're…

Read more »

edit Colleagues chat over ketchup chips
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold for Life

These dividend-paying stocks have solid earnings base to support their payouts for decades.

Read more »

A golden egg in a nest
Dividend Stocks

Create a Million-Dollar TFSA With Just $1,000

If you have a TFSA, you can easily make a million-dollar portfolio by investing on a consistent basis in this…

Read more »

Dollar symbol and Canadian flag on keyboard
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks With Over 6% of Dividend Yield

Boost your passive income with three safe dividend stocks.

Read more »

TFSA and coins
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Pension: 2 TSX Dividend Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for Decades

These top TSX stocks pay great dividends and look cheap to buy right now for a TFSA retirement fund.

Read more »

IMAGE OF A NOTEBOOK WITH TFSA WRITTEN ON IT
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Dividend Income: 2 TSX Stocks to Buy on the Pullback

These TSX stocks look oversold and pay attractive dividends that continue to grow.

Read more »

oil tank at night
Dividend Stocks

1 Top TSX Energy Stocks for Summer 2022

TSX energy stocks have tanked recently, but they could enjoy a nice summer rally. Here's one top stock I'm eyeing…

Read more »

TIMER SAYING TIME FOR ACTION
Dividend Stocks

Market Correction: 2 Cheap TSX Dividend Stocks to Buy Now for a Self-Directed RRSP

These top TSX dividend stocks look cheap right now for a self-directed RRSP focused on total returns.

Read more »