The Motley Fool

Is TD Bank (TSX:TD) Stock Safe for New Investors?

There are plenty of reasons for new income investors to buy and hold shares in TD Bank (TXS:TD)(NYSE:TD) from relatively high growth for a Big Five lender to a sturdy foothold in the U.S. However, with a growing number of pundits predicting a recession on the North American continent, is this stock safe to keep in your dividend portfolio through a painful market correction?

Investors can bank on Bay Street’s finest

The argument can be made that pretty much any big Canadian bank is safe enough to hold for the long term, with the strongly developed financial sector being highly defensive. With so few banks operating in the Canadian financial world, each of the Big Five keeps each other in check by being extremely competitive but also by having a distinct niche. For instance, Scotiabank has a strong Latin American presence, while TD Bank has been growing fast in the U.S.

As such, any of the Big Five banks could form the backbone of a low-maintenance dividend portfolio. In terms of assets, TD Bank carries the most weight among its Bay Street peers, though perhaps more importantly for passive-income investors, the bank has committed itself to an annual dividend increase. With a yield nudging 4%, the bank doesn’t pay the biggest yield among the Big Five, though its stability combined with that rare growth make for a uniquely attractive stock.

Heading up the Big Five, an elite group of bankers comprising nearly 90% of all Canadian banking, TD Bank is one of the most secure of investments: If a stock like TD Bank were to crash, the economic environment would be such that no other asset on the TSX would be safe. That said, there are distinct risks specific to bank stocks that few first-time investors are likely aware of.

Should you fear loss of market share in bank stocks?

It might seem unlikely, but this could come about from a security issue such as a data breach like the one that hit BMO and CIBC last year or from a slowdown in a specific financial market. To take the latter risk, if geopolitical or economic unrest were to impact a country in the Pacific Alliance, Scotiabank could potentially lose out to its Bay Street rivals, for instance.

Likewise, should the U.S. go into recession while Canada remains relatively unscathed, a more domestic-focused banker could gain market share. Indeed, this is perhaps the greatest risk currently facing TD Bank, and would-be investors will therefore have to weigh how bullish they are on the American economy before stacking shares in the home of the green leather armchair.

The bottom line

Offering a winning combination of attractive market ratios and tasty dividends, any of the Big Five banks have long been worth adding to a long-term portfolio geared towards passive profit, or as the cornerstone of a new TFSA or RRSP. TD Bank is especially secure, given its sheer size and its sturdy presence in the U.S., though each of the Bay Street Five has its own merits — and its own weakness.

The founder of Microsoft is betting $650 million on this 5G stock...

The founder of Microsoft is betting $650 million on this 5G stock...

Bill Gates has quietly picked up 5.3 million shares of one little-known 5G stock.

Besides being the cofounder of a trillion-dollar company, Gates has amassed the 2nd largest fortune in the world... so when he makes a move this big, it could be worth paying close attention.

But 5G is already starting to be rolled out across North America as we speak, which means you'll need to act fast to get the full story.

Click here to learn more!

Fool contributor Victoria Hetherington has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Scotiabank is a recommendation of Stock Advisor Canada.

I consent to receiving information from The Motley Fool via email, direct mail, and occasional special offer phone calls. I understand I can unsubscribe from these updates at any time. Please read the Privacy Statement and Terms of Service for more information.