Where Will Shopify Be in 1 Year?

One major opportunity could propel the e-commerce company higher.

| More on:

Shopify (NYSE: SHOP) has been a solid growth stock for investors, with the e-commerce platform company’s share price climbing 600% over the past three years. The company’s impressive share price growth has come as it has increased its sales at a rapid pace.

The latest example of Shopify’s trajectory comes from the company’s second-quarter results, when revenue jumped 48% year over year and non-GAAP earnings per share reached $0.14, which easily outpaced analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.02 per share.

With Shopify’s meteoric sales growth and share price gains, some investors may be wondering if the company’s best days may be behind it. To help answer that, let’s take a look at the company’s revenue growth over the past year, and one big opportunity that could keep sales climbing in the year to come.

Shopify’s current trajectory and one major growth opportunity

It’s worth taking a look at the company’s full-year 2018 sales increase to get a better understanding of just how well Shopify’s business has been performing.

Total revenue for full-year 2018 was $1 billion, which was a 59% increase year over year from 2017’s sales. Total sales have been buoyed by the company’s subscription solutions and merchant solutions revenue segments, which were up 50% and 67% in 2018, respectively.

For full-year 2019, Shopify’s management expects sales of $1.52 billion at the midpoint, which would represent a 52% year-over-year increase compared to 2018. While a year-over-year sales increase of 52% would be a slight drop compared to 2018’s growth, it still represents very impressive revenue gains, and it comes as Shopify has found new ways to bring additional merchants to its platform and sell them a growing list of services.

For Shopify to meet its full-year sales estimates and continue growing over the next year, the company is likely looking to its new fulfillment service. Shopify announced in the second quarter that it’s investing $1 billion to set up its own Shopify Fulfillment Network, which will allow merchants to store and quickly ship their inventory. The Fulfilment Network will combine inventory centers throughout the U.S. with machine learning software to predict the best locations to store and ship merchant inventory to optimize sales and profits for Shopify’s users.

The fulfillment service represents a massive opportunity for Shopify to take on Amazon in the e-commerce market further, and some analysts believe it could help the company triple its market share over the next five years and boost the company’s gross merchandise volume to $200 billion in 2023, up from $41.1 billion in 2018.

With Shopify’s Fulfillment Network just getting off the ground, investors likely still have a lot to look forward to from this growing e-commerce company. While no one can be sure what will happen with Shopify over the next 12 months, the company’s projected 52% sales growth for the remainder of the 2019 fiscal year and its massive potential from the company’s fulfillment business make it likely that Shopify will be able to continue its impressive growth over the next year.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Chris Neiger has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Amazon and Shopify. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Tech Stocks

Dots over the earth connecting the world
Tech Stocks

Hot Takeaway: Concentration in 1 Stock Can Be Just Fine

Concentration in one stock can be alright under the right circumstances, and far better than buying a bunch of poor-performing…

Read more »

A worker uses a double monitor computer screen in an office.
Tech Stocks

Forget TD Stock: 2 Tech Stocks to Buy Instead

As bank stocks continue disappointing investors in 2024, you can consider adding these two top Canadian tech stocks to your…

Read more »

financial freedom sign
Tech Stocks

1 TSX Tech Stock That Has Created Millionaires and Will Continue to Make More

Constellation Software is a TSX stock tech that has delivered game-changing returns to shareholders since its IPO in 2006.

Read more »

Money growing in soil , Business success concept.
Tech Stocks

Payfare Can Potentially Provide Explosive Growth

Payfare is a global financial technology company that powers digital banking, instant payment, and loyalty reward solutions for the gig…

Read more »

online shopping
Tech Stocks

1 Hidden Catalyst That Could Ignite Shopify Stock

Here's why Shopify (TSX:SHOP) ought to remain a top growth stock investors continue to focus on for the long haul.

Read more »

Man considering whether to sell or buy
Tech Stocks

WELL Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

WELL stock has a lot of upside as the company is likely to continue to grow, posting positive earnings in…

Read more »

Double exposure of a businessman and stairs - Business Success Concept
Tech Stocks

Finally Going Private: What Should Nuvei Investors Do Now?

Understanding the reasons and factors behind a public company going private can help investors make an educated decision.

Read more »

woman data analyze
Tech Stocks

1 Stock I’d Drop From the “Magnificent 7” and 1 I’d Add

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is part of the Magnificent Seven, but Shopify (TSX:SHOP) is growing faster.

Read more »