Yes, the Market Will Recover — But Here’s Why It Could Crash More

The market will eventually recover, but there’s a good chance it will drop even further as earnings reports roll in. Find out why Pembina stock is still a good buy for a Canadian stock.

| More on:
Watch for the Warning Signs Stock Market Prices Trends 3d Illustration

Image source: Getty Images

Even the most pessimistic of experts and market analysts know the market will eventually recover — the only question is when. However, some believe the market will crash even more, while others believe it’s already on the path to recovery. It’s better to plan for the worst, so let’s take a look at some of the reasons why the market could crash more.

Pandemic vs. t he stock market

The stock market is currently resonating with the news and the public’s perception of the current situation. There are signs that the pandemic’s curve is flattening in some of the worst hot spots of COVID-19, giving people hope and augmenting the belief that things will get better soon. While the worst of virus maybe (hopefully) behind us, the worst of the market crash may yet to come.

The government is helping people and businesses, but that won’t last forever. If the fear of coronavirus or a general fear of recession keeps demand low for a few more months, many more businesses may find themselves bankrupt. Also, if the projected GDP fall of 30% increases to 50%, the market might drop again — even worse than it did in the month of March.

Many hopes are pinned on the early discovery of a vaccine. If it’s delayed or the virus mutates faster than scientists are expecting, the pandemic may rage on for quite a long time. The result will not be a few sharp falls; instead, a continuous downward slope at a shallow angle, which could be even deadlier.

Hope for recovery

While the hope of recovery is there, it isn’t as strong yet. Still, rather than pondering on the worst-case scenario, you can salvage some good out of this grim situation, and set the target on some of the stocks you will buy at recovery.

One of those stocks could be Pembina Pipeline (TSX:PPL). The pandemic and the oil war combined made the oil one of the deepest falling sectors on the TSX.

Pembina’s stock fell by 56%, but it’s now on the recovery track. Still, the current price of $28.56 per share is about 44% down from its value in February. As a Dividend Aristocrat, it increased its payouts for nine consecutive years.

Before the crash, it was also one of the most steadily growing energy stocks whose share price increased by 76% between 2016 and 2020 before the crash.

Foolish takeaway

Hope is a good thing. But foolish hope might be worse than blatant pessimism. It doesn’t matter whether you are hopeful that the market has already started recovering or whether you think that it will still take some time to get back on its tracks — just exercise caution.

If you’re planning on buying on the dip, there’s a good chance you’ll see another major dip in the near future.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Adam Othman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends PEMBINA PIPELINE CORPORATION.

More on Dividend Stocks

edit Person using calculator next to charts and graphs
Dividend Stocks

Better Buy: Fortis Stock vs Enbridge

Fortis stock and Enbridge are top dividend stocks on the TSX today. Which stock is better buy for safe dividend…

Read more »

Canadian Dollars
Dividend Stocks

How to Make $1,500 in Passive Income 4 Times a Year

Blue-chip TSX stocks such as Enbridge can enable investors to create game-changing wealth over the long term.

Read more »

IMAGE OF A NOTEBOOK WITH TFSA WRITTEN ON IT
Dividend Stocks

TFSA: How to Easily Turn $10,000 Into $500/Year of Passive Income

You don't need to be a stock market expert to turn $10,000 into a $500 of tax-free passive income. Here's…

Read more »

protect, safe, trust
Dividend Stocks

Worried About a Recession? 2 TSX Blue-Chip Stocks to Protect Your Capital

If you fear a recession coming on soon, here are two blue-chip Canadian stocks to add to your portfolio for…

Read more »

Silver coins fall into a piggy bank.
Dividend Stocks

New TFSA Investors: 2 Top TSX Stock to Create a Self-Directed Retirement Fund

Top TSX dividend stocks are now on sale for new TFSA investors.

Read more »

money while you sleep
Dividend Stocks

Worried About the Market? 2 Dividend Stocks That Let You Sleep at Night

Here's why Restaurant Brands (TSX:QSR) and Enbridge (TSX:ENB) are two top dividend stocks to buy in this uncertain market right…

Read more »

money cash dividends
Dividend Stocks

How 1 Absurdly Cheap Stock Can Generate $100 in Monthly Passive Income

You can generate $100 or more in monthly passive income from one high-yield stock trading at an absurdly cheap price…

Read more »

Retirees sip their morning coffee outside.
Dividend Stocks

How I’d Invest $1000 in February to Make Easy Passive Income

Looking to earn some extra passive income in February but don't have much cash? Build an easy portfolio with these…

Read more »