Aurora Cannabis Stock: What’s Behind Its Astonishing 135% Rally?

Aurora Cannabis stock has crushed market returns since its impressive Q3 results. Is this rally sustainable?

| More on:

Shares of marijuana giant Aurora Cannabis (TSX:ACB)(NYSE:ACB) gained momentum in the last three trading sessions. Aurora stock rose by a staggering 67% on May 15 after it rose by 11% a day earlier. Aurora stock price gained over 20% in pre-market trading on the New York Stock Exchange yesterday, bringing total returns of the stock to a staggering 135% in the last three trading days.

Investors were buoyed after the pot stock announced its fiscal third quarter of 2020 results. Aurora Cannabis reported net revenue of $75.5 million in Q3, up from $56.03 million in Q2.

Its cannabis net revenue was $69.64 million, up from $52.7 million in the same period. This strong performance was driven by a 24% increase in recreational cannabis and a 13.5% rise in medical cannabis.

Aurora Cannabis also managed to improve its cash position to $230.2 million. It used $154.6 million in cash in the March quarter, a sequential decline of 43%. Aurora Cannabis sold 12,729 kilograms of marijuana in Q3, up from 9,501 kilograms in Q2.

Aurora stock price was sent higher after the company’s management stated that it would report a positive EBITDA in the first quarter of fiscal 2021. It intends to reduce losses by focusing on cost initiatives, improving gross margins, and lower selling, general and administrative expenses.

ACB’s leadership team maintained that it’s difficult to predict near-term revenue due to COVID-19 related issues. However, its huge market presence and focus on cost efficiencies will help improve EBITDA in the upcoming quarters.

Aurora Cannabis stock upgraded by investment banks

Aurora Cannabis’ robust Q3 performance resulted in stock upgrades. Investment bank Piper Sandler upgraded ACB stock from underweight to neutral with a price target from US$10. This investment bank is optimistic about the company’s expanding margin and resumption of sales in Europe.

ACB Chart

ACB data by YCharts

MKM Partners maintained a neutral rating. However, it increased Aurora’s stock price target from $1 to $12. Aurora stock is listed on the TSX and closed trading at a price of $15.35 last week. Despite, the recent optimism, Aurora Cannabis isn’t out of the woods yet. We can see the volatility in the above Aurora stock chart, which could continue in the short term.

The cannabis heavyweight acquired several companies over the last few years. Due to the ongoing bullish sentiment in the cannabis space prevalent at that time, Aurora paid a premium to acquire these companies. This premium is known as goodwill and is the difference between the book value and the company’s acquisition price.

In the December quarter, Aurora Cannabis reported a goodwill impairment write-down of $762.2 million. This impairment charge could rise to a billion in the next few quarters as Aurora’s goodwill stands at $2.41 billion, accounting for 51.2% of total assets.

Aurora Cannabis is also grappling with structural issues like a thriving black market and slow rollout of retail stores in Canada. This has driven inventory levels higher to $251.2 million in Q3, up from $113.6 million at the end of fiscal 2019.

While investors have seen a massive bump in Aurora stock price recently, it’s still trading 91% below record highs.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Cannabis Stocks

four people hold happy emoji masks
Dividend Stocks

Wary of Mining Companies? A Lower-Risk Way to Get in on the Gold and Silver Surge

Frenco-Nevada (TSX:FNV) stock might be a wiser way to play the run in gold prices this year.

Read more »

Cannabis smoke
Cannabis Stocks

Have Cannabis Stocks Totally Gone Up in Smoke?

Let's dive into whether Canadian cannabis stocks are still investable, and what investors should make of the recent volatility in…

Read more »

Researcher works in hemp field
Cannabis Stocks

1 Undervalued Cannabis Stock to Buy and Hold Over the Next Decade

Green Thumb is a beaten-down cannabis stock that trades at a compelling valuation in September 2025.

Read more »

Researcher works in hemp field
Cannabis Stocks

Pot Stocks Rallied Hard in August: Is There More to Come?

Tilray Brands (TSX:TLRY) and the broad basket of pot stocks could heat up from here.

Read more »

Pot stocks are a riskier investment
Cannabis Stocks

Canopy Growth Stock Jumped 30% Last Month: What’s Going on?

Canopy Growth (TSX:WEED) stock is picking up traction again, making it an enticing weed play to buy on strength.

Read more »

A cannabis plant grows.
Cannabis Stocks

These Threats Facing Canopy Growth Stock Could Justify Selling it

Let's dive into whether Canopy Growth (TSX:WEED) is a top stock investors should buy right now after its recent dip…

Read more »

A person holds a small glass jar of marijuana.
Stocks for Beginners

This BioCannabis Firm Could Explode with Product Approval

This cannabis stock used to be a major name, so where does it stand now?

Read more »

Medicinal research is conducted on cannabis.
Stocks for Beginners

This TSX Health-Care Stock Is a Long-Term Buy for Patient Investors

This TSX stock continues to be one of the best long-term opportunities, if you're patient.

Read more »