Will New Lending Rules Sink the Canada Housing Market?

Canada housing activity has fallen due to COVID-19, but the reopening should spur investors to look at stocks like Genworth MI Canada Inc. (TSX:MIC).

The Canadian housing market has undergone some significant changes over the past five years. Federal and provincial institutions and governments have not been shy about introducing new regulations. After the housing retreat in early 2017, Ontario introduced a foreign buyers’ tax. The OSFI introduced new rules starting in 2018 that stipulated even uninsured buyers had to qualify with a stress test. Canada housing got off to a hot start in 2020, but the COVID-19 pandemic has hit the real estate industry hard.

Canada housing: Why the CMHC stepped in

Canadians have been hit hard by the pandemic. Unemployment has soared into the mid-teens, and many citizens are hurting. Fortunately, the federal government stepped in to provide relief with several radical programs. One of these saw the government push lenders to allow borrowers to defer mortgage payments. This past earnings season saw institutions like Scotiabank reveal that hundreds of thousands of clients had opted for loan deferrals.

The CMHC recently announced that it would ban the use of borrowed funds for a down payment. Moreover, it will also require a higher credit score from borrowers. The new criteria will come into effect on July 1. Economists predict that these new rules will have the most impact on first-time home buyers.

Will new lending rules slow things down?

History has shown that real estate brokers and agents have been able to boost activity, even in the face of tightening regulations. Bridgemarq Real Estate (TSX: BRE) provides various services to residential real estate brokers and REATORS across Canada. This is a stock to watch in this sector going forward.

Shares of Bridgemarq have dropped 20% in 2020 as of close on June 5. However, the stock is up 23% month over month. In the first quarter, the company saw revenues climb to $11.1 million over $10.1 million in the prior year. Management stated that the full impact of the pandemic had not yet shown itself in its results. Canada housing has taken a hit due to this crisis, but fundamentals are still strong. Demand remains high, and tighter regulations may increase urgency for those looking to enter the market as the economy reopens.

Bridgemarq stock last had a favourable price-to-earnings ratio of 11. The company has maintained its monthly dividend of $0.1125 per share. This represents a monster 12% yield. Bridgemarq is a solid target for Canada housing bulls right now.

Why investors should not get nervous

Sales activity has predictably taken a big hit, but investors should still feel confident in the Canada housing market. The federal government’s actions in pushing forward deferrals demonstrates their willingness to take unprecedented action to protect homeowners. This should spur investors to target stocks like Genworth MI Canada.

Shares of Genworth have fallen 26% in 2020 so far. However, the stock is up 16% over the past week. Genworth stock still boasts a very attractive P/E ratio of 7.5 and a price-to-book value of 0.9. The stock still pays out a quarterly dividend of $0.54 per share, representing a strong 5.9% yield. Genworth is a Canada housing-linked stock that can be trusted in the long term.

Fool contributor Ambrose O'Callaghan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends BANK OF NOVA SCOTIA.

More on Dividend Stocks

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income
Dividend Stocks

How to Set Passive Income Goals You Can Actually Reach

Vanguard FTSE Canadian High Dividend Yield ETF (TSX:VDY) and other dividend stocks to consider for big passive income.

Read more »

voice-recognition-talking-to-a-smartphone
Dividend Stocks

I’m passing on Telus After its 55% Dividend Cut: Here’s What I’d Watch Instead

Telus (TSX:T) is getting cheaper, but one TSX telco still looks like a better overall value.

Read more »

Concept of rent, search, purchase real estate, REIT
Dividend Stocks

Housing Needs More Supply: This Canadian Builder Doesn’t Need Home Prices to Boom

Canada needs dramatically more homes, even if home prices don’t rise.

Read more »

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Dividend Stocks

A 7% Dividend All-Star I’d Buy First in My TFSA

Given its attractive yield, stable underlying business, and reasonable valuation, SmartCentres would be an appealing opportunity for income-seeking investors.

Read more »

some REITs give investors exposure to commercial real estate
Dividend Stocks

For Monthly Income: A 7% Dividend Stock to Consider

This high yield stock is backed by solid fundamentals, such as strong balance sheet, dependable cash flows, and steady distributions.

Read more »

you're never too young or old to start investing in stocks
Dividend Stocks

Side Hustle Taxes in Canada: What You Can Deduct

You can deduct the reasonable business portion of expenses incurred to earn side-hustle income. Consider investing this extra income for…

Read more »

Agricultural harvesting at the last light of day, aerial view.
Dividend Stocks

Canada Wants $70 Billion in Trade With India: I’d Watch This TSX Stock

Nutrien gives Canada’s India trade ambitions an existing commercial engine, but profitable fertilizer sales still have to follow.

Read more »

Piggy bank with word TFSA for tax-free savings accounts.
Dividend Stocks

How Big Does Your TFSA Need to Be to Pay $1,000 a Month?

A TFSA yielding 6% would need roughly $200,000 to produce $1,000 in average monthly income.

Read more »