Election Sell-off Fears? Canadians Should Buy These Stocks

Here’s why stocks like Canada Goose (TSX:GOOS)(NYSE:GOOS) are top names to watch in November.

| More on:
edit Four girl friends withdrawing money from credit card at ATM

Image source: Getty Images

You’ve probably seen them around already: the stock pick hot takes based on either party winning the U.S. election. But the fact is that the election could cause a sell-off either way. For conservative American shareholders, for instance, a Democrat win might not be palatable.

For non-Americans holding NYSE and NASDAQ stocks, a Republican win may be also be unwelcome. The ink is still wet on USMCA, after all.

Two outcomes, one frothy outlook

But even if Canadian’s are shielded from U.S. stock markets directly, for instance by holding only TSX-listed names, the fallout from the election could still have a deleterious effect. Throw in the distinct possibility that a vaccine for the coronavirus is unlikely to be available by November, and there is the potential for a choppy market.

So which stocks should Canadians put their faith in no matter who sits in the White House come January 2021?

Between the “progressive” tone of certain Democrat nominees to the protectionist rhetoric of the Republicans, there is plenty of scope for investors to feel alienated this November. It’s a classic case of “damned if you do, damned if you don’t.”

However, one outcome might be better than another, given the general Democrat push for raising corporate taxes. Either way, though, caution is called for.

One way to play a Joe Biden win might be to focus on stocks that are heavily weighted by cross-border trade with the U.S. A return to the pre-trade war era might see a big boost in stocks that have been depressed by lumber and metals tariffs. Stocks like Norbord might see some extra upside. This name has seen sharp share price appreciation in the past three months, up by 100%.

Betting against Biden? Try these stocks

A Republican win, on the other hand, could see potential improvements in the areas of IT, consumer discretionaries, energy, and financials. Trump/Pence bulls should therefore opt for big names in those areas. Consider stocks such as TD Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD), a name that could spring back on strong consumer sentiment.

Retail could also rebound if the markets approve of the November results, with cross-border favourites such as Canada Goose seeing gains.

A potential play for all seasons, TD Bank offers investors a wide-moat play on cross-border financials. While Canada’s top Big Five banks could have a rough time of it during the next 12 to 18 months, TD Bank is defensively large-cap.

Investors should also consider the stake TD Bank has in zero-commission online trading. This comes via last year’s TD Ameritrade/Charles Schwab US$26 billion-dollar deal of the decade.

The deal was hotly discussed at the time, and saw shares in TD Bank suffer a knock-on selloff. TD Bank is still down 21.5% year on year, though the majority of these losses are pandemic-weighted. As a result, a 5.2% dividend yield is on offer from Canada’s second-best bank.

This reflects a nicely valued stock that is likely to reward investors for years to come. Investors should consider building long positions in incremental stages of market weakness.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Victoria Hetherington has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Canada Goose Holdings. The Motley Fool recommends Charles Schwab.

More on Dividend Stocks

A meter measures energy use.
Dividend Stocks

Is Fortis Stock a Buy?

Conservative investors can consider Fortis stock if they find the expected total returns of about 8% acceptable.

Read more »

oil and gas pipeline
Dividend Stocks

Should You Buy TC Energy Stock for its 7.2% Dividend Yield?

TC Energy stock offers shareholders a tasty dividend yield of 7.3% which is quite tasty. But can the TSX energy…

Read more »

protect, safe, trust
Dividend Stocks

2 Defence Stocks to Consider for December 2023

Buying and holding the best defence stocks in Canada can be an excellent way to inject growth potential into your…

Read more »

stock data
Dividend Stocks

GICs vs. High-Yield Stocks: What’s the Better Buy for a TFSA?

GICs and dividend stocks can be used to create a recurring stream of passive income in a TFSA. But which…

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

Rising Interest Rates: Opportunity or Threat for Canadian Real Estate Investors?

Where real estate prices will go depends on the supply-demand dynamic in the industry as well as where interest rates…

Read more »

Increasing yield
Dividend Stocks

High-Yield Investors: Should You Buy TC Energy Stock Now?

TC Energy is off the 2023 lows. Is more upside on the way for TRP?

Read more »

Construction work on a site
Dividend Stocks

3 Top Infrastructure Stocks to Buy on the TSX Today

Three TSX infrastructure stocks that outperform in 2023 are well positioned to deliver fatter gains in the coming years.

Read more »

The sun sets behind a high voltage telecom tower.
Dividend Stocks

My 2 Favourite TSX Utility Stocks for December 2023

While typically seen as boring, utility stocks can be excellent for safe dividend income. Here are two of my favourite…

Read more »