The Motley Fool

Election Sell-off Fears? Canadians Should Buy These Stocks

Image source: Getty Images

You’ve probably seen them around already: the stock pick hot takes based on either party winning the U.S. election. But the fact is that the election could cause a sell-off either way. For conservative American shareholders, for instance, a Democrat win might not be palatable.

For non-Americans holding NYSE and NASDAQ stocks, a Republican win may be also be unwelcome. The ink is still wet on USMCA, after all.

Two outcomes, one frothy outlook

But even if Canadian’s are shielded from U.S. stock markets directly, for instance by holding only TSX-listed names, the fallout from the election could still have a deleterious effect. Throw in the distinct possibility that a vaccine for the coronavirus is unlikely to be available by November, and there is the potential for a choppy market.

So which stocks should Canadians put their faith in no matter who sits in the White House come January 2021?

Between the “progressive” tone of certain Democrat nominees to the protectionist rhetoric of the Republicans, there is plenty of scope for investors to feel alienated this November. It’s a classic case of “damned if you do, damned if you don’t.”

However, one outcome might be better than another, given the general Democrat push for raising corporate taxes. Either way, though, caution is called for.

One way to play a Joe Biden win might be to focus on stocks that are heavily weighted by cross-border trade with the U.S. A return to the pre-trade war era might see a big boost in stocks that have been depressed by lumber and metals tariffs. Stocks like Norbord might see some extra upside. This name has seen sharp share price appreciation in the past three months, up by 100%.

5 Stocks Under $49 (FREE REPORT)

Click here to gain access!

Betting against Biden? Try these stocks

A Republican win, on the other hand, could see potential improvements in the areas of IT, consumer discretionaries, energy, and financials. Trump/Pence bulls should therefore opt for big names in those areas. Consider stocks such as TD Bank (TSX:TD)(NYSE:TD), a name that could spring back on strong consumer sentiment.

Retail could also rebound if the markets approve of the November results, with cross-border favourites such as Canada Goose seeing gains.

A potential play for all seasons, TD Bank offers investors a wide-moat play on cross-border financials. While Canada’s top Big Five banks could have a rough time of it during the next 12 to 18 months, TD Bank is defensively large-cap.

Investors should also consider the stake TD Bank has in zero-commission online trading. This comes via last year’s TD Ameritrade/Charles Schwab US$26 billion-dollar deal of the decade.

The deal was hotly discussed at the time, and saw shares in TD Bank suffer a knock-on selloff. TD Bank is still down 21.5% year on year, though the majority of these losses are pandemic-weighted. As a result, a 5.2% dividend yield is on offer from Canada’s second-best bank.

This reflects a nicely valued stock that is likely to reward investors for years to come. Investors should consider building long positions in incremental stages of market weakness.

Cheap stocks that offer long-term capital growth are a rare find. But did you know that we’ve already rounded them up for you for free?

Just Released! 5 Stocks Under $49 (FREE REPORT)

Motley Fool Canada's market-beating team has just released a brand-new FREE report revealing 5 "dirt cheap" stocks that you can buy today for under $49 a share.
Our team thinks these 5 stocks are critically undervalued, but more importantly, could potentially make Canadian investors who act quickly a fortune.
Don't miss out! Simply click the link below to grab your free copy and discover all 5 of these stocks now.

Claim your FREE 5-stock report now!

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Victoria Hetherington has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Canada Goose Holdings. The Motley Fool recommends Charles Schwab.

Two New Stock Picks Every Month!

Not to alarm you, but you’re about to miss an important event.

Iain Butler and the Stock Advisor Canada team only publish their new “buy alerts” twice a month, and only to an exclusively small group.

This is your chance to get in early on what could prove to be very special investment advice.

Enter your email address below to get started now, and join the other thousands of Canadians who have already signed up for their chance to get the market-beating advice from Stock Advisor Canada.