100% Returns Over 10 Years or 10% Returns Over 100 Years?

Top stocks like RioCan Real Estate (TSX:REI.UN) could be better for your personal finances over the long term.

| More on:
man sitting in front of 3 screens programming

Image source: Getty Images

All top stocks in the market fall into one of two categories: hypergrowth or reliable long-term compounders. The hyper-growth stocks pour every dollar of revenue back into the business to expand. While the long-term compounders focus on incremental gains and longevity that helps investors plan their finances decades in advance. 

In this article, I want to answer a simple question: which one is better? Would you rather have a tech stock that doubles your money every single year for 10 years or a boring, steady growth stock that delivers a reliable 10% gain over 100 years? 

Hyper-growth top stocks

Hyper-growth stocks are easy to spot in hindsight. For instance, you already know Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) is a phenomenal growth stock because of its track record. A $10,000 investment in the e-commerce company in 2015, when it listed, would now be worth $380,000. That’s an astounding annual growth rate of 106% over five years!

However, spotting a stock that can deliver 100% annual returns over the next 10 years is incredibly difficult. In fact, I can’t even confidently say if Shopify will deliver that rate by 2030. 

Nevertheless, if you’re lucky enough to spot a hyper-growth stock that compounds at an annual rate of 100% over 10 years, you could turn a $10,000 investment into $10.2 million.

Long-term compounders

By comparison, steady compounders are easier to spot. In fact, some stocks offer a dividend yield that is already close to our 10% annual target. RioCan Real Estate Investment Trust (TSX:REI.UN), for instance, offers an 8% dividend yield right now. Assuming the stock price compounds at just 2% annually, we could confidently say this meets our target for annual returns. 

Meanwhile, the business model is also highly predictable. Real estate hasn’t been disrupted in centuries and isn’t likely to be disrupted over the next century. I’m pretty sure people in 2120 will still need a place to stay and rent. So, assuming RioCan can deliver a 10% annual return over 100 years isn’t unreasonable. 

Other high-yield dividend stocks in the renewable energy, communications, and healthcare sector are just as reliable. These are all industries where a company can survive for decades without facing market upheaval or complete obsolescence. 

But do the returns compare to our hyper-growth stock? Well, a $10,000 investment in a stock that delivers 10% a year for 100 years will generate a jaw-dropping $137.8 million in total wealth. That’s multiple times greater than our fancy hyper-growth stock mentioned above.

Bottom line

These examples illustrate a critical point: being in the stock market for longer is more important than a quick return. This is especially true if you’re a younger investor. If you start investing in your early 20s or 30s, focus on a handful of reliable compounders instead of the sexy tech stocks your friends are buying. You’ll likely outperform them.

Even if you’re close to retirement, a steady compounder is better. Investing in your 50s for retirement in your 70s gives you two decades worth of compounding time. Also, you don’t want to risk your fortune when you’re this close to retirement. Resist the temptation of the sexy, quick-growth stocks.  

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Vishesh Raisinghani has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Tom Gardner owns shares of Shopify. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends Shopify and Shopify.

More on Stocks for Beginners

Canadian energy stocks are rising with oil prices
Energy Stocks

What to Watch When This Dividend Powerhouse Shares Its Latest Earnings

Methanex stock (TSX:MX) had a rough year, which ended on a bit of a high note, though revenue was down.…

Read more »

Car, EV, electric vehicle
Tech Stocks

Why Tesla Stock Surged 16% This Week

Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) has been all over the place in the last year, bottoming out before rising after first-quarter earnings…

Read more »

Growing plant shoots on coins
Stocks for Beginners

2 TSX Growth Stocks That Could Turn $10,000 Into $23,798 by 2030

Are you looking for growth stocks? These two are proven winners with even more room to grow in the years…

Read more »

Investor wonders if it's safe to buy stocks now
Stocks for Beginners

Underpriced and Overlooked: 2 Canadian Stocks Ready to Rally

Momentum is underway for these two Canadian stocks, and yet both still trade at share prices that are quite low…

Read more »

grow dividends
Dividend Stocks

BCE Stock Needs to Cut Its Dividend – Now

BCE stock (TSX:BCE) has seen shares fall drastically with more debt rising, so why on earth did it increase its…

Read more »

The sun sets behind a power source
Dividend Stocks

3 Reasons Why Canadian Utilities Is an Ideal Canadian Dividend Stock

Canadian Utilities (TSX:CU) stock is well known as a dividend star, but why? Let's get into three reasons why it's…

Read more »

rail train
Stocks for Beginners

CP Stock: 1 Key Catalyst Investors Should Watch

After a positive surprise in the last quarter, CP stock (TSX:CP) recently made a change that should have investors excited…

Read more »

Airport and plane
Stocks for Beginners

Is Air Canada Stock a Good Buy in April 2024?

Despite rallying by over 20% in the last six months, Air Canada stock could be a great buy for the…

Read more »