Buy Alert: Can This High-Growth TSX Stock Stage a Stellar Comeback?

Kinaxis (TSX:KXS) stock remains a volatile bet for growth investors, despite its 40% decline since October 2020.

| More on:
warning or alert

Image source: Getty Images

The last few days have seen technology stocks lose significant momentum. While tech giants surged ahead in 2020, investors are now worried about the steep valuations of these companies. Further, the possibility of an interest rate hike coupled with a sluggish macro economy is also taking a toll on equity markets right now.

One such Canadian stock that has been pummeled in recent times is Kinaxis (TSX:KXS), a cloud-based SaaS (software-as-a-service) company operating in the supply chain vertical.

A business overview

Kinaxis’s revenue consists of SaaS revenue, professional services, subscription term licence revenue as well as maintenance and support revenue. The SaaS business generally consists of fees of its RapidResponse platform in the company’s hosted cloud environment. Here, sales are also derived from hosting services and maintenance and support for the solution over the contract term.

Subscription term licence sales consist of fees for the software component for on-premise subscriptions. This is recognized as revenue on commencement of the contract term.

Kinaxis stock fell over 16.9% yesterday

Shares of Kinaxis fell 17% on March 4 after the company disclosed its fourth-quarter results. It reported sales of US$54.9 million compared to US$56.3 million in the prior-year period. Bay Street analysts expected the company to report sales of US$54 million, as customers delayed purchases amid the pandemic. So, why did the stock fall, despite a slight revenue beat?

Analysts expected Kinaxis to report earnings per share of US$0.13 compared to its actual figure of US$0.12. The earnings miss coupled with a broader market sell-off drove the tech stock significantly lower.

KXS stock is currently trading at $135.5, which is almost 40% below its record high. Despite the price decline since last October, the stock has crushed market returns and has gained 940% since going public in mid-2014.

Despite the pandemic, Kinaxis’s subscription-based business model meant the company’s sales were up 25% year over year in 2020. Its SaaS revenue also jumped 24% year over year and managed to offset any negative impact arising due to COVID-19.

What’s next for investors?

Kinaxis stock is valued at a market cap of $3.7 billion. Analysts tracking the firm expect sales of US$251 million in 2021, indicating a price-to-sales multiple of 11.6 and a price-to-earnings multiple of 93, which is really steep.

We can see the stock is priced at a premium even after the pullback. Bay Street expects earnings to grow at an annual rate of 18% in the next five years. Comparatively, earnings growth stood at 22.4% in the last five years.

As businesses seek to modernize their supply chain processes, the demand for AI-based tech solutions is bound to drive the company’s top-line growth. However, the company’s adjusted EBITDA margin is forecast between 11% and 14% for 2021 compared to 24% in 2020.

Due to its sky-high valuation, Kinaxis stock remains vulnerable, especially if it misses analysts’ earnings or revenue estimates in 2021.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

The Motley Fool recommends KINAXIS INC. Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned.

More on Tech Stocks

grow dividends
Tech Stocks

2 ETFs That Grew Over 98% in the Last 5 Years

Unlike individual stocks that represent a market unit, ETFs usually represent a market segment. If they follow sector-specific indexes, they …

Read more »

work from home
Tech Stocks

RRSP Investors: Want to Turn $10,000 Into $50,000?

With February fast approaching, our focus naturally turns to RRSP investing. This is a good time to make note of …

Read more »

Shopping and e-commerce
Tech Stocks

Can Shopify Recover to New All-time Highs in 2022?

With more than 1.7 million merchants on its platform, Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) is undoubtedly a core platform for SMBs. The company’s software-as-a-service platform …

Read more »

Businessman holding tablet and showing a growing virtual hologram of statistics, graph and chart with arrow up on dark background. Stock market. Business growth, planning and strategy concept
Tech Stocks

The 5 Best High-Growth TSX Stocks to Buy on the Dip

The broader market selling, primarily in high-growth stocks, provides a solid opportunity for investors to buy future winners at lower …

Read more »

Coronavirus written newspaper close up shot to the text.
Tech Stocks

The 2 Best Tech Stocks to Buy Today for Low-Risk Investors

Overvalued tech stocks are undergoing a major correction after inflating on the back of high liquidity from fiscal stimulus packages. …

Read more »

Choose a path
Tech Stocks

Is Ripple Primed for 100% Growth in 2022?

From an investment perspective, most cryptocurrencies seem similar. Almost all of them seem volatile, and while some get more limelight …

Read more »

Tech Stocks

Tech Crash: 2 Tech Stocks Analysts Have Sliced in Half

The TSX has continued to wax and wane over the past week. After a huge fall on Monday, shares started …

Read more »

Hand holding smart phone with online shop concept on screen
Tech Stocks

Shopify Stock Selloff: Could it Turn Around in February?

Shopify (TSX:SHOP)(NYSE:SHOP) continues to be one of the worst-affected stocks amid the ongoing market selloff. After posting its worst weekly …

Read more »