Why Algonquin Power (TSX:AQN) Is the Best TSX Stock to Buy in Uncertain Markets

It is prudent to have defensive stocks as well in your portfolio in order to diversify. Top utility stock Algonquin Power & Utilities (TSX:AQN)(NYSE:AQN) is one such stock.

| More on:

Investors focus too much on growth and too little on stability. However, it is prudent to have defensive stocks as well in your portfolio to diversify.

A classic defensive stock

Growth stocks offer higher potential returns against higher risk. But defensive stocks provide dividends and act as a hedge when markets turn volatile. And that’s why stability is more important in long-term investing, even if one has to sacrifice a few percentage points of return. Top utility stock Algonquin Power & Utilities (TSX:AQN)(NYSE:AQN) is one such TSX stock.

It is a $12 billion utility that distributes natural gas and electricity and also operates renewable assets. The company makes a significant portion of its earnings from regulated operations, which offer earnings stability and predictability. It also has significant exposure to renewables assets.

While regulated operations offer it earnings stability, renewables provide growth. That’s why Algonquin has seen a remarkably higher earnings growth in the last few years than peers.

Earnings stability and large renewable assets

Algonquin’s net income has increased from close to $85 million in 2015 to $782 million in 2020. Utilities generally exhibit low, single-digit earnings growth. But Algonquin has outperformed peers on the earnings front by a wide margin. The same was reflected in its stock price as well. It has returned almost 600% in the last decade, where Fortis (TSX:FTS)(NYSE:FTS) returned just 135%, while Canadian Utilities (TSX:CU) stock returned 81%.

Algonquin stock lags peers when it comes to the dividend yield. It yields 3.9%, lower compared to the industry average. Algonquin increased by 10% compounded annually in the last decade.

Last year, it gave away only 33% of its earnings as dividends. Algonquin’s payout ratio is notably lower than peers. It indicates that there is a huge scope of dividend increase over the long term. Fortis had a payout ratio of 67%, while Canadian Utilities had it at around 127% in 2020. CU’s greater than 100% payout ratio indicates that it distributed more in dividends than it earned last year.

Notably, FTS and CU also have solid dividend profiles and have some of the longest dividend increase streaks in Canada.

Utilities generally have a higher payout ratio. Predictable requirements of capital expenses allow them to give away a large portion of their earnings to shareholders.

Why utilities?

Utility companies remain relatively stable, even in a market downturn. Their earnings are not susceptible to business or economic cycles. Thus, AQN will likely continue to generate similar earnings, and one can expect consistent dividends from it, even in case of an economic shock.

Algonquin plans to invest US $9.4 billion in capital projects through the next five years. Investors can expect consistently growing dividends from AQN for the next few years, driven by its earnings stability and superior renewables portfolio.

Bottom line

AQN stock was relatively faster to recover from the pandemic crash last year. It has soared 18% in the last 12 months, while Fortis and CU stocks have surged 8% each. Interestingly, AQN is still trading at a relatively discounted valuation against peers, suggesting a continued upward rally.

I agree that utility stocks can be boring because of their slow stock price movements. However, they can generate decent returns with relatively lower risk. Even if you are an aggressive growth investor, it makes sense to hold stocks like Algonquin to protect the portfolio from volatility and recessions.

More on Dividend Stocks

GettyImages-1394663007
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks to Buy if the Economy Avoids a Recession

If recession fears fade, these three TSX stocks could rebound fast as investors price in steadier spending and demand.

Read more »

diversification and asset allocation are crucial investing concepts
Dividend Stocks

How to Put $14,000 in a TFSA to Work for Monthly Income

Use a simple two‑REIT approach to generate monthly income from a $14,000 TFSA and build a recurring tax‑free cash flow.

Read more »

Colored pins on calendar showing a month
Dividend Stocks

This Dividend Stock Pays 5.1% and Sends Cash Every Month

This TSX stock offers reliable monthly dividend payments and yields over 5%. Moreover, it is likely to sustain its payouts.

Read more »

Investor reading the newspaper
Dividend Stocks

3 Dividend Stocks That Belong in Almost Every Investor’s Portfolio

These three Canadian dividend stocks are simply among the best the TSX has to offer. No matter an investor's risk…

Read more »

Concept of multiple streams of income
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Blue-Chip Stocks to Hold Through 2026 and Beyond

Given their solid underlying businesses, disciplined capital allocation, and healthy growth prospects, these three Canadian blue-chip stocks offer attractive buying…

Read more »

shopper carries paper bags with purchases
Dividend Stocks

This 5.3% Dividend Stock is My Go-To for Cash Flow Planning

RioCan REIT (TSX:REI.UN) delivers monthly 5.3% dividends for smooth cash flow, paid on the 6th or the 8th of each…

Read more »

Woman checking her computer and holding coffee cup
Dividend Stocks

3 Canadian Stocks That Could Shine in a Higher-for-Longer Rate World

If rates stay higher for longer, these three TSX stocks aim to win with hard assets, steady demand, and businesses…

Read more »

young adult uses credit card to shop online
Dividend Stocks

Forget Telus: A Cheaper Dividend Stock With More Growth Potential

Quebecor (TSX:QBR.B) stands out as a great, cheaper-looking dividend stock with more growth.

Read more »