Why Algonquin Power (TSX:AQN) Is the Best TSX Stock to Buy in Uncertain Markets

It is prudent to have defensive stocks as well in your portfolio in order to diversify. Top utility stock Algonquin Power & Utilities (TSX:AQN)(NYSE:AQN) is one such stock.

| More on:

Investors focus too much on growth and too little on stability. However, it is prudent to have defensive stocks as well in your portfolio to diversify.

A classic defensive stock

Growth stocks offer higher potential returns against higher risk. But defensive stocks provide dividends and act as a hedge when markets turn volatile. And that’s why stability is more important in long-term investing, even if one has to sacrifice a few percentage points of return. Top utility stock Algonquin Power & Utilities (TSX: AQN)(NYSE: AQN) is one such TSX stock.

It is a $12 billion utility that distributes natural gas and electricity and also operates renewable assets. The company makes a significant portion of its earnings from regulated operations, which offer earnings stability and predictability. It also has significant exposure to renewables assets.

While regulated operations offer it earnings stability, renewables provide growth. That’s why Algonquin has seen a remarkably higher earnings growth in the last few years than peers.

Earnings stability and large renewable assets

Algonquin’s net income has increased from close to $85 million in 2015 to $782 million in 2020. Utilities generally exhibit low, single-digit earnings growth. But Algonquin has outperformed peers on the earnings front by a wide margin. The same was reflected in its stock price as well. It has returned almost 600% in the last decade, where Fortis (TSX: FTS)(NYSE: FTS) returned just 135%, while Canadian Utilities (TSX: CU) stock returned 81%.

Algonquin stock lags peers when it comes to the dividend yield. It yields 3.9%, lower compared to the industry average. Algonquin increased by 10% compounded annually in the last decade.

Last year, it gave away only 33% of its earnings as dividends. Algonquin’s payout ratio is notably lower than peers. It indicates that there is a huge scope of dividend increase over the long term. Fortis had a payout ratio of 67%, while Canadian Utilities had it at around 127% in 2020. CU’s greater than 100% payout ratio indicates that it distributed more in dividends than it earned last year.

Notably, FTS and CU also have solid dividend profiles and have some of the longest dividend increase streaks in Canada.

Utilities generally have a higher payout ratio. Predictable requirements of capital expenses allow them to give away a large portion of their earnings to shareholders.

Why utilities?

Utility companies remain relatively stable, even in a market downturn. Their earnings are not susceptible to business or economic cycles. Thus, AQN will likely continue to generate similar earnings, and one can expect consistent dividends from it, even in case of an economic shock.

Algonquin plans to invest US $9.4 billion in capital projects through the next five years. Investors can expect consistently growing dividends from AQN for the next few years, driven by its earnings stability and superior renewables portfolio.

Bottom line

AQN stock was relatively faster to recover from the pandemic crash last year. It has soared 18% in the last 12 months, while Fortis and CU stocks have surged 8% each. Interestingly, AQN is still trading at a relatively discounted valuation against peers, suggesting a continued upward rally.

I agree that utility stocks can be boring because of their slow stock price movements. However, they can generate decent returns with relatively lower risk. Even if you are an aggressive growth investor, it makes sense to hold stocks like Algonquin to protect the portfolio from volatility and recessions.

More on Dividend Stocks

A train passes Morant's curve in Banff National Park in the Canadian Rockies.
Dividend Stocks

This Isn’t a “Quick Win” Stock: It’s a “Steady Builder” One

CN Rail (TSX:CNR) may be the steadiest compounder on the entire Canadian stock market.

Read more »

dividend growth for passive income
Dividend Stocks

1 Undervalued Canadian Dividend Stock to Buy Now and Hold for Decades

This stock is down 15% from the recent highs and now offers an attractive dividend yield.

Read more »

House models and one with REIT real estate investment trust.
Dividend Stocks

Here’s the 6.8% Dividend Stock I Keep Coming Back To

SmartCentres REIT (TSX:SRU.UN) stands out as a near-7% yield dividend play that's worth coming back to for yield.

Read more »

Child measures his height on wall. He is growing taller.
Dividend Stocks

New to Investing? Start With This Canadian Dividend Stock

This Canadian stock has a proven record of paying dividends and consistently raising their payouts in the years ahead.

Read more »

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Dividend Stocks

VFV Isn’t a Complete Portfolio: Here’s What Canadian Investors May Be Missing

VFV feels like a complete portfolio, but it’s really a concentrated bet on U.S. large caps and the U.S. dollar.

Read more »

Partially complete jigsaw puzzle with scattered missing pieces
Dividend Stocks

Don’t Want to Wait a Year for a GIC Payout? This 11.7% Dividend Stock Pays You Monthly

Hamilton Canadian Financials Yield Maximizer ETF (TSX:HMAX) stands out as the ultimate passive-income booster, but it's far different than GICs.

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

GIC or Dividend Stock? Here’s Where I’d Put $10,000 for Income and Growth

Rogers can beat a one‑year GIC on income and long-term upside, but only if you can handle volatility and debt…

Read more »

Agricultural harvesting at the last light of day, aerial view.
Dividend Stocks

Potash Power Play: Why This Overlooked Commodity Could Be Canada’s Trump Card

Canada’s potash dominance gives Nutrien a strategic edge as trade tensions rise, making this overlooked commodity worth watching closely.

Read more »