5 Reasons This Growth Stock Hasn’t Taken Off … Yet

Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD.B) has been a fabulous growth stock, delivering 23% annualized returns over the past 20 years. Here’s why the stock hasn’t flown high lately.

| More on:
stock data

Image source: Getty Images

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s premium investing services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn more

Alimentation Couche-Tard (TSX:ATD.B) stock is currently trading at similar levels as in early 2019. So, essentially, the growth stock (if you can still call it that) has gone nowhere in the last two years.

However, I don’t think it’s fair to just give up on the growth stock just yet.

Studying the TSX stock’s past might shed some light on its recent price action. The growth stock traded in a sideways channel for several years before. Specifically, from roughly mid-2015 to late 2018, the stock traded in the $27-32 per share range.

From June 2010 to August 2015, the extraordinary stock grew investors’ money at a rate of nine times! These were mouth-watering returns of +50% per year! Importantly, this growth was supported by its super-successful global M&A strategy that was primarily executed in North America.

When Couche-Tard’s earnings-per-share growth “slowed” gradually from 20% to 10% a year from fiscal 2016 to 2018, the stock had no choice but to experience multiple contractions. This was demonstrated by a resilient stock that traded in the multi-year sideways channel described earlier.

Mind you, a 10% growth rate is still very good growth. Many mature companies will drool at that kind of growth rate.

Here are five reasons why the growth stock hasn’t taken off … yet.

Growth concerns

As the company has grown from a much smaller base over the past 20 years to the size that it is now, it has become increasingly difficult to grow at a high pace.

Today, investors may be questioning Couche-Tard’s growth going forward. Historically, about 70% of Couche-Tard’s growth came from its M&A strategy. Going forward, management expects its M&A contribution to lower to 50% while boosting its organic growth’s contribution from 30% to 50%. Organic growth could come from a focus on the customer journey and product offerings.

Pandemic impacts

To get a high-level picture, Couche-Tard’s revenues over the last 12 months were $43 billion; they were partly impacted by the pandemic.

Revenues and EBITDA, a cash flow proxy, declined 25% and 20%, respectively, year over year. However, its EBITDA margin improved from about 7.36% to 10.35%.

Dampened profits

Recently, Couche-Tard identified 355 North American sites that it planned to sell for network optimization purposes. That is, these sites don’t make a strategic fit from a brand or regional scale perspective anymore. The company already came to an agreement in March to sell 49 sites in Oklahoma to Casey’s General Stores for $39 million in cash. These divestitures could reduce Couche-Tard’s sales, earnings, and cash flow in the near term.

Increased investments in converting its gas stations to charging stations for electric vehicles over time will dampen its free cash flow. While under construction, there could be temporary closures at the respective locations that could dampen its top and bottom lines as well.

Growth stocks are generally falling

There has been a selloff in the market, particularly in growth stocks — even for the darlings of their worlds like Amazon, Netflix, and Tesla.

So far this year, Couche-Tard stock has also been capped by its 50-day simple moving average, which sits at $42.70 per share at writing.


The stock could be a bigger bargain. Couche-Tard share buyback program that began in November 2020 and ended in April 2021 saw the company repurchasing more than US$1 billion worth of Class B subordinate voting shares at about US$31.90 per share (roughly CA$38.60), which is a discount of 8% from yesterday’s market close price of $41.96.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

John Mackey, CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Fool contributor Kay Ng owns shares of Amazon, Couche-Tard, and Netflix. David Gardner owns shares of Amazon, Netflix, and Tesla. Tom Gardner owns shares of Netflix and Tesla. The Motley Fool owns shares of and recommends ALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD INC, Amazon, Netflix, and Tesla and recommends the following options: long January 2022 $1920 calls on Amazon and short January 2022 $1940 calls on Amazon.

More on Dividend Stocks

growing plant shoots on stacked coins
Dividend Stocks

2 Oversold TSX Dividend Stocks to Buy Now and Own for 25 Years

These top TSX dividend stocks look oversold and now offer attractive yields for TFSA and RRSP investors.

Read more »

Profit dial turned up to maximum
Dividend Stocks

RRSP Investors: 2 Undervalued TSX Stocks to Buy Now for Total Returns

Top TSX dividend stocks are now on sale for RRSP investors seeking attractive total returns.

Read more »

TFSA and coins
Dividend Stocks

2 Beaten-Down Stocks to Buy for Your TFSA

Two beaten-down, but high-yield TSX stocks are profitable options for TFSA investors.

Read more »

Hand writing Time for Action concept with red marker on transparent wipe board.
Dividend Stocks

Inflation Soars to 7.7%: 1 Dividend Stock to Buy Now

Enbridge (TSX:ENB)(NYSE:ENB) stock looks like a magnificent dividend stock to help Canadians deal with inflation at 7.7%.

Read more »

Dividend Stocks

RRSP Investors: 2 Oversold Dividend Stocks to Buy Now for Total Returns

These great Canadian dividend stocks look cheap today for an RRSP focused on total returns.

Read more »

Volatile market, stock volatility
Dividend Stocks

2 Dividend Stocks to Own When the Market Is in Turmoil

Two TSX stocks can sustain dividend payments, even if the present market turmoil extends longer than expected.

Read more »

Various Canadian dollars in gray pants pocket
Dividend Stocks

3 Passive-Income Stocks to Help You Through This Market Correction

These three passive-income stocks offer stellar dividends around 6% to help get you to the other side of this market…

Read more »

Coworkers standing near a wall
Bank Stocks

Policy Rate: 2 More Hikes After July 2022 to Reach Neutral Level

The Bank of Canada might need three more rate hikes beginning in July 2022 to reach neutral levels.

Read more »