Should You Follow Billionaires Into Railroad Stocks?

Billionaires are betting big on railroad stocks like Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI).

| More on:
railroad with nature background

Image source: Getty Images

When you think of billionaire investments, tech stocks are probably the first thing that comes to mind. Many hundred-billion-dollar fortunes owe their existence to big tech, and the number is growing all the time. Most centi-billionaires built their fortunes by starting their own tech companies and holding the shares. Hedge fund managers make up the lion’s share of non-tech billionaires, with figures like Ray Dalio and George Soros rounding out the lower tier of the top 100 largest fortunes.

What you might not know is just how many of these tech and finance billionaires are invested in a much older sector: railroads.

Hardly a fashionable or trendy industry, railroads, nevertheless, count many high-profile billionaires among their owners, including the following:

  • Bill Gates
  • Melinda Gates
  • Warren Buffett
  • Bill Ackman

Thanks to massive consolidation in the industry, railroads have become a top-performing sector in terms of returns on equity. Every year, the world’s biggest railroads crank out sizeable profits for every dollar of investor wealth. Canadian National Railway (TSX:CNR)(NYSE:CNI), for example, has a 50% gross profit margin and a 20% ROE for the trailing 12-month period. These kinds of financial results tend to drive high stock price appreciation in the long run. So, it’s no surprise that railroads like CNR have been rallying over the past several years. Since this time in 2016, CNR has risen 96%, more than doubling the TSX’s return in the same period (45%).

Why billionaires like railroad stocks

As we’ve seen already, many high-profile investors are invested in railroad stocks. Bill Gates and Warren Buffett both like them, and Bill Ackman was on the train (pardon the pun) for a time as well.

The question is, why?

When you look at railroads, you don’t think of fast-paced growth. Seen as an industry that was trendy at the turn of the previous century, rail is hardly a big innovator now.

Yet it’s still as relevant as ever. Rail remains the most cost-effective way to transport most goods over long distances. It beats air and trucks on price. It doesn’t compete with ships, which are used for different types of routes. It does lose to pipelines for transporting crude oil, but with North America’s pipelines being filled to capacity and being cancelled left and right, the crude-by-rail industry looks safe for now.

Because of its massive price advantage, rail transportation has actually seen appreciable growth over the past decade. Over 10 years, CNR has cranked out 12.44% annualized growth in levered free cash flow. Maybe that’s not the kind of growth that top tech stocks produce, but it’s pretty solid. If a stock’s price grew at that rate, you’d double your money in fewer than seven years — a good long-term result.

Foolish takeaway

If billionaires’ love affair with railroads can teach us anything, it’s this: good investments are often in the last places you’d look.

Few would think that a centuries-old industry associated with the early 20th century gilded age would still be relevant now, but the truth is that it is. I’m personally long CNR stock, and I’ll be holding it for the foreseeable future.

This article represents the opinion of the writer, who may disagree with the “official” recommendation position of a Motley Fool premium service or advisor. We’re Motley! Questioning an investing thesis — even one of our own — helps us all think critically about investing and make decisions that help us become smarter, happier, and richer, so we sometimes publish articles that may not be in line with recommendations, rankings or other content.

Fool contributor Andrew Button owns shares of Canadian National Railway. The Motley Fool recommends Canadian National Railway.

More on Dividend Stocks

stock data
Dividend Stocks

Brookfield Stock Analysis: Should You Buy Today?

Brookfield (TSX:BN) stock has a cheap valuation. Is it a buy?

Read more »

The tops of soda cans
Dividend Stocks

Where Will Coca-Cola’s Dividend Be in 1 Year?

This blue-chip consumer staples giant has now increased dividends for 61 years in a row.

Read more »

Doctor talking to a patient in the corridor of a hospital.
Dividend Stocks

Best Stocks to Buy in May 2024: TSX Healthcare Sector

Three outperforming stocks with strong fundamentals are the best buys in the healthcare sector in May 2024.

Read more »

energy industry
Dividend Stocks

Is it Too Late to Buy Enbridge Stock?

Enbridge stock has delivered market-beating returns to shareholders in the last 25 years. Is ENB stock still a good buy?

Read more »

Payday ringed on a calendar
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Income Stream: Top Monthly Dividend Stocks for Tax-Free Gains

Here are two of the best Canadian dividend stocks you can add to your TFSA today to our tax-free passive…

Read more »

cup of cappuccino with a sad face
Dividend Stocks

If Canada’s Economy Keeps Slumping, This Industry Is in the Crosshairs

This sector could see even more problems amid high interest rates and inflation, with newcomers to Canada potentially going elsewhere.

Read more »

consider the options
Dividend Stocks

Could Investing $53,000 in MCAN Make You a Millionaire?

$53,000 seed capital can become $1 million over time through dividend investing and the power of compound interest.

Read more »

edit Woman calculating figures next to a laptop
Dividend Stocks

3 Magnificent Dividend Stocks to Buy in May and Hold Long Term

These magnificent dividend stocks could be among the top picks in the market, for those looking to create true value…

Read more »