2 Energy ETFs Are Vulnerable to Dividend Cuts in case of Demand Shocks

Two dividend-paying energy ETFs outperform in 2022, although both are vulnerable to dividend cuts if OPEC lifts production cuts to bring down oil prices.

| More on:

The energy sector is volatile but it’s a heavyweight on the TSX. If not for the sector’s continuing surge, Canada’s primary stock exchange would have entered correction territory already. As of February 25, 2022, the year-to-date gain is 24.57%.

For investors who want to simplify the selection process, exchange-traded funds (ETF) specific to the energy sector are available too. BlackRock’s iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF (TSX:XEG) and BMO Equal Weight Oil & Gas Index ETF (TSX:ZEO) are two examples.

However, individual stocks might be safer options today than either income-focused energy fund. Most of the energy companies have been generating significant cash flows due to the favourable pricing environment. Both energy ETFs are dividend-payers, although cuts are possible if demand shocks similar to 2020 happen.

Benchmark 1

BlackRock is the asset manager of iShares S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index ETF, the top-performer so far in 2022. At $13.18 per share (+24.57% year-to-date), XEG pays a 1.81% dividend.

The fund’s target exposure is Canada’s energy sector. Its investment objective is to deliver long-term capital growth. XEG replicates the performance of the S&P/TSX Capped Energy Index. The fund has a high-risk rating and holds 23 energy stocks led by oil majors Canadian Natural Resources (26.14%) and Suncor Energy (24.15%).

Regarding exposure breakdown, oil & gas exploration & production companies (57.15%) have the higher percentage weight than integrated oil & gas firms (42.17%). The main attraction of XEG is the dividend yield, and therefore, don’t expect much on capital appreciation. Still, the current share price is 85.4% higher than a year ago.

Benchmark 2  

BMO Equal Weight Oil & Gas Index ETF replicates the performance of the Solactive Equal Weight Canada Oil & Gas Index. The fund invests in the oil & gas sector, namely integrated (41.56%), storage & transportation (35.32%), and exploration & production (23.12%) companies.

Like XEG, the risk-rating of ZEO is high. If you invest today, the share price is $55.03 (+18.55% year-to-date), while the dividend yield is 2.8% dividend. While the fund’s focus is oil & gas, the asset manager maintains equal weights to lessen security specific risk.

The basket has fewer stocks (nine only) with Cenovus Energy as the top holding. ZEO has shares of Canadian Natural Resources and Suncor Energy too because both are integrated oil & gas companies. This ETF also mirrors the performance of the red-hot energy sector. Its current share price is the highest it has reached in 2022.

Alternative mutual fund with ETF

Ninepoint Partners LP recently announced plans to launch a new investment vehicle. Eric Nutall, its senior portfolio manager, said the Ninepoint Energy Income Fund will focus on cash-flush energy companies, so it could distribute income to shareholders.

The structure is an alternative mutual fund with ETF series. Nutall believes the multi-year bull market will sustain significantly high oil prices. Investors can also expect energy companies to increase dividends in the coming years. Since most players will reduce debts, the alternative is to return excess cash back to shareholders, he says.

Floodgates might open

Energy ETF investors can’t be complacent. XEG and ZEO are excellent dividend plays for now. However, if OPEC decides to increase production and arrest the price surge, oil stocks could tank. Thus, a slash or stop to dividend payments, stocks or ETFs, could ensue.

Fool contributor Christopher Liew has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends CDN NATURAL RES.

More on Energy Stocks

Oil industry worker works in oilfield
Energy Stocks

2 Canadian Energy Stocks That Still Look Cheap Today

Even with energy volatility, Peyto and Whitecap still look like “cheap but cash-generating” TSX producers with dividends that aren’t just…

Read more »

data center server racks glow with light
Energy Stocks

1 Canadian Company Set to Make a Fortune from the $650 Billion Data Centre Buildout

Cameco is positioned to benefit from the massive $650B data centre buildout as soaring AI power demand accelerates global nuclear…

Read more »

trading chart of brent crude oil prices
Energy Stocks

If Oil Hits $100, These 3 Canadian Stocks Could Surge

If oil really spikes to $100, these three Canadian energy names offer different kinds of torque: a major project ramp,…

Read more »

jar with coins and plant
Energy Stocks

Got $10,000? Here’s a Simple TFSA Plan for Income and Growth

A simple $10,000 TFSA can pair long-term growth with tax-free income by owning proven compounders and reliable dividend payers.

Read more »

woman checks off all the boxes
Energy Stocks

5 Reasons to Buy Freehold Royalties Stock Like There’s No Tomorrow

Here's why Freehold Royalties isn't just one of the best dividend stocks to buy now, but one of the best…

Read more »

young adult uses credit card to shop online
Energy Stocks

1 Canadian Energy Stock That Looks Like a Compelling Buy Right Now

Suncor stock's improvement plan just got help from soaring oil prices. Expect strong cash flows to continue to drive shareholder…

Read more »

financial chart graphs and oil pumps on a field
Energy Stocks

The Canadian Energy Dividend Stocks Worth Watching Right Now

Find out how the ongoing conflict influences global energy prices, supply challenges, and shifts in oil sourcing strategies.

Read more »

man looks worried about something on his phone
Energy Stocks

This $34 Stock Could Be Your Ticket to Millionaire Status

Strong cash flow and expansion plans make this TSX stock hard to ignore.

Read more »