Is GreenPower Motor the Next Tesla?

Tesla stock has surged by an astonishing 12,000% in the last 10 years. Can a lesser-known Canadian stock help investors derive similar returns?

| More on:

Electric vehicle (EV) giant, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has created massive wealth for long-term investors. In fact, TSLA stock has surged over 12,000% in the last 10 years, easily dwarfing the S&P 500 Index, which has gained 268% since March 2012.

Tesla is the largest EV company in the world and continues to benefit from a first-mover advantage. It has manufactured and sold more EVs than any other competitor. Its total deliveries increased to more than 900,000 in 2021, and Tesla expects to sell 20 million units a year by 2030.

The estimates might be lofty, as global automobile sales range between 65 million and 75 million vehicles each year. However, the company’s visionary CEO, Elon Musk, is confident about the widening market share of Tesla.

Car, EV, electric vehicle

Image source: Getty Images

Tesla is hugely profitable

Unlike most other EV manufacturers, Tesla is consistently profitable as it benefits from economies of scale. Its Gigafactory in Shanghai is already ramping up production, while the facility in Berlin will soon allow Tesla to gain traction in Europe.

Tesla has improved operating margins from 6.3% to 2020 to 12.1% in 2021. In the last two quarters, its operating margins stood at 15%, on the back of huge shipment numbers. The company’s shipments increased from 367,656 vehicles in 209 to 936,000 in 2021, despite the ongoing pandemic and supply chain disruptions.

Tesla has managed to maintain an average selling price of more than US$50,000 in 2021 compared to US$56,000 in 2019. It’s really admirable for a company to sell a million vehicles with an ASP of over US$50,000. Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y share several components and are built on a single platform, which reduces costs by a huge margin.

Tesla sales have risen from US$21.46 billion in 2018 to US$53.8 billion in 2021. It ended the last year with an operating income of US$6.5 billion compared to a loss of US$252.8 million in 2018. Analysts expect Tesla to increase sales by 53.8% to US$82.8 billion in 2022 and by 25.5% to US$104 billion in 2023. Comparatively, its adjusted earnings are forecast to rise by 54.6% in 2022 and by 21.5% in 2023.

Can GreenPower Motor replicate TSLA stock gains?

While Tesla is well poised to deliver outsized gains over the next few years, it will be impossible for the stock to replicate its historical returns. However, there are several other EV players that can help you crush the broader markets in 2022 and beyond.

One such Canadian growth stock is GreenPower Motor (TSXV:GPV)(NASDAQ:GP). Its revenue grew from $3.5 million in fiscal 2018 to $13.5 million in fiscal 2020 that ended in March. However, the top line declined to $11.88 million due to COVID-19, but in the last 12 months, its revenue increased to $16.79 million.

In Q3 of fiscal 2022, GreenPower reported sales of $5.3 million — an increase of 121% year over year compared to its year-ago revenue of $2.4 million. Its gross margin increased to 27.8%, up from just 21.5% in the last quarter.

Analysts tracking GPV stock expect sales to rise by 103% to $24 million in fiscal 2022 and by another 80% to $45 million in fiscal 2023.

Bay Street also expects GPV stock to more than triple in the next year, given consensus price target estimates.

The Foolish takeaway

It’s quite rare for any company to generate similar returns derived by investing in TSLA stock. But GreenPower is part of a rapidly expanding addressable market, making it a good buy for growth investors with a high-risk appetite.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Tesla.

More on Investing

Canadian investor contemplating U.S. stocks with multiple doors to choose from.
Stocks for Beginners

2 Canadian Stocks to Buy Before Economic Fears Fade

These two Canadian food companies could be smart buys while investors still feel uneasy about the economy.

Read more »

Colored pins on calendar showing a month
Dividend Stocks

How to Build a Paycheque Portfolio With 2 Stocks That Pay Monthly

These monthly dividend stocks are backed by durable business models, steady revenue and earnings growth, and sustainable payouts.

Read more »

financial chart graphs and oil pumps on a field
Energy Stocks

This Canadian Dividend Stock Just Jumped 21% – Should You Still Buy?

With most of the upside now priced in, ARX stock now looks more like a deal-driven story than a growth…

Read more »

man touches brain to show a good idea
Investing

Stop Chasing Yield in Your TFSA — Here’s What to Do Instead

CN Rail (TSX:CNR) stock might be a premier dividend play for the long run as shares bounce back.

Read more »

man in bowtie poses with abacus
Tech Stocks

What the Average Canadian TFSA Balance at 60 Can Teach Us

Unlock the potential of your TFSA. Discover how effective contributions can lead to financial freedom and an early retirement.

Read more »

Printing canadian dollar bills on a print machine
Dividend Stocks

How to Use Just $20,000 to Turn Your TFSA Into a Reliable Cash-Generating Machine

Given their stable and reliable cash flows, high yields, and visible growth prospects, these two Canadian stocks are ideal for…

Read more »

woman holding steering wheel is nervous about the future
Metals and Mining Stocks

Canadian Investors Are Missing This Huge Trend Right Now

Copper is the “picks-and-shovels” theme behind EVs, grid upgrades, and data centres, and these two TSX names give different ways…

Read more »

customer uses bank ATM
Bank Stocks

2 Canadian Stocks Worth Buying Today and Holding for 5 Years

Strong earnings, reliable dividends, and long-term upside make these Canadian stocks worth a closer look.

Read more »