Is Enthusiasm Over the Ethereum Merge Overdone?

The upcoming Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) merge is perhaps the biggest upgrade this sector has ever seen, but is the hype too much?

| More on:

Certainly, Ethereum (CRYPTO:ETH) Merge is one of the hottest topics out there in the cryptocurrency sector right now. 

This morning, Ethereum surged more than 6% over the past 24 hours, as investors continue to price in expected gains following this upcoming merge. With Ethereum’s mainnet well poised to merge with the proof-of-stake algorithm of Beacon Chain, expectations about token price growth are once again being highlighted by the market.

Now, it should be noted that previous excitement around this merge, which led ETH to breach the $2,000 level in mid-August, has somewhat dissipated. Today, this token trades around $1,650 (still well above its lows of less than $900).

However, questions around whether the hype is deserved or not are real. Let’s take a closer look.

Could the Ethereum merge result in a “flippening”?

The term “flippening” is an interesting one in the crypto world. Many have used this term to describe the point in time when Ethereum overtakes Bitcoin (CRYPTO:BTC) as the most valuable crypto. And while some indications from options markets suggest that a flippening could take place, it’s not likely to happen for quite some time.

That said, enthusiasm around this merge took Ethereum on an incredible run in a couple months. From mid-June to mid-August, this token more than doubled from trough to peak. That’s an impressive move in short order. (Only a few more double-ups would be needed to see Ethereum surge past Bitcoin, assuming muted performance on Bitcoin’s part.)

Thus, this is a question of momentum. For now, momentum appears to be inching higher, though not in the parabolic fashion that many predicted. Perhaps much of this enthusiasm was front loaded. Perhaps some investors are wary of the potential for bugs during the merge. In any case, it’s clear the crypto market is taking a more cautious and measured approach to this big catalyst right now.

Tornado Cash overshadowing Merge hype 

The recent decision from the U.S. Treasury’s Office of Foreign Assets Control (OFAC) to add the popular decentralized privacy solution Tornado Cash to its sanctions list has dampened excitement. 

For those who are unaware, cybercriminals have used this app for money-laundering purposes. Regulators looking to stamp out nefarious activity, on the blockchain or otherwise, have focused in on this crypto tumbling service as enemy number one. Most in the crypto community aren’t necessarily against such regulation.

That said, this drama has bled into Ethereum’s valuation. That’s because the crypto community has become concerned that centralized entities that stake ETH on the beacon chain may censor transactions coming from Tornado Cash (because they have to). Such censorship is against the principles of many in the Ethereum community, leading to an intriguing question of what will happen post-merge.

Bottom line

I think the enthusiasm around Ethereum Merge is warranted. Should this merge go off without a hitch, there’s a lot to like about the improved efficiency of the Ethereum blockchain and the future growth prospects that come along with this upgrade.

That said, there are downside risks. It’s important to acknowledge these. And perhaps this enthusiasm is overdone to some degree.

That said, I think Ethereum will be a token to watch from here. It’s going to be a fun few weeks for this top crypto.

Fool contributor Chris MacDonald has positions in Ethereum. The Motley Fool recommends Bitcoin and Ethereum.

More on Investing

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Wednesday, January 7

After the TSX climbed to a second straight record, the market’s focus shifts to mixed commodity signals and major economic…

Read more »

top TSX stocks to buy
Dividend Stocks

Last Chance for a Fresh Start: 3 TSX Stocks to Buy for a Strong January 2026

Starting fresh in January is easier when you buy a few durable TSX “sleep-well” businesses and let time do the…

Read more »

Man looks stunned about something
Dividend Stocks

Don’t Overthink It: The Best $21,000 TFSA Approach to Start 2026

With $21,000 to start a TFSA in 2026, a simple four-holding mix can balance Canadian income with global diversification.

Read more »

ETFs can contain investments such as stocks
Investing

2 Spectacular Monthly Income ETFs With Yields Up to 7.4%

BMO Covered Call Utilities ETF (TSX:ZWU) and another ETF that's a source of big monthly income and capital gains potential.

Read more »

how to save money
Energy Stocks

Cenovus Energy: Should You Buy the Pullback?

Cenovus is down more than 10% in recent weeks. Is the stock now oversold?

Read more »

ETF stands for Exchange Traded Fund
Investing

A Monthly Income ETF I Like More Than GICs

iShares Core Canadian Government Bond Index ETF (TSX:XGB) is a great monthly income ETF for steadiness in the new year.

Read more »

Start line on the highway
Stocks for Beginners

You Don’t Need a Ton of Money to Grow a Successful TFSA: Here Are 3 Ways to Get Started

These TSX stocks have a higher likelihood of delivering returns that outpace the broader market, making them top bets for…

Read more »

todder holds a gold bar
Metals and Mining Stocks

With Copper and Gold Surging, the Canadian Mining Stocks You Need to Know About

As the commodity rally in metals continues, some Canadian mining stocks are emerging as winners over others. Here are two…

Read more »