TSX Today: Why Canadian Stocks Could Fall in June

More data is coming out, and it could mean that investors see stocks fall again. Especially this one.

| More on:

With so many Canadians watching their wallets, June could bring more turbulence to the stock market. Higher interest rates, slower growth, and investor nerves are all in the mix. When consumers pause buying, stocks often follow. That’s why Canadian equities, including even the reliable ones, could see some bumps ahead. With that in mind, Brookfield Infrastructure Partners (TSX:BIP.UN) is one Canadian stock to keep an eye on.

A worker overlooks an oil refinery plant.

Source: Getty Images

About BIP

Brookfield Infrastructure owns and operates essential infrastructure all over the world. Think utilities, pipelines, ports, rail networks, and communication towers. These are steady businesses with long-term contracts and regulated pricing. That means Brookfield brings in predictable cash flow, even when the economy gets rocky. It’s one reason the Canadian stock has long been a favourite for dividend investors. But even the safest-seeming names can hit rough patches when economic signals shift.

As of writing, BIP trades around $45.80. That’s down from a high of about $50.46 in the past year. The drop reflects growing caution about interest rates. The Bank of Canada may not raise rates again anytime soon, but it’s also not cutting quickly. And when rates stay high, companies like Brookfield, which borrow to finance major infrastructure projects, can see their costs rise. That pressure can weigh on earnings expectations and stock prices.

Still, the Canadian stock’s most recent earnings report, released in May, gave investors reasons to feel optimistic. Brookfield reported funds from operations of $605 million in the first quarter, up 12% from last year. It credited strong performance across its operating segments, including recent acquisitions. The results show that the business model is still working. The Canadian stock also declared a quarterly distribution of $0.43 per unit, continuing its long-standing record of consistent payouts. That adds up to an annual yield of around 5.1% at writing, which is hard to ignore in today’s market.

What to watch

But June might not be kind to income stocks. That’s because high-yielding names often come under pressure when inflation data or central bank commentary shifts expectations. Infrastructure stocks, in particular, get compared to bonds. If investors can earn 5% from guaranteed instruments like guaranteed investment certificates (GIC) or Treasury bills, they may be less excited about buying shares in even the steadiest businesses. That’s especially true if there’s any sign of growth slowing or costs rising.

There’s also the seasonal effect. Markets tend to see lighter trading in the summer, and June often brings rebalancing before those slower months. That can lead to short-term volatility, even for solid names like Brookfield. And with consumer spending expected to slow, investors may shift toward more defensive sectors or take profits on stocks that have run up earlier in the year.

For long-term investors, though, Brookfield Infrastructure remains a strong name. The Canadian stock has a global footprint, stable cash flows, and a management team that has proven its ability to grow value over time. Analysts have a one-year price target in the low $50s, suggesting room for upside if macro conditions settle down. But in the short term, the Canadian stock could wobble with the broader TSX.

Bottom line

The best strategy in a month like June is to stay informed and keep expectations realistic. With many Canadians adjusting their financial habits, cutting spending, dipping into savings, and feeling the pinch from higher costs, it’s no surprise the market might follow. Brookfield Infrastructure offers income and stability, but it’s still sensitive to the bigger picture.

For now, it’s worth watching closely. If volatility hits, that might be a buying opportunity. But don’t be surprised if even dependable names feel the squeeze as economic uncertainty lingers. The story of June could be one of patience and preparation.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Brookfield Infrastructure Partners. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Stocks for Beginners

people ride a downhill dip on a roller coaster
Stocks for Beginners

The Smartest TSX Stock to Buy With $500 Right Now

A $500 bet on Cineplex lets you ride a Canadian brand’s recovery while the stock still reflects plenty of skepticism.

Read more »

man gives stopping gesture
Stocks for Beginners

A Year Later: 3 TSX Stocks That Proved the Doubters Wrong

Today, we'll look at these three rebounding names.

Read more »

oil pumps at sunset
Energy Stocks

Oil Is Back in Focus: 3 Canadian Stocks to Watch Now

Oil’s back in the spotlight, and these three TSX names offer a mix of producer upside and pipeline stability.

Read more »

A red umbrella stands higher than a crowd of black umbrellas.
Dividend Stocks

Manulife vs. Sun Life: 1 Canadian Insurer I’d Buy and Hold

Manulife and Sun Life are both high-quality Canadian insurers, but Manulife has the slightly better mix of growth and value…

Read more »

AI concept person in profile
Tech Stocks

3 No-Brainer TSX Stocks to Buy While the Market Is Still Nervous

Three Canadian stocks stand out as smart nervous-market buys: a proven software compounder, a cheap-growing fintech, and a higher-risk digital…

Read more »

TFSA (Tax-Free Savings Account) on wooden blocks and Canadian one hundred dollar bills.
Dividend Stocks

Canadians: Here’s How Much You Need in Your TFSA to Retire

A $7,000 TFSA contribution can feel small, but these three dividend growers show how it can snowball into real retirement…

Read more »

man shops in a drugstore
Dividend Stocks

A Perfect TFSA Stock: A 5% Yield with Constant Paycheques

RioCan Real Estate stands out as a perfect TFSA stock, offering a reliable 5.6% yield and steady monthly income for…

Read more »

The RRSP (Canadian Registered Retirement Savings Plan) is a smart way to save and invest for the future
Dividend Stocks

Here’s the Average Canadian TFSA and RRSP Balances at Age 45

Find out how much Canadians have saved in their TFSA at age 45 and compare it with RRSP contributions to…

Read more »