Prediction: Buying Docebo Stock Today Could Set You Up for Life

Down almost 70% from all-time highs, Docebo stock offers significant upside potential to shareholders in October 2025.

| More on:
Key Points
  • Docebo (TSX:DCBO) is a cloud-based learning management platform poised for substantial growth, offering AI-powered tools and having recently achieved important certifications, which ensure its positioning in expanding markets.
  • In Q2 2025, Docebo showcased robust financial performance, with increased penetration in key segments, and secured a significant contract with a Big 5 tech firm, highlighting its enterprise-grade solutions.
  • With an increased revenue forecast from $217 million in 2024 to $658 million by 2029 and a significant uptick in projected free cash flow, Docebo is positioned for a potential 200% stock gain over the next four years.

Investing in quality growth stocks that are part of expanding addressable markets is a proven strategy to generate outsized returns over time. While big tech companies are dominating the artificial intelligence narrative, several other companies are flying under the radar in 2025.

One such beaten-down TSX tech stock is Docebo (TSX:DCBO), which could set you up for life. Valued at a market cap of $1.1 billion, DCBO stock is down more than 70% below all-time highs.

Docebo provides a cloud-based learning management platform that enables organizations to deliver personalized training, create and access content, analyze learning data, and monetize courses.

Its AI-powered suite includes tools for course delivery, communities, e-commerce, and integrations with Salesforce and Microsoft Teams, serving internal teams and external audiences globally.

dividend stocks are a good way to earn passive income

Source: Getty Images

Is Docebo stock a good buy right now?

In the second quarter (Q2) of 2025, Docebo delivered solid numbers as corporate learning platforms continue to evolve from nice-to-have tools into strategic necessities. The company’s cloud-based learning management system serves global organizations, helping them transform training from a cost center into a competitive advantage.

The quarter showcased impressive momentum in the mid-market segment, where Docebo has systematically strengthened its position through better segmentation and targeted marketing.

CEO Alessio Artuffo highlighted improved leadership capabilities and process changes that produced immediate results. Technology clients remain a key revenue driver, but healthcare and financial services are also driving growth.

A standout development came from one of the Big 5 tech companies, which expanded its Docebo deployment in a large six-figure deal. Notably, the customer migrated away from an internally built system to adopt Docebo as the learning infrastructure backbone. This contradicts concerns about enterprises building proprietary solutions and validates Docebo’s enterprise-grade capabilities.

Docebo achieved FedRAMP certification ahead of schedule in May, unlocking a US$2.7 billion market across U.S. federal, state, and local agencies.

It already operates in approximately 10 states, with only 10% market penetration, leaving substantial room for expansion. Management expects meaningful federal revenue contributions in the second half of 2026 as the sales pipeline strengthens.

On the AI front, Docebo launched Harmony, its agentic AI platform, in July. This goes beyond simple chatbot functionality to create what Artuffo calls an “agent of agents” that will automate administrative tasks, generate content, and fundamentally shift learning from instructor-led to learner-first experiences.

Early adoption metrics show promise, with customers already generating over 20,000 minutes of AI-created video content and thousands of learning assets.

CFO Brandon Farber raised full-year guidance, reflecting improved visibility as market chaos from earlier tariff concerns subsided. Foreign exchange provided a tailwind, contributing 1% to total revenue and 2% to subscription revenue. The company added veteran CRO Mark to focus on execution efficiency and tighter integration between sales and customer success functions.

Despite losing the Amazon Web Services contract, Docebo’s customer count above $100,000 jumped 23%, up from 16% previously, driven by strong new logos, expansions, and currency benefits.

Is the TSX tech stock undervalued?

According to consensus estimates, Docebo is projected to increase revenue from US$217 million in fiscal 2024 to US$658 million by 2029. In this period, adjusted earnings are forecast to expand from US$1.04 per share to US$2.87 per share.

Moreover, its free cash flow (FCF) is projected to increase from US$28 million in 2024 to US$157.4 million by 2029. If the TSX tech stock trades at 15 times forward FCF, it should gain 200% within the next four years.

Fool contributor Aditya Raghunath has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Amazon and Docebo. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Tech Stocks

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Tech Stocks

Billionaires Are Unloading Amazon and Piling Into This TSX Stock

Get insights into the recent sell-offs of Amazon stock by billionaires and how it impacts the investment landscape after Buffett.

Read more »

woman looks out at horizon
Tech Stocks

This Is the TFSA Balance You’ll Likely Need to Retire Comfortably in Canada

Wondering how much you need in your TFSA to retire well? Here's the target number and how a small-cap stock…

Read more »

Financial analyst reviews numbers and charts on a screen
Dividend Stocks

Dip Buyers Could Win Big: 2 of the Best Canadian Stocks to Buy Now

A 31% drop has made Shopify and Nutrien look cheaper, even as both companies are still putting up strong operating…

Read more »

a person watches a downward arrow crash through the floor
Tech Stocks

1 Magnificent Canadian Tech Stock Down 46% to Buy and Hold Forever

A 46% drop has made Constellation Software far cheaper, even as its cash-flow-driven acquisition machine keeps humming.

Read more »

data center server racks glow with light
Tech Stocks

3 TSX Stocks That Could Turn $30,000 Into $300,000

A $30,000 portfolio split across three Canadian growth stocks could have the ingredients to compound into $300,000 over time.

Read more »

Google wideshot cc Alphabet
Tech Stocks

Data Centres Are the New Gold Rush: Here’s Where I’d Invest

Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOG) might be the big steal in the AI data centre boom.

Read more »

chip with the letters "AI" on it
Tech Stocks

1 Tech Stock That Has Created Millionaires and Could Keep Making More

This former contract manufacturer turned AI data-centre hardware supplier has already turned a $25,000 investment into over $1 million.

Read more »

alcohol
Tech Stocks

Canadians: Here’s How Much You Need in Your TFSA to Retire

Explore how the TFSA can assist in flexible retirement plans, allowing you to make your money effectively work for you.

Read more »