Outlook for Bank of Nova Scotia Stock in 2026

Bank of Nova Scotia soared in the second half of 2025. Are more gains on the way?

Key Points
  • Bank of Nova Scotia is making progress on its turnaround plan.
  • Investors can still get a 4.3% dividend yield from the stock.
  • As ROE rises the market should give BNS a higher multiple.

Bank of Nova Scotia (TSX: BNS) delivered solid gains last year and currently trades near a record high. Investors who missed the rebound are wondering if BNS stock is still attractive to buy for a self-directed Tax-Free Savings Account (TFSA) or Registered Retirement Savings Plan (RRSP) portfolio focused on dividends and total returns.

Paper Canadian currency of various denominations

Source: Getty Images

Bank of Nova Scotia share price

Bank of Nova Scotia trades near $102 per share at the time of writing. The stock has been on an upward trend for the past nine months, rising from $64 at the bottom of the tariff rout that occurred in April last year.

Bank stocks have broadly performed well over the same timeframe, but investors have also started to warm up to Bank of Nova Scotia as it works through a turnaround program.

The company sold its assets in Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica last year as part of its plan to shift the growth focus away from Latin America to concentrate more on the United States and Canada. In 2024, Bank of Nova Scotia purchased a 14.9% stake in KeyCorp, an American regional bank, for about US$17 per share. KeyCorp currently trades near US$21 per share. The deal gives Bank of Nova Scotia a good platform to expand its presence in the U.S. market.

Bank of Nova Scotia has also trimmed staff and consolidated branches in an effort to streamline operations and reduce expenses.

Earnings

The efforts are starting to deliver results. Bank of Nova Scotia reported adjusted net income of $2.56 billion in the fiscal Q4 2025 compared with $2.12 billion in the same period last year. Return on equity (ROE) rose to 12.5% from 10.6% in fiscal Q4 2024.

Full-year fiscal 2025 adjusted net income came in at $9.51 billion compared to $8.63 billion. ROE for the full year was 11.8%, compared to 11.3% in 2024. The bank finished fiscal 2025 with a common equity tier-one (CET1) ratio of 13.2%. This means Bank of Nova Scotia is sitting on ample capital to enable it to ride out market turbulence or even make additional strategic acquisitions.

Dividends and share buybacks

Bank of Nova Scotia raised the quarterly dividend by $0.04 to $1.10 per share last year. Investors who buy BNS stock at the current level can get a dividend yield of 4.3%.

The bank is also buying back up to 20 million shares under the current share-repurchase plan.

The bottom line

Near-term volatility in the share price should be expected. Banks have had a big run, and the broader market is due for a pullback.

That being said, Bank of Nova Scotia appears to be on the right track with its turnaround efforts, and investors get paid a good dividend yield to ride out any market swings. Management’s medium-term goal is to get ROE above 14%. As earnings and ROE rise, the market will feel comfortable giving the stock a higher multiple.

If you are looking for a bank stock to add to a buy-and-hold dividend portfolio, BNS deserves to be on your radar.

The Motley Fool recommends Bank Of Nova Scotia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Fool contributor Andrew Walker has no position in any stock mentioned.

More on Dividend Stocks

jar with coins and plant
Dividend Stocks

TFSA Income: 2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks for Retirees to Consider Now

These industry leaders now offer dividend yields near 6%.

Read more »

middle-aged couple work together on laptop
Dividend Stocks

Hey Planners: A 3.2% Dividend Stock to Build Your 2027 TFSA Contributions Around

Fortis Inc (TSX:FTS) stock can add considerable income to your TFSA.

Read more »

man in bowtie poses with abacus
Dividend Stocks

To Collect $150 a Month From Granite REIT, Here’s the Investment You’d Need

Granite’s current monthly distribution requires 508 units, or about $43,119, to reach a $150 monthly income target.

Read more »

Person holding a smartphone with a stock chart on screen
Dividend Stocks

For BCE vs. Enbridge, a 5.7% Yield vs. 5.9% (And the One I’d Prefer for Income)

Both BCE and Enbridge offer attractive income, but BCE is a higher-risk turnaround opportunity, whereas Enbridge offers a more predictable…

Read more »

man shops in a drugstore
Dividend Stocks

How Much to Invest in RioCan for $300 a Month in Dividends

How much should you invest in RioCan for $300 a month in dividends? Explore its retail business, monthly payout and…

Read more »

A close up color image of a small green plant sprouting out of a pile of Canadian dollar coins "loonies."
Dividend Stocks

Telus Dividend Safety: Is the Stock Still Worth Buying for Income?

Explore the latest insights on Telus dividend amid a challenging earnings report and management's new Transformation Strategy.

Read more »

voice-recognition-talking-to-a-smartphone
Dividend Stocks

BCE Just Reported: What $10,000 Could Earn You in Dividends Today

BCE is yielding a very generous 5.2%, as the company's telecom business improves and long-term investments drive growth.

Read more »

Transparent umbrella under heavy rain against water drops splash background. Rainy weather concept.
Dividend Stocks

Is Intact’s Rough Quarter a Blip or the New Normal for Canadian Insurers?

Intact reported $660 million in pre-tax catastrophe losses during the quarter, which dragged its net operating income per share lower.

Read more »