TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Tuesday, March 17

Cooler Canadian inflation and easing oil prices sparked a sharp TSX rebound, with today’s focus on central bank signals and renewed geopolitical tension.

Key Points
  • TSX climbed 1% to 32,877, rallying on cooler-than-expected CPI and an intraday drop in oil.
  • Canada’s CPI increase slowed to 1.8% in February, boosting rate-cut hopes and lifting financials, consumer cyclical, and tech, while MDA’s U.S. IPO also helped sentiment.
  • Investors will watch renewed Iranian strikes pushing oil higher, BoC and Fed rate decisions, and guidance today for direction.

Canadian equities started the new week on a strong note as much cooler-than-expected domestic consumer inflation data and intraday declines in crude oil prices gave investors reasons to cheer despite the ongoing geopolitical crisis in Western Asia and the Middle East. The S&P/TSX Composite Index inched up by 335 points, or 1%, to settle at 32,877 — staging a sharp recovery from its lowest level in a month.

All key market sectors ended the session in the green, but the market rally was mainly led by solid gains in financials, consumer cyclical, and technology stocks.

tsx today

Canada’s easing inflation raises rate cut hopes

According to Statistics Canada’s latest report, the consumer price index (CPI) rose 1.8% year over year in February, slowing from 2.3% in January and marking a continued easing trend. This deceleration in inflation was largely driven by base-year effects tied to the end of a temporary GST/HST tax break in early 2025, which had previously lifted prices.

The cooler inflation print has strengthened expectations that the Bank of Canada (BoC) could cut rates further in the near term.

Top TSX Composite movers and active stocks

Altus Group, Lundin Gold, NFI Group, and 5N Plus were the top-performing TSX stocks for the day, with each climbing by more than 5%.

Similarly, MDA Space (TSX: MDA) inched up nearly 4% to $42.88 per share, making it one of the top gainers on the Toronto Stock Exchange. This rally in MDA stock came after the Toronto-based space technology firm announced the closing of its initial public offering in the United States and the listing of its shares on the New York Stock Exchange.

Notably, MDA issued 9.8 million common shares at US$30.50 each, raising approximately US$300 million in gross proceeds. The company plans to use these funds to support growth initiatives, expand its customer base, pursue strategic opportunities, and repay a portion of outstanding debt. The successful U.S. listing and sizable capital raise appear to have boosted investor confidence in MDA’s long-term expansion plans.

In contrast, shares of Nutrien, goeasy, Denison Mines, and NexGen Energy were the worst-performing TSX stocks, as they slipped by at least 3.1% each.

Based on their daily trade volume, Canadian Natural Resources, Tourmaline Oil, Enbridge, Cenovus Energy, and B2Gold were the five most active stocks on the exchange.

TSX today

Commodity prices across the board were largely mixed in early Tuesday trading, pointing to a flat open for the resource-heavy main TSX index today. However, escalating geopolitical tensions could continue to limit the upside for equities as fresh reports highlighted renewed Iranian strikes on Gulf infrastructure and military-linked targets, keeping the risk of supply disruptions elevated. These developments have already triggered a rebound in global oil prices, reversing part of the previous session’s decline and adding uncertainty to the near-term outlook for energy markets.

In addition, BoC’s and the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions and press conferences will remain on TSX investors’ radar today. While both central banks are widely expected to keep their benchmark rates unchanged this time, investors will closely watch their policy statements and forward guidance for any signals on the timing of further rate cuts.

On the corporate events side, the convenience stores operator Alimentation Couche-Tard will announce its latest quarterly results today after the market closing bell, which could keep its stock in focus throughout the session.

Market movers on the TSX today

Fool contributor Jitendra Parashar has positions in Alimentation Couche-Tard, Canadian Natural Resources, Enbridge, and MDA Space. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alimentation Couche-Tard and Altus Group. The Motley Fool recommends B2Gold, Canadian Natural Resources, Enbridge, MDA Space, NFI Group, Nutrien, and Tourmaline Oil. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Stock Market

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Friday, October 16

Rising metals prices could help the TSX build on Thursday’s sharp rally today, while concerns about potential U.S. military strikes…

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Thursday, October 15

After yesterday’s sharp decline, TSX investors will closely watch U.S. wholesale inflation and retail sales reports today, while mixed commodity…

Read more »

quantum computing is still in infancy
Tech Stocks

A Quantum Computing Stock Canadian Investors Can Buy Now

Looking for a quantum computing stock? D-Wave offers exposure to an emerging industry, with paying customers and plenty still to…

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Wednesday, October 14

TSX investors will closely watch the latest U.S. inflation report today, while mixed commodity prices, Canada-U.S. trade tensions, and Middle…

Read more »

man makes the timeout gesture with his hands
Dividend Stocks

Why Dividend Cuts Happen and How to Spot the Warning Signs

Learn why dividend cuts happen and how to spot warning signs, using BCE and TELUS to examine cash flow, debt,…

Read more »

Investor reading the newspaper
Top TSX Stocks

How to Stay Invested When the Headlines Look Bad

Selling stocks in a panic turns paper losses permanent. Discover how holding Aritzia stock through terrifying headlines delivered over 1,100%…

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: What to Watch for in Stocks on Tuesday, October 13

Mixed commodity prices could keep the TSX nearly flat at the open today, while renewed Middle East tensions may support…

Read more »

tsx today
Stock Market

TSX Today: Why Canadian Stocks Could Rally on Friday, October 9

Rising metals prices could lift TSX mining stocks today, while upbeat earnings from Aritzia may support consumer shares as investors…

Read more »