1 Canadian Tech Stock Down 45% That I’d Buy Today and Hold for the Long Haul

This overlooked software-focused tech stock still has strong fundamentals beneath the surface.

| More on:
Key Points
  • Open Text (TSX:OTEX) has plunged 45% over the last six months but still shows stable revenue and strong margins.
  • Its cloud growth and recurring revenue continue to support the business.
  • A sharper focus on AI and efficiency could drive long-term upside.

Not every opportunity in the market comes from fast-growing stocks, which are in the news all the time. Sometimes, it’s the quieter names going through a reset that are worth a closer look — especially when short-term pressure creates a better entry point in an otherwise strong business.

Open Text (TSX:OTEX) is one of the top tech stocks on the TSX today. This Canadian software firm mainly specializes in enterprise information management, helping organizations handle data, security, and digital workflows across multiple platforms. Its ecosystem spans cloud-based content management, cybersecurity, analytics, and application modernization. At around $31.36 per share with a market cap of $7.9 billion, Open Text stock has been under pressure lately. But that weakness may not tell the full story.

stock chart

Source: Getty Images

What’s been weighing on this tech stock?

Over the last six months, Open Text shares have tanked by around 45% and have seen about 33% value erosion so far in 2026. That decline hasn’t been driven by a collapse in demand for its services, but rather by its internal changes and broader repositioning.

Interestingly, the company has been actively reshaping its business of late. Leadership transitions and the sale of its non-core assets have created some short-term uncertainty. While these moves can weigh on investor sentiment in the near term, I see them as a part of its longer-term plan to refocus the business.

There are also early signs that the selling pressure could be easing as the stock has been consolidating near current levels in recent sessions, suggesting that selling momentum may be stabilizing and investor confidence may slowly be returning.

A closer look at the numbers

Despite a sharp drop in this TSX tech stock over the last few months, Open Text’s underlying business remains stable. In the second quarter of its fiscal year 2026 (ended in December 2025), the company reported revenue of US$1.3 billion, down just 0.6% YoY (year-over-year). That’s not strong growth, but it does show stability even in a challenging global environment.

More importantly, its cloud segment continues to expand. In the latest quarter, Open Text’s cloud revenue rose 3.4% YoY to US$478 million, marking the 20th straight quarter of organic growth. This shift toward cloud-based services is important, as it builds a more predictable and recurring revenue base for the company. Similarly, Open Text’s annual recurring revenue (ARR) also increased slightly to US$1.1 billion last quarter, highlighting that stability.

Profitability remains strong

Meanwhile, the company generated adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) of US$491 million, which was about 37% of its total revenue. Also, its net profit margin stood at 12.7%, showing that the business is still highly profitable.

Even more telling is Open Text’s consistent cash generation. The company delivered US$319 million in operating cash flow and US$279 million in free cash flow during the quarter. While these figures are lower than last year, they still highlight a business that consistently produces cash.

Why the long-term story is still intact

In addition to the strength in its financials, Open Text is continuing to simplify operations to sharpen its focus on higher-growth areas. The recent sales of its eDOCS and Vertica business arms were part of this strategy. By trimming such non-core assets, the tech firm wants to concentrate more on enterprise information management and artificial intelligence (AI), both of which are expected to see solid demand in the coming years.

There’s also a leadership shift ahead, with Ayman Antoun set to take over as CEO later this month. Leadership changes can sometimes act as a catalyst, especially when paired with a clear strategic direction.

At the same time, Open Text isn’t shying away from returning capital to shareholders. It recently expanded its share buyback program, now totaling US$500 million, clearly showing confidence in its valuation and future prospects.

The bottom line

Open Text may not look exciting at first glance, especially after a nearly 45% decline in the last six months. But under the surface, its business remains stable, profitable, and cash-generative. Also, its growing cloud segment, recurring revenue base, and increasing focus on AI position it well for long-term growth trends. If the company executes on its strategy, today’s weakness could turn out to be a well-timed entry point for Foolish Investors.

Fool contributor Jitendra Parashar has positions in Open Text. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Tech Stocks

young adult uses credit card to shop online
Tech Stocks

1 Canadian Stock Down 28% That Could Be a Buy for Long-Term Investors

Lightspeed’s pullback looks less like a broken story and more like a messy turnaround that’s starting to show real cash…

Read more »

Data Center Engineer Using Laptop Computer crypto mining
Energy Stocks

1 Canadian Stock Set to Profit From Canada’s Data Centre Buildout

AI data centres may feel like software, but their massive power needs could make Brookfield Renewable a stealth winner.

Read more »

chip glows with a blue AI
Tech Stocks

How Your 2026 TFSA Contribution Could Grow to $280,000 or More

Backed by strong long-term growth prospects, these two stocks have the potential to deliver multiple-fold returns, helping TFSA investors create…

Read more »

Meta buildout in Alberta and stocks to watch
Energy Stocks

The Sneaky Stocks to Profit From Meta’s $13 Billion Data Centre in Alberta

Meta just announced a US$13 billion AI data centre in Alberta — but the real investing story here isn't Meta…

Read more »

Data Center Engineer Using Laptop Computer crypto mining
Tech Stocks

The AI Boom Needs Data Centres: 2 TSX Stocks to Watch Closely

BIP and Celestica are riding the AI data centre boom. Here's why these two TSX stocks deserve a spot on…

Read more »

Data center woman holding laptop
Tech Stocks

Data Centre Spending Is Heating Up: 2 Canadian Stocks to Buy

Data centre spending is rising fast, and these two Canadian growth stocks look ready to benefit.

Read more »

The letters AI glowing on a circuit board processor.
Tech Stocks

1 Canadian Stock Set to Make a Fortune from Canada’s Data Centre Buildout

This AI infrastructure stock is benefitting from solid demand for its advanced networking and data centre solutions.

Read more »

woman stares at chocolate layer cake
Tech Stocks

What’s the Average TFSA Balance at Age 30 in Canada?

A $16,760 TFSA at 30 is close to the national average, and the real advantage is the decades of compounding…

Read more »