How to Keep Investing Wisely When the TSX Keeps Climbing

Invest in TSX stocks that are more predictable and carry lower downside, and consider holding more cash.

| More on:
Key Points
  • The TSX has rallied 73% over five years and 152% over 10 years, making it harder to find value, but history shows timing the market is difficult and continuing to invest remains the best approach.
  • Warren Buffett quietly sold equities from 2022-2025, leaving Berkshire Hathaway with $397 billion in cash (over half its portfolio value), positioning for opportunities when the market corrects.
  • Investors can maximize returns at market highs by increasing cash positions, investing in undervalued stocks like Cineplex (down 26% over five years despite recent recovery momentum), or buying lower-volatility stocks like Fortis with its 52-year dividend growth streak and 3.2% yield.

In the last five years, the TSX has rallied 73%. In the last 10 years, the TSX has rallied an even greater 152%. Clearly, the TSX is on a roll and as it keeps climbing, it becomes harder to find value in stocks. Yet, history shows that timing the market is very difficult, and the best thing to do is to keep investing.

This being said, here are a few things for investors to consider in order to maximize returns.

man is enthralled with a movie in a theater

Source: Getty Images

Increase your cash balance

Warren Buffett has famously increased his cash weighting at times when he believed that markets are overvalued. At the end of 2025, Warren Buffett stepped down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway. He left with $373 billion in cash on its balance sheet, as he quietly sold equities throughout 2022 to 2025. Currently, Berkshire is holding $397 billion in cash. This represents more than half of the portfolio’s total value.

“Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful”. Berkshire Hathaway is living this quote today, taking a bold position that will undoubtedly cause friction amongst Berkshire’s shareholders given how strong the market has performed. Yet, the company is well positioned to enter the market at more favourable valuations. They may fall, thus increasing long-term returns.

Invest in undervalued TSX stocks

Here in Canada, the TSX is also trading near all-time highs, and the same psychology exists in the market. Investors are very optimistic, and stock prices keep rising.

Investing in undervalued stocks can limit your downside if and when the market corrects. Stocks that are clearly undervalued but that you believe have been misunderstood or are recovering from temporary company or industry challenges. TSX stocks like Cineplex Inc. (TSX:CGX). Cineplex stock has made it through the pandemic. It has made it through the threat that streaming companies pose. And it has made it through the resulting financial hit. Yet, Cineplex stock is down 26% versus five years ago and 77% versus ten years ago. This is a far cry from the performance of the TSX.

For Cineplex, the upside is clear. And while nothing is guaranteed, the company’s latest results are encouraging, as Cineplex’s first quarter posted strengthening attendance. Furthermore, Cineplex’s May box office revenue of $60.5 million was the highest since 2019, and 9.4% higher than last year. Year-to-date box office revenue is currently $120.5 million, which is 12.9% higher than the same period last year.

Invest is lower volatility TSX stocks

Lower volatility stocks are usually stocks that are in a highly predictable, economically insensitive industry such as the utility sector. TSX stocks like Fortis Inc. (TSX:FTS). Fortis’ utility business has been powering our homes and workplaces for decades. And Fortis stock has been providing solid returns for its shareholders for decades, including 52 years of annual dividend increases.

Today, Fortis stock is yielding a respectable 3.2%, but more importantly, it holds lower downside risk both financially and with respect to its share price – a wise investment as the TSX continues to climb.

The bottom line

With the TSX trading near all-time highs, it’s wise to adjust our strategies and proceed with caution. This can protect investors from downside risk while also ensuring participation in the market.

Fool contributor Karen Thomas has positions in Cineplex. The Motley Fool recommends Fortis. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Top TSX Stocks

3 colorful arrows racing straight up on a black background.
Retirement

What the Fine Print Really Says About U.S. Stocks in Your TFSA

U.S. stocks in your TFSA can still make sense, but investors need to understand withholding tax and when Canadian alternatives…

Read more »

chatting concept
Retirement

3 Stocks I’d Use to Build a Smart TFSA Portfolio in 2026

Build a smart TFSA portfolio in 2026 with three Canadian stocks offering income, stability, and long-term growth potential.

Read more »

The sun sets behind a power source
Stocks for Beginners

1 Canadian Stock That Comes Close to Perfect as a Long-Term Hold

This stock is a near-perfect long-term hold, offering stability, dividend growth, and performance for patient investors.

Read more »

Transparent umbrella under heavy rain against water drops splash background. Rainy weather concept.
Dividend Stocks

The Canadian Dividend Stock I Trust Most to Weather Any Kind of Market Storm

Canadian National Railway is the Canadian dividend stock built to withstand market storms with essential rail assets and steady growth.

Read more »

young adult uses credit card to shop online
Dividend Stocks

All it Takes is $5,000 Invested in Each of These 3 Dividend Stocks to Help Generate Nearly $1,100 in Passive Income in 2026

Build passive income in 2026 with three reliable dividend stocks that turn a $15,000 investment into steady annual cash flow.

Read more »

Canada Day fireworks over two Adirondack chairs on the wooden dock in Ontario, Canada
Top TSX Stocks

3 TSX Superstars That Could Beat the Market in 2026 – Get in Now

As we head into the second half of the year, here are three TSX superstars to help you beat the…

Read more »

man in bowtie poses with abacus
Retirement

How Much a Typical 45-Year-Old Has in TFSA and RRSP Accounts

See how much a typical 45-year-old has saved in TFSA and RRSP accounts and what that means for long-term retirement…

Read more »

Blocks conceptualizing Canada's Tax Free Savings Account
Retirement

A Smart Strategy to Use Your TFSA to Effectively Double Your $7,000 Contribution

Discover a smart TFSA strategy that uses ETFs and dividends to help effectively double your $7,000 contribution over time.

Read more »