The Next Market Dip May Be Smaller Than You Hope: Here’s What I’d Buy Now

CCL Industries looks like a solid “start now, add on dips” stock when the market is expensive and the perfect pullback may never show up.

| More on:
Key Points
  • Waiting for the ideal correction can leave you sitting in cash while strong companies keep compounding.
  • CCL sells mission-critical labels and packaging, and it’s growing sales and earnings while buying back shares.
  • It’s near its highs, so start with a partial position and add if the market finally dips.

The dream market dip usually arrives with perfect timing, bargain prices, and enough patience to let every investor finish transferring cash. The real version tends to drop briefly, reverse without permission, and leave carefully prepared buyers staring at yesterday’s quote.

While the S&P/TSX Composite trades near record highs, waiting for a correction feels sensible when prices look elevated. Yet the next pullback might be 5% rather than 20%, while the strongest businesses could fall even less before recovering.

I wouldn’t respond by investing every available dollar today. I’d start with a partial position in a profitable company that can keep growing if the market refuses to provide a spectacular entrance.

crisis concept, falling stairs

Source: Getty Images

No planned dips

Market declines become obvious only after they’ve happened. Beforehand, investors must guess whether a 3% wobble will become a correction or disappear before lunch. Waiting for the perfect bottom can therefore create a second risk: remaining uninvested while earnings, dividends, and share prices continue rising.

A staged approach removes some of that pressure. Investors can open a position now, keep cash available, and add during future weakness. That’s less dramatic than announcing the exact market bottom on social media, although it has the useful advantage of not requiring supernatural powers.

This approach works best with durable Canadian blue-chip stocks that don’t require a recession to make their valuations sensible.

CCL

CCL Industries (TSX: CCL.B) is the world’s largest label company. It produces packaging and labels for healthcare, food, beverages, household products, electronics, and automobiles. Its other businesses include Avery printable products, Checkpoint retail-security technology, and Innovia specialty films.

Labels aren’t especially useful for impressing dinner guests. They are remarkably useful for creating repeat business. Large customers need enormous quantities of regulated, secure, and precisely manufactured packaging, while switching suppliers can create delays or quality problems.

Second-quarter sales increased 9.1% to $2.1 billion, including 5% organic growth. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose 10.7% to a record $1.35. CCL stock also returned $325.3 million through dividends and share repurchases during the quarter, while maintaining leverage of only 1.1 times adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).

What $5,000 buys today

Near $97.14, CCL stock trades around 20.8 times trailing earnings and close to its 52-week high. That isn’t bargain-bin territory. However, record earnings, low leverage, and continued buybacks make the valuation reasonable enough for an initial investment.

A $5,000 purchase would acquire 51 full shares for $4,954.14. The current $0.36 quarterly dividend would provide $73.44 annually, although growth and buybacks remain more important to the investment case than the approximately 1.5% yield.

COMPANYRECENT PRICENUMBER OF SHARESANNUAL DIVIDENDANNUAL TOTAL PAYOUTFREQUENCYTOTAL INVESTMENT
CCL.B$97.1451$1.44$73.44Quarterly$4,954.14

CCL stock still faces currency swings, acquisition risk, higher material costs, and weaker consumer or industrial demand. Checkpoint’s quarterly operating income fell 20.2%, while management warned that customers may have built inventory early to avoid supply disruptions and price increases. Some recent demand could therefore prove temporary.

Bottom line

All in all, I’d begin with one-third of my intended position, add during a 5% to 10% decline, and invest the remainder after another solid earnings report. Investors learning how to buy stocks in Canada don’t need to choose between chasing and waiting forever.

The next market dip may eventually arrive, but it might not place CCL stock where hopeful buyers expect. Owning a starter position now ensures the market can’t leave the entire plan behind when it changes direction.

Fool contributor Amy Legate-Wolfe has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends CCL Industries. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

More on Dividend Stocks

TFSA (Tax free savings account) acronym on wooden cubes on the background of stacks of coins
Dividend Stocks

3 of the Best Canadian Stocks to Buy and Hold in a TFSA

Given their reliable business models, consistent financials, and healthy growth prospects, these three Canadian stocks are ideal additions to your…

Read more »

woman checks off all the boxes
Dividend Stocks

What Every Investor Should Know Before Buying BCE for its Dividend

BCE (TSX:BCE) stock looks like an untimely trap, but there's a strong case for buying as the firm looks to…

Read more »

senior man and woman stretch their legs on yoga mats outside
Dividend Stocks

2 TSX Dividend Stocks Retirees Can Buy and Hold for the Next Decade

These dividend stocks provide the right mix of growth, income, and stability for the long term.

Read more »

Paper Canadian currency of various denominations
Dividend Stocks

3 Stocks to Build a Strong Canadian Income Portfolio

While no dividend is guaranteed, these companies have shown their ability to generate resilient cash flows and return capital.

Read more »

stocks climbing green bull market
Dividend Stocks

2 High-Yield Dividend Stocks to Buy and Hold for a Decade of Income

With resilient business models, reliable cash flows, high yields, and healthy growth prospects, these two Canadian stocks are ideal for…

Read more »

Person holds banknotes of Canadian dollars
Dividend Stocks

I’d Put My Whole 2026 TFSA Contribution Into this 5.5% Passive-Income Payer

This passive-income payer has raised its dividend every year since 1995. Moreover, it has room to increase its dividend in…

Read more »

dividends grow over time
Dividend Stocks

$10,000 Invested at 8% for 20 Years Could Become $46,610

$10,000 doesn’t need perfect timing to become meaningful wealth — it mainly needs time and compounding.

Read more »

Partially complete jigsaw puzzle with scattered missing pieces
Dividend Stocks

How I’m Structuring My $7,000 TFSA for Steady Monthly Payouts

Learn the importance of structuring your portfolio to achieve steady payouts and minimize risk through smart diversification.

Read more »