Enbridge in 3 Years: What $10,000 Could Earn in Dividends Along the Way

Enbridge is a solid stock to consider for income, but interest-rate risk suggests building a partial position and keeping cash to buy on dips may be a safer approach.

Key Points
  • Enbridge has pulled back about 18% to roughly $65, raising its dividend yield to about 5.9%, though higher interest rates could further pressure the share price.
  • A $10,000 purchase (roughly 152.8 shares) would likely produce roughly $1,874 in cumulative dividends over three years under a conservative 3% annual dividend-growth assumption, yielding about 6.5% on cost by year three.
  • The company’s roughly 65% payout ratio and steady DCF support dividend sustainability, but interest-rate risk suggests building a partial position and keeping cash to buy on dips may be a safer approach.

Enbridge (TSX: ENB) has pulled back about 18% from its 52-week high, pushing its dividend yield to roughly 5.9%. While higher interest rates could put further pressure on the stock, the current valuation could offer income-focused investors an attractive opportunity to lock in a substantial stream of dividend income.

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Why Enbridge could deliver attractive income

Interest rates remain an important risk for high-yield stocks. The Bank of Canada’s policy interest rate is currently 2.25%, well below its 5% peak in July 2023. Back then, Enbridge traded around $48 per share and offered a much higher dividend yield of approximately 7.4%.

If interest rates rise substantially again, investors could demand higher yields from dividend stocks, potentially putting downward pressure on Enbridge’s share price. At $65.43 per share at writing, the stock trades at a blended price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of roughly 22.3. A significant increase in rates and renewed weakness in income-oriented stocks could therefore trigger valuation compression.

However, that risk needs to be weighed against Enbridge’s underlying business strength. The North American energy infrastructure giant has delivered steady results, with distributable cash flow (DCF) increasing 1.8% in the first half of the year. Its payout ratio is approximately 65%, comfortably within its targeted 60%–70% range.

This provides a reasonable foundation for continued dividend growth.

What $10,000 could earn over three years

Enbridge targets approximately 5% annual DCF-per-share growth over the medium term and aims to grow its dividend alongside that growth. Recent dividend increases, however, have been closer to 3%. For a more conservative estimate, assume the dividend grows by 3% annually over the next three years.

At $65.43 per share, a $10,000 investment would purchase approximately 152.8 shares. Under that assumption, the investment could generate roughly $1,874 in cumulative dividends over three years, assuming the dividend increases take place around the usual time in mid-February.

By the end of the three-year period, the annual dividend yield on the original investment — known as yield on cost — could approach 6.5%.

That income is the key reason investors may want to consider Enbridge despite the possibility of additional share-price volatility. Even if the stock temporarily declines, shareholders continue collecting dividends as long as the company maintains its payout.

A compelling income play, but leave room for more

Enbridge is not a risk-free investment. Higher interest rates could weigh on its valuation, and investors should be prepared for periods of share-price weakness. Nevertheless, its predictable cash flows, strong infrastructure assets and attractive dividend make it a potentially solid foundation for a diversified portfolio.

At $65.43, the analyst consensus price target implies roughly 21% near-term upside. For income-focused investors, starting with a partial position could make sense, while keeping cash available to buy more if higher rates trigger further correction.

The bottom line

A $10,000 investment in Enbridge today could generate approximately $1,874 in dividends over the next three years under a conservative 3% annual dividend-growth assumption. For investors prioritizing reliable income, that potential cash flow makes Enbridge worth considering — even if interest-rate risks create opportunities to buy the stock at lower prices.

Fool contributor Kay Ng has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Enbridge. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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